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sexta-feira, 31 de julho de 2020

E já que estamos falando de fascismo - Samuel Moyn (NYRBooks)

The Trouble with Comparisons


The New York Review of Books
Bridgeman Images
Gustave Courbet: 

In the 1980s, German intellectual life was very much agitated by something called the “historian’s dispute” (

As it unfolded, the dispute concerned many things. It started with Nolte’s pernicious suggestion that the Zionist leader Chaim Weizmann had declared war in 1939 on Germany on behalf of the Jewish people, as if that licensed what Germany did next. The dispute proceeded through Nolte’s contention that Adolf Hitler had acted in response to Josef Stalin’s prior atrocities, as if two wrongs could make a right. But a major part of the dispute turned on the propriety of comparison. It was about the plausibility of analogizing National Socialism to other phenomena before and after.

When Michiko Kakutani famously made an 

That comparison requires a careful ethic is the lesson three years on, for the sake of understanding and mobilization alike. It is surely fodder for some future ironist that, after our era of fearing Trump’s actions, he appears set in the current pandemic to go down in history for a worse sin of inaction. For all his abuses of the powers accorded the presidency in the prior generation, his failure to deploy them now seems more glaring. His hijinks in flouting the rule of law, though inexcusable, have not concealed the continuity of American governance, for good and for ill. (The Republicans have gotten their conservative judges and tax cuts, just as before.) William Barr is the reincarnation of 

In 2016, the impulse to draw comparisons to some of the worst episodes in European history may have been understandable and even useful. The future was opaque and elites were shaken by the election results. And there were strategic uses to such warnings. The horrors coming were likely, though no one knew their exact form. Sometimes, the sky does not fall in precisely the way the chickens fear, but it is still the right move to cluck.

Yet people forget that analogy had commonly seemed noxious, not necessary, in the previous century. The Weimar syndrome has often led to bad things, and the comparison to fascism had normally been agreed to be dubious. Nolte, for example, had made his name with 

In the midst of the German dispute in 1986, that comparison led him to intolerable excesses, both intellectually and politically. Comparison excused, rather than indicted. Martin Broszat of the Munich Institute for Contemporary History, an 

One of the deepest American critics of such apologetic comparisons at the time was the Harvard University historian Charles Maier. Comparative exercises were crucial, Maier observed, but they were potentially misleading, too—especially when analogies were made without the balance provided by its obverse, disanalogy. “Any genuine comparative exercise emphasizes uniqueness as much as similarity; it establishes what is common in contrast to what is distinctive,” Maier, as master of comparative analysis himself, concluded. “Comparison must be a two-edged sword.” Indeed, as one of the greatest modern historians, the Frenchman Marc Bloch, had argued fifty years earlier, the whole point of comparison, when responsible, is to isolate what is singular and thus in need of new attention. A comparison cannot be about ignoring distinctions, but must isolate them, or it is negligent or reckless.

The Nazi regime did indeed resemble other regimes. It was just that the similarities that conservative Germans cited were trivial. In Germany after 1933, the conductors “von Karajan and Furtwängler produced music; the post office delivered mail,” Maier conceded. So what? Of course, Nazi Germany was similar in some respects to other examples, but that is true of everything in the world—and banal. Everything, after all, shares an indefinite number of traits with everything else, and differs just as much. No two items one might connect are entirely identical, nor utterly distinct. What matters in responsible comparison are the reasons why you want to stress one or another similarity—and whether you take seriously major differences. Without acknowledging differences, comparison is partisanship, and not always in a good cause.

For Maier, the conservative Germans were obfuscating the fact that their ancestors, and no one else, had built the death camps. This made the Nazi project distinctive. In saying so, he wasn’t appealing to some mystical notion that things in general are “incommensurable” in the world, sharing nothing in common with one another. He wasn’t contending at all that comparison itself is never allowed. In fact, almost no one trades on that notion. There is no ban on analogy, which sits at the heart of human reasoning. If there is any risk in our public discussion, indeed, it is the opposite one of a surfeit of comparisons so thick that a day on the Internet does not pass without the shades of multiple pasts haunting every new event. Rather, Maier’s point was that analogy only works responsibly in tandem with disanalogy. The two depend on each other. And too much of the one without enough of the other, Maier insisted, is deceptive and ideological.

