Finland’s President Alexandeer Stubb: The U.S. elected Trump. His foreign policy is transactional.
You have to adapt and find ways to influence. Diplomacy is both state and personal, people make the decisions. My heart is often in North America. 1/
Stubb: I doubt we'll see a ceasefire before summer ends, there's no momentum. Thousands die weekly, and Russia keeps targeting civilians.
After NATO summit I felt hopeful long-term, but not about an immediate end. This war may grind on. 2/
Stubb: If you want to end this war you need 2 things. One is you need to continue to militarize Ukraine.
Second thing, we need to put pressure on Russia so that it ends the war, so it doesn't have an incentive to continue anymore. 3/
Stubb: In today’s transactional world, U.S. actions in Iran could impact Ukraine. Trump has shown he’ll use force.
A weakened Iran may stop arming Russia. Will Trump get tougher on Russia? Unclear, but he may hold the key to peace. 4/
Stubb: Ukraine is fighting for its independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity. This is also a fight for the global order — rules, norms, and institutions.
If might makes right, and borders can be redrawn by force, we risk descending into a lawless, unstable world. 5/
Stubb: You should never get flustered. Stay cool, calm and collected. 6X
