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Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

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quarta-feira, 26 de março de 2025

Book Review, Thomas Larkin on China: na origem da dominação ocidental: guerras do ópio e colônia britânica de Hong Kong, by Richard J. Grace

 Book Review: 

H-Diplo Review Essay 622

Thomas M. Larkin. The China Firm: American Elites and the Making of British Colonial SocietyColumbia University Press, 2024. ISBN: 9780231210676 (paperback).

25 March 2025 | PDF: https://hdiplo.org/to/E622 | X: @HDiplo | BlueSky: @h-diplo.bsky.social

Editor: Diane Labrosse 
Commissioning Editor: Kevin Grimm 
Production Editor: Christopher Ball
Pre-Production Copy Editor: Masami Kimura 

Review by Richard J. Grace, Providence College

At the conclusion the First Opium War, in 1842, the Celestial Empire ceded the island of Hong Kong to Great Britain. Prior to the war, British merchants at Canton (Guangzhou) had complained vociferously to their home government that the Chinese authorities had declined diplomatic relations with Britain but imposed regulations that affected the business of foreign merchants. To escape from that uncomfortable situation, British merchants sought an entrepot of their own, separate from Chinese interdictions as in the case of the opium trade. When Commissioner Lin Zexu seized the foreign opium stocks in 1839, the Scottish merchant William Jardine sent a “paper of hints” to Foreign Secretary Lord Palmerston, suggesting that the British naval squadron then in Chinese waters seize a suitable island and initiate a negotiation on such terms as: “You take my opium—I take your islands in return—we are therefore Quits, — & thenceforth if you please let us live in friendly Communion and good fellowship.”[1]

When the Treaty of Nanking was agreed to in 1842, Hong Kong was the island that was ceded to Britain; by that time, it was already in British possession, as British naval forces had taken control of the island in 1841. Almost immediately, British firms had begun setting up their operations there and much of the foreign trade of Canton relocated to the new British colony. The Hong merchants, who had been the required conduit of foreign trade at Canton, quickly recognized that “the island-entrepot meant the end of Canton as they knew it.”[2] American firms followed the initial British establishments at Hong Kong, and they became participants in an evolving China trade that took shape differently from the pre-war commerce. The most prominent American firms in the China trade at Canton prior to the Opium War were Russell & Co., Wetmore & Co., Olyphant & Co., and Augustine Heard & Co.

Thomas Larkin’s monograph is the story of Augustine Heard & Co., which was established by Massachusetts people in 1840 and which was declared bankrupt by 1878. The book concentrates much of its attention on four nephews of Augustine Heard, Sr., the founding father of the company. John Heard, Augustine Heard, Jr., Albert Farley Heard, and George Farley Heard were the directors of the Heard business in its heyday.

For most of its life, Augustine Heard & Co. was at home in Hong Kong, though it had offices in some of the treaty ports, most prominently Shanghai. Accordingly, Larkin’s book devotes much of its attention to the way in which the American firm adapted to the circumstances of commerce and society as established by British firms on the island. The book takes in business history, cultural history, personal biographies, and transnational commercial developments. It is a valuable addition to the growing stock of studies of the mercantile history of East Asia during a period when China was in decline. It is written more for scholars than for general readership, in part because of its style of composition, with a vocabulary that employs terms which are more commonly used in other disciplines. In short, the text is sometimes thick, requiring multiple readings for some sentences. However, that does not subvert the value of the author’s research and organization.

The chapters deal with many interesting facets of the firm’s headquarters in Hong Kong, including, for example, the racial dimension of the relationship between these American businessmen and their Chinese personnel who had a great deal to do with the smooth operations of the business and the domicile (under one roof). As the household served commercial affairs and personal accommodation, the operation of the company headquarters had to satisfy a great number of functions, including transactions and entertaining.