Now, on one level, our analogies since 2016 are very different from those made in the historian’s dispute thirty years earlier. Far from relativizing what made Hitler’s Germany special by comparison to other states, we have feared that precisely the distinctive evil of his regime, or of fascist horror generally, was back in our time. And so, one might assume that abnormalizing Trump is innocent of the same intellectual mistakes that normalizing Nazism involved in the historian’s dispute. It isn’t. It has turned out that riotous analogy without disanalogy is an error for those who want to impose stigma, and not only for those who seek to lift it.

For those doubtful about the fascism analogy for Trumpism—and I count myself as one of them—the point is to appreciate both continuity and novelty better than the comparison allows. Abnormalizing Trump disguises that he is quintessentially American, the expression of enduring and indigenous syndromes. A response to what he represents hardly requires a restoration of “normalcy” but a questioning of the status quo ante Trump that produced him. Comparison to Nazism and fascism imminently threatening to topple democracy distracts us from how we made Trump over decades, and implies that the coexistence of our democracy with long histories of killing, subjugation, and terror—including its most recent, if somewhat sanitized, forms of mass incarceration and rising inequality at home, and its tenuous empire and regular war-making abroad—was somehow less worth the alarm and opprobrium. Selective outrage after 2016 says more about the outraged than the outrageous.

It is no contradiction to add to this qualm that comparing our current situation in America to fascism also spares ourselves the trouble of analyzing what is really new about it. For all its other virtues, comparison in general does not do well with the novelty that Trump certainly represents, for all of his preconditions and sources. It is true that in the face of novelty, analogy with possible historical avatars is indispensable, to abate confusion and to seek orientation. But there is no doubt that it often compounds the confusion as the ghosts of the past are allowed to walk again in a landscape that has changed profoundly. Comparison is always a risky tool; it leads to blindness, not just insight.

But keeping us honest is not the only reason that contrasts are essential at every turn. The politics of comparison are routinely bad. The best defense of analogy is that it could help improve our situation, by attracting crucial allies, and plotting next steps. Arguably, comparison served some of those functions in the early Trump years. I confess I found the 

A friend of mine and another Harvard historian, Peter Gordon, 

Another colleague and friend, Jason Stanley, has argued judiciously in his book 

The only real question is whether, when the stirrings of fascism are redefined 

Stanley’s project, precisely because it is so open to the depravities of American history, is also open to political doubts. The choice of the word “fascist” to describe them both trades on the extraordinary horror people feel when that allegation is made and at the same time undermines it by making fascism so quotidian and ordinary in human affairs as to become something like their essence. And while there is no doubt that identifying the oppression at the heart of most US politics to date is worthwhile, it is unclear what the label of fascism adds in practical terms.

It may be unfair to worry that analogies to the collapse of Weimar or the coming of fascism are actually harmful. True, around the world and constantly in American life since the 1940s, politicians have used such comparisons to justify the worst preemptive steps, from ghastly suppressions of local student opposition to even ghastlier responses to global Communist threats. Acts in the name of preserving democracy, not just scuttling it, have been a nasty business. And there is room to argue that, this time around, American analogies with regime collapse have had grievous consequences. Not only have they helped rehabilitate some of those most responsible for Trump himself—like neoconservatives who found a new audience among liberals after losing control of the Republican Party—but they have also helped determine the fate of the Democratic Party, which chose a “Never Trump” candidate over a transformational one.

But the more devastating truth is that bad analogies have been less harmful than useless. Occluding what led to the rise of Trump (who posed as a victims’ candidate) and “Trump-washing” the American political elite before him who led to so much suffering are less serious mistakes than delaying and distorting a collective resolve about what steps would lead us out of the present morass. In no sense have the fascist comparisons made a productive difference in devising them. Charging fascism does nothing on its own. Only building an alternative to the present does, which requires imagining it first.

If, as seems likeliest, Joe Biden wins the presidency, Trump will come to be treated as an aberration whose rise and fall says nothing about America, home of antifascist heroics that overcame him just as it once slew the worst monsters abroad. Those who warned against the coming of fascism will congratulate themselves for saving the home of the free and redeeming the land of the brave, which somehow lurched towards the brink. They will cordon off the interlude, as if it was “an accident in the factory,” as Germans after World War II described their twelve-year mistake. Far from recognizing Trump as not just the product of and verdict on what came before, they will see his passing as the confirmation of the need to restore it. A few will wonder what happened to the discourse of fascism, and remember the disquieting possibility that fascist tendencies lurk everywhere in modern politics. But their books will sell in smaller numbers. Most will consider the danger past. This is, after all, America.

Comparison, even when controlled by the ballast of contrast, is a political act to be judged successful or not. We must clarify not just what is common when we compare, but also what is distinctive. And, in doing so, we must participate in bringing about a better future, not a worse one, if we can. Analogy and disanalogy with the past can assist in analyzing our present, but not if they allow indulging in a melodramatic righteousness, and luxuriating in our fears, all while preparing a terrifyingly normal future.


quinta-feira, 30 de julho de 2020

A evolução do Covid-19 no mundo, em principais países e no Brasil - Nexo Jornal (30/07/2020)

EVOLUÇÃO DOS CASOS

⚠️Atenção: os gráficos estão em escalas diferentes.





Estamos caindo no fascismo? - Debatable The New York Times

NYTimes.com/Opinion

July 30, 2020

From left, Jair Bolsonaro, Adolf Hitler and Donald Trump.Illustration by The New York Times; photographs by Stefani Reynolds, Christopher Lee for The New York Times, Joedson Alves/EPA, via Shutterstock, and Getty Images
Author Headshot

By Spencer Bokat-Lindell

Staff Editor, Opinion

In a tweet on Thursday morning, President Trump floated the very bad idea of delaying the presidential election. (He does not have the legal authority to do so, though that doesn’t mean there are no reasons for concern — more on those here.) Within hours, the president’s statement was being condemned, by conservatives and progressives alike, as fascism.

Twitter

It’s a word that’s been appearing with increasing frequency recently, including in The Times. But what does fascism actually mean? To what extent can American politics, present and past, be described as fascist? And is it even a useful word anymore? Here’s what people are saying.

How fascism works

The New York Times

The word fascism has become so freighted with meaning that it can be difficult to define; today, it is often used as a shallow epithet for any politics one strongly dislikes. As a historical term, however, fascism refers to the current of far-right, anti-democratic ultranationalism that coursed through Europe in the interwar period. Although primarily associated with Adolf Hitler, fascism first gained form as a paramilitary and political movement under Benito Mussolini in 1919. The name of Mussolini’s party derived from “fasces,” the Latin word for a bundle of wooden rods containing an ax that symbolized power in ancient Rome, and which Mussolini used to represent the Italian people bound by the authority of the state.

A fascist government, as Ruth Ben-Ghiat, a historian of authoritarianism at New York University, explains, has only one party, led by a dictator who through violence has shut down all opposition, including from the judiciary, the press and so-called enemies of the state.

But what makes fascism distinct from other forms of authoritarianism? Here are a few signature characteristics according to Jason Stanley, a philosophy professor at Yale and the author of “How Fascism Works.”

  • The mythic past: 
  • “Us” vs. “them”: 
  • Unreality: 
  • Atomization: 

Is America slipping into fascism?

Critics of President Trump have described him as promoting fascism since before he won the 2016 election. But the accusations have gained new force in recent months with the deployment of federal law enforcement in Washington, D.C.Portland, Ore.; and potentially elsewhere to disperse protests, sometimes brutalizing protestersjournalists and politicians in the process.

America, of course, does not have a one-party government, and it is still holding elections (though fears about their future legitimacy abound), so it cannot credibly be called a fascist state. But do recent events bear the mark of fascist tendencies? The Times columnist Michelle Goldberg thinks so. “This is a classic way that violence happens in authoritarian regimes, whether it’s Franco’s Spain or whether it’s the Russian Empire,” the historian Timothy Snyder told her. “The people who are getting used to committing violence on the border are then brought in to commit violence against people in the interior.” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi tweeted:

Twitter

In The New York Post, Norman Podhoretz describes such declarations as nothing more than “elite hysterics”: Presidents are perfectly within their rights to use federal forces to protect federal property, as many have done before. Federal forces were sent into Los Angeles in 1992, at the request of California’s governor, to control the Rodney King uprisings, into Washington, Chicago and Baltimore in 1968 after Martin Luther King Jr.’s assassination and into Chicago in 1877 during the Great Railroad Strike. As the historian Heather Ann Thompson told The Times, “The idea of bringing in troops or law enforcement in its many forms to quell civilian protest is as American as apple pie — it is foundational to this nation.”