One of the most important elements of the book, one which Larkin handles deftly, is the rapport (or lack thereof) between American merchants in China and their English counterparts. The business practices and social practices were established by the British firms there, and the Americans largely conformed and took advantage of the British model. There was some tension or jealousy evident in the way that Americans regarded the more firmly established British firms and the “elite society” that Larkin describes in his presentation of the merchants from different homelands and their ways of life. 

The book gives some attention to women on the scene in China and in Boston, but mostly the four Heard brothers are the primary figures in this history (with the exception of Mary Livingston, wife of Albert Heard). The social code of the China trade opposed marriages between American or British businessmen and Chinese women, but there were many instances where Western traders held long-lasting relationships with “protected women” and, upon leaving China, set up funds to provide for these women and their Eurasian children, as in the case of John Heard’s son, Richard Howard Heard (178-85).

Although the title of the book refers to the Heard “firm,” the text is as much about the lives of the company’s administrators as it is about business operations. Close observation of company management (cargoes, bills of trade, banking transactions, taxes, bankruptcy settlements, consignment sources, pay for employees, etc.) would have been welcome, at the risk of nitty-gritty, but important, detail. 

The man who gave his name to the firm, Augustine Heard, Sr., a sea captain from Ipswich, Massachusetts, does not occupy a prominent role in Larkin’s account of the firm. The founders who were active in China were Joseph Coolidge (formerly of Russell & Co.) and George Dixwell. They assisted British firms in carrying on a clandestine trade during the period of the Opium War. After the Thirteen Factories (where foreign trade was conducted at Canton) were razed to the ground during the British and French assault on the city at the start of the Second Opium War in December 1856, the operations of Heard & Co. were re-established at Hong Kong, which became the headquarters of the firm for the remainder of its existence. The four brothers (John, Augustine Jr., Albert, and George) ran the firm by turns, but not with even management strategies. Accordingly, Augustine Heard & Co. was not a model of business stability. Larkin’s primary documentary collection is the Heard Family Business Records at the Baker Library, Harvard Business School.

One theme that runs through the book examines the relationship between American merchants in China and the British firms which were on home ground in the new colony. The business practices and social practices were established by British firms there, and the Americans largely conformed and took advantage of the British dominance. To some degree, the neutral status of American trade during the Opium War allowed British firms to keep their businesses alive by trans-shipping their cargoes into China on American ships. But there was a quiet tension between the two national groups after the war that was intensified by the sympathies of some British citizens (in China and in England) for the Confederate side in the American Civil War. Larkin handles this tension smoothly, acknowledging it, but not exaggerating it. Sometimes the fusion of local Chinese ways and British practices, as in the emergence of the “tiffin” as a substitute for the English afternoon tea, reduced such tensions between the English and the Americans. Moreover, the author describes a “sense of white cohesion” by which “the Americans and British found unity by identifying that which they both were not: Chinese” (75).

Larkin’s chapters have varying weight. For example, chapter 2, which deals with the properties that served as domicile and business headquarters, offers a great deal of insight into the somewhat confusing social circumstances of the American merchants. Chapter 3, which describes the roles of women in the colony, and the situations in which American and British merchants and families got together in social rounds, at clubs, and at the horse races, explains the odd functioning of social occasions and practices. Larkin’s work is very good in this field of social history. In contrast, the chapter which describes the Heard brothers’ fortunes after China is somewhat less effective because of the awkwardness of the text bouncing from one brother to another repeatedly.

Jacques Downs’s The Golden Ghetto is a good starting point for readers interested in American commerce in China in the first half of the nineteenth century.[3] The field of the old China trade and the post-1842 burgeoning of Western firms is a hot market these days, and those scholars who are interested in this province of East Asian History would do well to keep attention on the work of Paul van Dyke, John Carroll, Alain LePichon, Elizabeth Sinn, Phyllis Forbes Kerr, and Stacilee Ford.[4]

In his introduction, Larkin states that he has used this case study of Augustine Heard & Co. “to establish a more complete understanding of how Americans abroad interacted with nineteenth-century British colonialism and shaped Sino-foreign contact” (9). In that endeavor, he has been successful.