It is on the shores of American history that arguments about domestic fascism tend to come to grief. For if one accepts Stanley’s description, most of the country’s politics to date could be said to evince elements of fascism, as the historian Samuel Moyn writes in The New York Review of Books. In fact, when the Nazis went about designing a legal regime to racialize citizenship and prevent miscegenation, they looked to American race law for a model, as the historian James Q. Whitman has documented: “In ‘Mein Kampf,’ Hitler praised America as nothing less than ‘the one state’ that had made progress toward the creation of a healthy racist order of the kind the Nuremberg Laws were intended to establish.”

Much has also been made of recent incidents of unidentified federal agents pulling protesters into unmarked vehicles. Yet as Brandon Soderberg and Baynard Woods report for The Guardian, local police departments have used this “quasi-fascist tactic” for years. The plainclothes officers who were seen in a widely shared video pulling a New York City protester into an unmarked van on Tuesday, for example, did so under the authority not of Donald Trump but of Mayor Bill de Blasio.

Twitter

Still, Thompson said of Trump, “There is a way in which he is taking this to the next level.” Clark Neily, the vice president for criminal justice at the Cato Institute, pointed out that the Trump administration seems to be using federal agents as a “run-of-the-mill domestic policing force,” including in cities where no violent protest has occurred. Unlike in 1968 or 1992, local officials have not asked for federal intervention. And since then, the number of federal agencies at the president’s disposal has grown. (The Department of Homeland Security was established only in 2002, and Immigration and Customs Enforcement only in 2003.)

Ultimately, the semblance of fascism is still very different from the fact of it. But the journalist Masha Gessen, like Stanley himself, believes that the former is reason enough to worry. After all, fascists have historically come to power through elections. “Trump is now performing his idea of power as he imagines it,” Gessen wrote in The New Yorker last month. “In his intuition, power is autocratic; it affirms the superiority of one nation and one race; it asserts total domination; and it mercilessly suppresses all opposition. Whether or not he is capable of grasping the concept, Trump is performing fascism.”

The cost of calling ‘fascism’

The appeal of reading history into the present is plain enough. But what cost does it incur to understanding? The act of comparison can obscure distinctions even as it illuminates similarities. Moyn argues that by comparing the current moment in America to fascism, one relieves oneself of the responsibility to analyze what is truly new about it. “For all its other virtues,” he writes, “comparison in general does not do well with the novelty that Trump certainly represents, for all of his preconditions and sources.” Nor do analogies to fascism spare much room to appreciate the ways in which the country’s present is continuous with its past. The historian David A. Bell tweeted:

Twitter

Might there also be a political cost to invoking fascism? Perhaps, Moyn says. But in Trump’s case, the problem with such analogies may be that they’re not so much harmful as useless. “Occluding what led to the rise of Trump (who posed as a victims’ candidate) and ‘Trump-washing’ the American political elite before him who led to so much suffering are less serious mistakes than delaying and distorting a collective resolve about what steps would lead us out of the present morass,” he writes. “Charging fascism does nothing on its own. Only building an alternative to the present does, which requires imagining it first.”

Do you have a point of view we missed? Email us at debatable@nytimes.com. Please note your name, age and location in your response, which may be included in the next newsletter.

MORE ON THE F WORD

“Why Historical Analogy Matters” [The New York Review of Books]

Primeira Circum-navegação brasileira e a primeira missão do Brasil à China (1879)

 PRIMEIRA CIRCUM-NAVEGAÇÃO BRASILEIRA E PRIMEIRA MISSÃO DO BRASIL À CHINA (1879)

 

Autores: Marli Cristina Scomazzon e Jeff Franco

Editora: Dois Por Quatro

Número de páginas: 360

Formato: 18 x 24 cm

ISBN: 978-85-69609-43-8

 

Já está disponível o livro sobre a primeira volta ao mundo feita por navio e tripulação brasileira e os bastidores da primeira missão diplomática brasileira à China, fatos ocorridos entre 1879 e 1883

 

O feito de tão arriscada viagem coube à Marinha do Brasil com 197 homens - 22 oficiais, 126 marinheiros imperiais, 15 foguistas e 21 soldados navais. Muitos marinheiros acabaram ceifados por enfermidades como o beribéri. Alguns, desertaram e outros não puderam voltar com a guarnição, pois permaneceram hospitalizados. A viagem de volta ao mundo durou 430 dias, sendo 268 de viagem e 162 nos portos e foi comandada pelo capitão de fragata Júlio César de Noronha.