 

Richard J. Grace is an emeritus Professor of History at Providence College in Rhode Island. He holds a PhD in History from Fordham University and has twice been a visiting fellow at St. Edmund’s College, University of Cambridge. His fields of special interest are British and American history in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. His study of nineteenth-century China traders, Opium and Empire: The Lives and Careers of William Jardine and James Matheson, was published in 2014 by McGill-Queens University Press. He is currently completing an analysis of the various types of costs of World War II for Great Britain. He is the author of articles and reviews in numerous academic journals.


 


[1] Memorandum from William Jardine to Lord Palmerston, 5 December 1839, Palmerston Papers, University of Southampton, MS 62 PP/ MM/ CH /5.

[2] Jacques Downs, The Golden Ghetto: The American Commercial Community at Canton and the Shaping of American China Policy, 1784–1844 (Lehigh University Press, 1997), 325.

[3] Downs, The Golden Ghetto.

[4] Regarding Chinese migration via Hong Kong, see Elizabeth Sinn, “In-between Place: A New Paradigm for Hong Kong Studies,” in Elizabeth Sinn, Siulun Wong, and Wing-hoi Chan, eds.,Rethinking Hong Kong: New Paradigms, New Perspectives (University of Hong Kong Centre of Asian Studies, 2009). Regarding the field, see Paul Van Dyke, Americans and Macao: Trade, Smuggling, and Diplomacy on the South China Coast (Hong Kong University Press, 2012); John Carroll, Canton Days: British Life and Death in China (Rowman & Littlefield, 2020); Alain Le Pichon, Aux origins de Hong Kong: Aspects de la civilisation commerciale a Canton – Le fonds de commerce de Jardine, Matheson & Co., 1827–1839 (L’Harmattan, 1998); Elizabeth Sinn and Christopher Muss, eds., Meeting Place: Encounters across Cultures in Hong Kong, 1841–1984 (Hong Kong University Press, 2017).

domingo, 23 de março de 2025

Book review: o fim do colonialismo - Martin Thomas: The End of Empires and a World Remade: A Global History of Decolonization; review by Eva-Maria Muschik

Book review: Efeito Xi Jinping por Ashley Esarey e Rongbin Han (eds.), review by Olivia Cheung (H-Net Reviews)

Cheung on Esarey and Han, 'The Xi Jinping Effect' [Review]

H-Net Reviews

Esarey, Ashley; Han, Rongbin, eds..  The Xi Jinping Effect

 University of Washington Press, 2024. 304 pp. $32.00 (paper), ISBN 9780295752815.

Reviewed by Olivia Cheung (King's College London)
Published on H-Diplo (March, 2025)
Commissioned by Seth Offenbach (Bronx Community College, The City University of New York)

Printable Version: https://www.h-net.org/reviews/showpdf.php?id=61434

Xi Jinping is known for his authoritarian rule, foreign policy ambitions, and confrontational stance toward the United States. Shortly after taking power in late 2012, Xi articulated the goal of achieving “the China Dream of national rejuvenation” by mid-century.[1] To reach this, he has focused on reinvigorating the Chinese Communist Party on the basis of centralizing powers in his hands. He has disregarded conventions, launching an unprecedentedly intense rectification-cum-anticorruption drive; elevating his “thought” as the state ideology; restructuring the party, military, and state; abolishing term limits in 2018; taking a third term in 2022; and ending the “hide and bide” foreign policy. Politically, Xi appears invisible, but does his power translate to effective governance? Even under former Chinese leader Mao Zedong’s totalitarian rule, resistance and subversion persisted. As a Chinese saying goes, “From the top comes policies; from the bottom, coping strategies.” To govern as effectively as he holds power, Xi must overcome not only resistance and inertia, but also deep-seated structural factors and international forces beyond his control.

To what extent does Xi impact China’s governance and policies? The Xi Jinping Effect, edited by Ashley Esarey and Rongbin Han, examines this question. The book is divided into four parts, with the first three addressing the Xi effect on domestic affairs—internal party governance and ideological rectification (part 1), socioeconomic inequality (part 2), and mass surveillance and control (part 3). Part 4 considers Xi’s impact on Taiwan and China’s relations with Southeast Asia. While these areas are significant, it is unclear why they were chosen over others. Notably, Xi has invested in technological supremacy, party control in business, securitization, military-civilian fusion, rebooting “One Country, Two Systems” in Hong Kong, befriending the Global South, competing with the United States, and changing the global governance system in a more Sino-centric fashion. Would focusing on these areas yield a different assessment of the Xi effect?

If I were to study the Xi effect, I would use X’s strategic intentions as the starting point and anchor. Based on an analysis of Xi’s speeches and writings, I would identify the areas he is most and least determined to change, his benchmarks of success, time frame, and the trade-offs he is willing to make.[2] Thereafter, I would sort Xi’s policies into categories depending on the strength or outcome of the Xi effect as Xi intended them to be. I would then select several cases from each category for analysis with a view of producing findings that will have a good degree of generalizability. Putting Xi’s preferences and worldview, or Xi Jinping Thought, front and center implies taking Xi’s agency fully into account in appraising the Xi effect. Assessing the Xi effect by checking whether Xi Thought was faithfully implemented should allow us to probe more deeply into the nature and limits of Xi’s strongman rule, this being the very phenomenon that motivates a study of the Xi effect in the first place.

The book concludes that the Xi effect is highly uneven. It is found to be the main reason behind the “total surveillance” of society (chapter 6), especially the Xinjiang Uyghurs (chapter 7). It has shown to be robust in anticorruption in the party-state (chapter 1). Its impact on ideological governance in the party (chapter 2) and society (chapter 3) is sweeping. Furthermore, it has risen above all factors in shaping China’s Taiwan policy (chapter 8). In these areas, Xi has overturned long-standing post-Mao policies. It is nothing short of a “counter-reformation” (chapter 2) of the post-Mao or Dengist reform, one that will most likely endure as long as Xi is in power. The authors of these chapters, except chapters 7 (on Xinjiang) and 8 (on Taiwan), observe that the changes ushered in by Xi are not entirely new. They either built on or adapt existing trends or took a page from earlier periods. Deng Kai, David Demes, and Chih-Jou Jay Chen (chapter 7) point out that Xi’s “total surveillance” system was made possible by the preceding Hu Jintao regime’s decision to build a national population database (p. 154). Andrew Wedeman traces the origin of Xi’s anticorruption campaign to Mao’s times (chapter 1). Timothy Cheek observes ideological governance under Xi had roots in the Qing dynasty (chapter 2). Gerda Wielander demonstrates that Xi’s reaffirmation of “faith” in the party, though overtly political, strikes a chord with popular thinking at the social grassroots (chapter 3). Prior to Xi, many human right dissidents in China publicly proclaimed the importance of keeping faith. Like Xi, they also saw faith as a “spiritual and motivational force” to help them move forward (p. 73). Whereas they claimed inspiration from Christianity (pp. 73-74) to confront the authorities, Xi, an atheist, urged people to submit to the party out of faith in its moral righteousness.

In contrast to the above chapters, Martin King Whyte (chapter 4) and Alexia T. Chan (chapter 5) conclude that the Xi effect is slight, if not negligible, in improving socioeconomic inequality. Both present ample evidence of persistent and increasing urban-rural inequality under Xi. Their findings juxtapose to Xi’s declaration, in 2020, that the antipoverty campaign he started in 2015 had delivered a “miracle.” Xi claimed that the campaign had lifted seventy million rural Chinese out of “absolute poverty.”[3] Yet, the everyday poverty documented in chapters 4 and 5 shows that the success of the antipoverty campaign was short-lived. Whyte attributes the lack of a Xi effect in reducing inequality not to Xi’s weakness but his reluctance to take “bold” steps to combat inequality (p. 117). Chan goes further. She finds that the persistence of second-class citizenship under Xi is intentional and “serves state goals” (p. 146). Both further observe that structural factors have come into play. For example, Chan finds that the problem of “unfunded mandates” has persisted under Xi (p. 139), whereby the central government announced goals to improve the people’s livelihood without supporting cash-strapped local governments to translate these goals into actual policies. I would add that the massive increase in local government debt under Xi is another important structural factor, this being one that is inadvertently contributed by his other policies, notably the crackdown on the property sector and shadow banking.[4]