 

O navio carregou consigo também a primeira missão diplomática brasileira que por três anos buscou um acordo para trazer ao Brasil mão de obra chinesa. A missão, cercada de polêmica no Brasil e no mundo, teve como enviados extraordinários o diplomata Eduardo Callado e o contra-almirante Arthur Silveira da Motta, futuro barão de Jaceguai.

 

Marli Cristina Scomazzon e Jeff Franco, coautores das obras 

 

“Nossa proposta foi recuperar uma aventura levada com heroísmo por centenas de marinheiros anônimos, alguns dos quais até perderam a vida. A viagem é um episódio da história brasileira que estava escondido em vários repositórios. Em outros arquivos foi possível recuperar os registros da primeira missão brasileira à China, envolvendo uma grande polêmica, o que é um exemplo de como os fatos evoluem na crônica da vida política do nosso país”, explicam os autores. “Escrevemos este livro com muito entusiasmo por recuperar um tema até então inédito, uma parte interessante da memória nacional e também por ser uma história repleta de curiosidades”.

 

O livro pode ser adquirido em https://www.doisporquatro.com/primeira-circum-navegacao-brasileira-e-primeira-missao-do-brasil-a-china-1879

 

MAIS INFORMAÇÕES

Valmor Fritsche – Editor: (48) 98409-8222 – editora@doisporquatro.com

Marli Cristina Scomazzon – Autora: (48) 98809-6761 – cri_130@hotmail.com

A China tem algum modelo agrícola digno de ser copiado pela Índia? - Ding Gang (Global Times)

China’s growth inseparable from its system

Ding Gang

Global Times, Pequim – 31.10.2019

 

In the article "Farm lessons from China" published on The India Express, Indian scholars Ashok Gulati and Sakshi Gupta suggest that India should pay attention to China's three lessons to improve agricultural production.

First, China spends a lot more on agriculture knowledge and innovation system (AKIS), which includes agricultural R&D and extension. Second, the incentive structure as measured by producer support estimates (PSEs) is much better for Chinese farmers than Indian farmers. The third lesson pertains to direct income support schemes.

These three lessons have indeed captured the key to China's successful agricultural reform. We know that Indian scholars are intensely researching Chinese agriculture. If India can learn from China's experience in combination with its own agricultural practices, it will undoubtedly help promote its agricultural development. 

However, what Indian scholars should also see is the institutional context that has supported the three specific ways. If there is no corresponding institutional reform, it will be difficult for India to promote those methods. 

In the West, it is now fashionable to discuss the legitimacy of the Chinese government, and they believe it is based on economic development rather than through elections like the West. Some Indian scholars have the same understanding of China's political system.  

This view is a misunderstanding of the Chinese political system. It focuses on the form of the system rather than its function and role, thus ignoring the institutional factors in China's development. In fact, in any Western country, no matter how the government has achieved its ruling status, if it cannot improve the economy, it has to step down. An election is just a form.  

China has historically always been an agricultural country. The legitimacy of the government is closely related to agricultural development, and it is primarily achieved through the leadership in the construction of water conservancy.

So what role does this system play in the development of China's modern agriculture? Only by answering this question can you find the secret of the three lessons. 

Taking the first, investment in agricultural technology by Chinese governments at various levels has been increasing heavily, and it is tightly integrated with poverty alleviation.  

I was born in Shaanxi Province, a landlocked and medium-level developed province in Northwest China. The government there invested 318 million yuan ($45 million) in agricultural industry assistance this year, an increase of 10 percent compared with last year. That's only a small part of the provincial government's yearly agricultural investment. The money will be used to support relatively poor areas for some key projects such as planting apples and kiwis and raising dairy goats.