The middle point between a strong Xi effect and a weak Xi effect is found in China’s relations with Southeast Asia. Brantly Womack (chapter 9) shows that the Belt and Road Initiative, Xi’s signature foreign policy program, has strengthened connectivity between China and Southeast Asia, and with that, their asymmetric power balance to the advantage of China (p. 229). Yet Womack stresses that Southeast Asia is not only “concerned” about Xi’s arrogance but also “the possible side effects of China’s confrontation with the United States”—a prominent feature of Xi’s foreign policy (p. 229). Womack concluded that Southeast Asia’s reluctance to take a side between the United States and China is a more decisive factor than Xi’s personality, diplomacy, or aggressive actions in shaping their approach to China.

Every chapter in this book is highly informative on the latest developments of China under Xi. However, not all of them addresses the Xi effect explicitly or systematically. In some chapters, there is a lack of a focused examination of the Xi effect. Policy changes under Xi are taken as evidence of a Xi effect at work, almost at face value. Other chapters, notably chapter 9, make efforts to isolate Xi’s agency from other factors contributing to the policy outcome observed under Xi. The lack of a shared theoretical framework to examine the Xi effect is not particularly conducive to understanding the Xi effect. This brings me back to my earlier suggestion of using Xi Thought as a yardstick to appraise the Xi effect, one that is, from what I can see, feasible to be adopted by all chapters.

As discussed earlier, the book concludes that the Xi effect is highly uneven across policy issues. It would have been helpful if the book had also addressed the implications of this observation more deeply, beyond pointing out the tension between agency and structure. At a start, perhaps the following questions could be addressed. Has Xi’s success in implementing a system of total surveillance in society, which greatly raises the cost of the public expression of dissatisfaction, inadvertently reduced his commitment to take bold steps to improve the quality of living for China’s workers? Has the persistence of income inequality in China weakened Xi’s ideological governance? What are the common variables behind the strong Xi effect in anticorruption, ideological governance, social control, and China’s Taiwan policy?

Finally, it would have been invaluable had the authors reflected on whether the conclusions drawn in their studies can be extrapolated and why. In the book where this is done, it is often insightful. For example, in chapter 3, Wielander links Xi’s ideological governance—namely his strategy to “tighten control of all faith-based activity and to position the Party itself as an object of faith”—to China’s emergence as a “fundamentalist power” that challenges the “international order built on commonly shared values” (p. 71). This is a fascinating insight that speaks of the role of domestic factors in how China sees its place in the world. It contributes a more textured understanding to the role of domestic factors in Chinese foreign policy, a welcome variation to the dominant accounts, which focus heavily on international structural factors. This is only one of many examples of the usefulness of this volume in unraveling the complexities of Xi’s China.

As Xi is nearing the middle of his third five-year term, we are increasingly witnessing a distinct Xi effect on China’s relations with the rest of the world. Xi’s personal rapport with Putin, head-of-state diplomacy with world leaders, and the three global initiatives he introduced as a better alternative to the liberal international order are some examples.[5] To bring the analysis of the Xi effect up to date, it would be helpful to examine closely Xi’s tianxia worldview and his role in foreign policymaking. This could be one of the directions which the research program of the Xi effect may develop.

Notes

[1]. Jinping Xi, Xi Jinping tan zhiguo lizheng [Xi Jinping: The Governance of China] (Beijing: Waiwen chubanshe, 2014), 35-36.

[2]. Steve Tsang and Olivia Cheung, The Political Thought of Xi Jinping (Oxford University Press, 2024).

[3]. Ibid., 102, 112-13.

[4]. Victor Shih and Jonathan Elkobi, Local Government Debt Dynamics in China: An Exploration Through the Lens of Local Government Debt and LGFV Debt, November 27, 2023, 21st Century China Center, UC San Diego School of Global Policy and Strategy, https://china.ucsd.edu/_files/2023-report_shih_local-government-debt-dynamics-in-china.pdf.

[5]. These are the Global Development Initiative (2021), Global Security Initiative (2022), and Global Civilization Initiative (2023).

Olivia Cheung is a lecturer in politics at the Department of European and International Studies, King’s College London. Her research specialization is the domestic politics and foreign policy of China. Her latest major publications are The Political Thought of Xi Jinping (Oxford University Press, 2024), coauthored with Steve Tsang, and Factional-Ideological Conflicts in Chinese Politics: To the Left or to the Right?(Amsterdam University Press, 2023).

Citation: Olivia Cheung. Review of Esarey, Ashley; Han, Rongbin, eds.. The Xi Jinping Effect. H-Diplo, H-Net Reviews. March, 2025.
URL: https://www.h-net.org/reviews/showrev.php?id=61434

segunda-feira, 3 de fevereiro de 2025

The Rise of Xi Jinping and China's Superpower Future, by Chun Han Wong - Book review by Benjamin Tze Ern Ho (H-Net Reviews)

H-Net Reviews

Wong, Chun Han. Party of One: The Rise of Xi Jinping and China's Superpower Future. : Avid Reader Press, 2023. xvi + 395 pp. $20.99 (paper), ISBN 9781982185749.$30.00 (cloth), ISBN 9781982185732.


Reviewed by Benjamin Tze Ern Ho (Nanyang Technological University)
Published on H-Diplo (February, 2025)


Commissioned by Seth Offenbach (Bronx Community College, The City University of New York)


Printable Version: https://www.h-net.org/reviews/showpdf.php?id=61176


Among contemporary China watchers, there is a view that President Xi Jinping—in more than a decade of ruling China—has refashioned and remodeled the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and China’s political landscape into his own image. A case in point can be seen in the emphasis in recent years (particularly after the COVID-19 pandemic) on national security concerns instead of economic development, consequently affecting China’s relations with the rest of the world (particularly the West and the United States, which Beijing views as having designs on undermining its national security). Not surprising, scholars have attempted to divine what Xi’s worldview might be and how his thinking has shaped China’s foreign policy practices. Some notable works in recent years include Kerry Brown’s Xi Jinping: A Study in Power (2022), Steve Tsang and Olivia Cheung’s The Political Thought of Xi Jinping (2023), and Kevin Rudd’s On Xi Jinping: How Xi's Marxist Nationalism Is Shaping China and the World (2024).

While these widely acclaimed books have provided good clues and insights into the thought forms and political world that Xi inhabits, their analyses tend to focus on specific aspects of Xi, such as his personality (Brown and Rudd) and his political ideas (Tsang and Cheung). Chun Han Wong’s Party of One moves the needle on the study of Xi in a decisive manner, in this case, attempting to connect Xi’s ability to effect real changes in China’s sociopolitical space through his executive power vis-à-vis the CCP. Among Chinese scholars, there is an acknowledgment that the CCP is not monolithically defined and that there exists a variety of views, factions, and ideological positions within the party. That said, I argue that under Xi, these factions are rendered powerless or irrelevant unless they happen to square with his own personal views. To evidence this, Wong uses his years of experience as a Wall Street Journal reporter who honed his craft in China. He provides us with a multilayered and multi-textured portrayal of Xi and illustrates how the CCP and China have been thoroughly “Xi-nicized” as Xi has stamped his influence not only within the party but also on the broader Chinese society.