What is more worthy of mention are China's water conservancy, highways, and other infrastructure. In the 70 years since the founding of the People's Republic of China, China's investment in water conservancy has created a record in human history. By the end of 2018, China had completed more than 11 million rural water supply facilities, benefiting 940 million rural people, and the rural centralized water supply rate reached 86 percent. 

These achievements would be impossible with any single or group of private companies. Without such large-scale and organized national input, it is unlikely China's agriculture would have reached the level it has today. 

Now we can see the relationship between China's development and China's existing political system. This is also what all parties have to pay attention to when learning from China's experience. Those specific experiences do reflect the solutions to problems in the process of China's agricultural reform. But if these lessons are separated from the Chinese system, they may not necessarily become "lessons."

If India intends to learn from China's experience, then it has to reform its agricultural governance system, make it more efficient, with stronger organizational functions and more input, which is precisely the most difficult thing to achieve.

 

The author is a senior editor with People's Daily, and currently a senior fellow with the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies at Renmin University of China.

Servidor que criticar órgão em que atua nas redes sociais deve ser punido, diz CGU

O governo se prepara para evitar críticas de servidores. A intenção é claramente punitiva e intimidatória.

Paulo Roberto de Almeida 

 

Servidor que criticar órgão em que atua nas redes sociais deve ser punido, diz CGU

Por Congresso Em Foco Em 29 jul, 2020 - 13:38

https://congressoemfoco.uol.com.br/governo/servidor-que-criticar-orgao-em-que-atua-nas-redes-sociais-deve-ser-punido-diz-cgu/

 

Governo

CGU, corrupção

Reprodução

ReproduçãoUma nota técnica publicada pela Controladoria-Geral da União defende que a divulgação por servidores federais "de opinião acerca de conflitos ou assuntos internos, ou de manifestações críticas ao órgão ao qual pertença" em suas redes sociais são condutas passíveis de de apuração disciplinar. O documento foi assinado no dia 3 de junho e é de responsabilidade da Coordenação-Geral de Uniformização de Entendimentos (CGUNE).

Esta não é a primeira vez que o tema vem à tona no governo federal. Em maio, uma nota técnica elaborada pela Comissão de Ética do Ibama também pretendia coibir as manifestações políticas contrárias ao governo nas redes sociais dos agentes ambientais.

Em outra ação vista como tentativa de cerceamento da opinião dos servidores federais, o Ministério da Justiça elaborou um dossiê sigiloso contra servidores associados a grupos antifascistas.

A nota é uma manifestação interpretativa da CGUNE "quanto ao alcance e conteúdo dos arts. 116, inciso II e 117, inciso V, da Lei nº 8.112/1990, visando, especialmente, promover a justa adequação destes às hipóteses de condutas irregulares de servidores públicos federais pela má utilização dos meios digitais de comunicação online".

As principais conclusões do documento são:

  • A divulgação pelo servidor de opinião acerca de conflitos ou assuntos internos, ou de manifestações críticas ao órgão ao qual pertença, em veículos de comunicação virtuais, são condutas passíveis de apuração disciplinar;
  • As condutas de servidores que tragam repercussão negativa à imagem e credibilidade de sua instituição, na forma da alínea anterior, caracterizam o descumprimento do dever de lealdade expresso no art. 116, II, da Lei nº 8.112/90;
  • As responsabilidades estatutárias e éticas impostas ao servidor público atuam como circunstâncias limitadoras dos seus interesses privados, permitindo a sua responsabilização disciplinar por condutas irregulares praticadas na esfera privada, desde que estas estejam relacionadas às atribuições do cargo em que se encontre investido;
  • A solução de conflitos de entendimento e interesses que extrapolem a esfera comum dos debates de ordem interna deve, ordinariamente, ocorrer no âmbito do próprio órgão de lotação do servidor, por meio dos canais internos competentes;
  • A identificação funcional do servidor nas mídias sociais, por si só, não é motivo de responsabilização disciplinar, exigindo, além da efetiva divulgação do conteúdo, a verificação de impropriedades no teor das manifestações nele expostas, especialmente no que diz respeito à possível repercussão negativa à imagem ou credibilidade de sua instituição ou em relação aos demais servidores da casa.


Nota Técnica: https://drive.google.com/file/d/173eN_4AXrxs7PWN52siz97TnSbflApMU/view