To make sense of Chinese politics these days, one way is to recognize that the CCP sits on top of Chinese society and Xi sits on top of the CCP. By marrying Marxist-Leninist principles of control with a veneer of Chinese traditional thought (taken from the repertoire of Confucian and Legalist ideas), Xi has managed to exert and extend his control of the party and society in ways unimaginable since Mao Zedong—thus making him the paramount leader of modern China today. This is where Wong’s investigation and analysis in writing this book helps his work stand out from other comparable works. By telling the stories of the ordinary Chinese and Chinese officials, Wong is able to weave a compelling narrative of how Xi’s leadership has been decisive in spreading the widespread changes we see today in Chinese society. The common Chinese saying “Heaven is high and the emperor is far away” is sometimes used to lend credence to the belief that many local officials often disregard the wishes of the central authorities in Beijing, especially if these instructions run up against their own local priorities. Reading the Party of One, one comes away with a slightly different take in that “heaven may be high, but the emperor is not far away.” In other words, Xi’s influence is total and his political tentacles and reach go very far. As Wong observes in his analysis of how the party has exacted control over its own cadres (wherever they may be), “the leadership keeps tabs on elite party families through informants within their staff—scrutiny that dissuades many princelings and retired elders from criticizing Xi” (p. 73).

The focus on the mark Xi has made on the party is the strongest and most compelling aspect of the book. All eight chapters are single-mindedly focused on one outcome of Xi’s rule: the party. As I have observed elsewhere, Xi’s derivation of power and influence is intrinsically linked to his preeminence and position in the party.[1] To use a J. K. Rowling analogy from the Harry Potter books, Xi and the party have made “horcruxes” of one another.[2] Without the party with which to execute his wishes and commands, Xi would just be another Chinese citizen (out of the 1.3 billion citizens) or political official (with political ambitions but without the political platform to implement his ideas). Likewise, without a unifying figurehead in the person of Xi, the party would inevitably be consigned to factional struggles and internal competition, and in the worst case it would suffer the same fate as the Soviet Union some three and a half decades ago.

Xi has worked to ensure that party survival is contingent on the party being obedient—even subservient—to his wishes, while his ability to stay in power depends on his mastery of the party and his use of the party apparatus to achieve his own political goals. Unlike Mao who viewed himself as above the party, Xi’s fortunes are wholly linked to his place and position within the party. Wong thus tells the story of Xi’s power and influence within the party, from invoking anti-corruption measures (as of this writing, its defense minister Dong Jun is under investigation for corruption, suffering the same fate as his two predecessors), to writing the rules of governance, rejiggling the economy, and projecting its influence globally. While most of these observations and insights will not be new to seasoned Chinese watchers, Wong does an excellent job unpacking and putting on paper what has hitherto only been discussed or speculated about. His wide contacts of sources within China (intellectuals, dissidents, ordinary citizens) allow him to connect the dots in the Chinese political space and to conclude that “Xi’s efforts [in maintaining domestic stability] have yielded a nonpareil system of social control” (p. 92). By allowing his contacts to tell their stories where possible, Wong provides us with a kaleidoscope of narratives testifying to the overarching narrative: Xi’s words are law, what he says becomes policy.

Since Deng Xiaoping’s reforms and opening up in the late 1970s, China has prided itself on wanting to be open to the outside world so as to ensure economic growth. Even during the Tiananmen period of the late 1980s, where relations between China and the West witnessed a downturn, Beijing’s purge of liberal-minded colleagues was only short-lived as Deng himself embarked on his southern tour in 1992. This was followed by Jiang Zemin’s declaration that China aimed to build a socialist market economy, enshrining Deng’s path as official orthodoxy. All these have seemed to change under Xi; the party—not the market—reigns supreme. As Wong puts it, what is happening to China today is an economic “hybrid system that combines central planning with market mechanisms, where state and private enterprises act in concert to advance the party’s economic agenda” (p. 131, emphasis added). In other words, what is ultimately important to Xi is not economic efficiency (in which market forces play their role for better or worse) but the party’s benefits as a result of economic policies. The longevity of the party, not the health of the Chinese economy, is ultimately of key importance. A more vivid example would be the extended lockdown by Chinese government during the coronavirus pandemic in which Beijing did not open up almost a full year after many countries started to open their economies and to live with the virus as being endemic. As a result of the draconian measures taken during the pandemic, the Chinese economy tanked and Beijing today is still trying to recover from the economic damage.[3]

Given the above, one may think that Xi’s godlike status within Chinese society will be eternally secure or that there are no areas of weaknesses in Xi’s political armor. This is not the case, and this is where I think Wong’s portrayal of Xi—as being essentially unchallenged from both within and without—is not quite as clear-cut as the Party of One suggests based on my reading. To be fair, Wong in the conclusion makes the correct observation that “Xi’s China is brash but brittle, intrepid yet insecure” (p. 280); however, Wong does not go so far as to quite point out the chinks within the party, unlike other public intellectuals, like Singapore’s Bilahari Kausikan who talks about Xi as being a “single point of failure within the CCP system.”[4] In other words, by arrogating power to himself, Xi is creating a system that is ripe for disaster, especially when things turn sour. The lack of decentralized decision-making power means potential paralysis in decision-making. By second-guessing what Xi likes, rather than what he needs, Chinese officials and policymakers have little agency to “speak truth to power” and instead end up parroting official Chinese-speech. As evidenced by the coronavirus pandemic, Chinese officials in Wuhan were slow to act as they could not make any meaningful decisions until permission was given from the top in the early stages of the pandemic back in January 2020. Likewise, the recent purge of senior officials at the highest echelons of China’s political office, such as its former foreign minister Qin Gang and three defense ministers, suggests a level of incongruence between decision-makers at the top (including Xi) and the information they are given to make decisions (why weren’t these problems spotted and highlighted earlier?).

Seen this way, the problems within the Chinese political system should not be viewed in isolation and as having no bearing to the broader structure that has enabled the existence and even permissiveness of these problems. As William Shakespeare puts it in Hamlet, “there are more things in heaven and earth Horatio than are dreamt of in your philosophy.” One would hope that in sitting at the apex of power in the Chinese political system, Xi’s philosophy of the world would be sufficiently enlightened to recognize that in his party of one, the buck stops with him.

Notes

[1]. Benjamin Ho, “Why Xi Jinping Cannot Back Down on Coronavirus,” National Interest, June 4, 2022.

[2]. In the Harry Potter books, a horcrux is an object in which a dark wizard or a witch had hidden a detached fragment of their soul in order to become immortal or invincible.

[3]. “China Posts Record Deficit in 2022 on Covid Zero, Property Slump,” Business Times, January 30, 2023, https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/international/china-posts-record-deficit-2022-covid-zero-property-slump; and Sun Yu and Yuan Yang, “Why China’s Economic Recovery from Coronavirus Is Widening the Wealth Gap,” Financial Times, August 18, 2020, https://www.ft.com/content/e0e2940a-17cb-40ed-8d27-3722c9349a5d.

[4]. Bilahari Kausikan, “Address by Ambassador Bilahari Kausikan at the Third Atal Bihari Vajpayee Memorial Lecture,” Ministry of External Affiars, Government of India, Media Center, January 23, 2023, https://www.mea.gov.in/Speeches-Statements.htm?dtl/36142/Address_by_Ambassador_Bilahari_Kausikan_at_the_third_Atal_Bihari_Vajpayee_Memorial_Lecture_January_23_2023.

Benjamin Tze Ern Ho is an assistant professor in the China Programme, Institute of Defense and Strategic Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. He specializes in the study of Chinese international relations and Asian comparative political order.

Citation: Benjamin Tze Ern Ho. Review of Wong, Chun Han. Party of One: The Rise of Xi Jinping and China's Superpower Future. H-Diplo, H-Net Reviews. February, 2025.
URL: https://www.h-net.org/reviews/showrev.php?id=61176

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States License.


quinta-feira, 23 de janeiro de 2025

Book review: Victor Gaetan, Diplomacia papal e do Vaticano - Anne Marie Cammisa (H-Diplo Review)

 

Greetings Paulo Roberto Almeida,
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