O que é este blog?

Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida;

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Mostrando postagens com marcador book. Mostrar todas as postagens
Mostrando postagens com marcador book. Mostrar todas as postagens

segunda-feira, 1 de agosto de 2022

Existe essa coisa de “capitalismo global”? Livro de Jeffry Frieden sobre Global Capitalism

 Acho que ainda é cedo demais para essa realida diáfana, e talvez nunca venha a existir…

Jeffry A. Frieden: Global Capitalism: Its Fall and Rise in the Twentieth Century, and Its Stumbles in the Twenty-first  


Vou procurar esse livro, mas sempre tenho uma reação “braudeliana” quando alguém fala de “capitalismo global”, algo que não existe. 

O que existe são gradações diferenciadas da economia de mercado, jamais universal, pois que fragmentada pela infinita variações de capitalismos específicos, geralmente nacionais, mas alguns transnacionais. 

O de maior sucesso relativo no momento presente é esse “com características chinesas”, que alguns pretendem que seja o “socialismo do século XXI”, mas que nada mais é do que uma variante da economia de mercado, no caso dirigida por um partido leninista, outra variante da autocracia política.

terça-feira, 5 de julho de 2022

Henry Kissinger: Leadership; his new, perhaps the last, book (unless there are secret papers to be revealed post mortem)

Well, after those six great strategists he dissects, how could we transpose to a single concept the kind of strategy of leadership Kissinger himself developed during his years in power? 
Perhaps the old Roman adage, divide et impera, could represent his work at the height of Soviet power, when he inserted China in his great game to change the balance of powers among the greats.
He was a kind of Metternichean personality, interested solely in how to maintain control of everything in times of turbulence.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Leadership

Publisher Description

Henry Kissinger, consummate diplomat and statesman, examines the strategies of six great twentieth-century figures and brings to life a unifying theory of leadership and diplomacy

“Leaders,” writes Henry Kissinger in this compelling book, “think and act at the intersection of two axes: the first, between the past and the future; the second, between the abiding values and aspirations of those they lead. They must balance what they know, which is necessarily drawn from the past, with what they intuit about the future, which is inherently conjectural and uncertain. It is this intuitive grasp of direction that enables leaders to set objectives and lay down a strategy.”
 
In Leadership, Kissinger analyses the lives of six extraordinary leaders through the distinctive strategies of statecraft, which he believes they embodied. After the Second World War, Konrad Adenauer brought defeated and morally bankrupt Germany back into the community of nations by what Kissinger calls “the strategy of humility.” Charles de Gaulle set France beside the victorious Allies and renewed its historic grandeur by “the strategy of will.” During the Cold War, Richard Nixon gave geostrategic advantage to the United States by “the strategy of equilibrium.” After twenty-five years of conflict, Anwar Sadat brought a vision of peace to the Middle East by a “strategy of transcendence.” Against the odds, Lee Kuan Yew created a powerhouse city-state, Singapore, by “the strategy of excellence.” And, though Britain was known as “the sick man of Europe” when Margaret Thatcher came to power, she renewed her country’s morale and international position by “the strategy of conviction.”

To each of these studies, Kissinger brings historical perception, public experience and—because he knew each of the subjects and participated in many of the events he describes—personal knowledge. Leadership is enriched by insights and judgements that only Kissinger could make and concludes with his reflections on world order and the indispensability of leadership today. 


domingo, 26 de junho de 2022

Um outro livro de Carroll Quigley, que ainda não li: Tragedy and Hope: A History of the World in Our Time

 

Tragedy and Hope: A History of the World in Our Time - Paperback – March 1, 2014


UNCENSORED! Tragedy & Hope: A History of the World in Our Time by Carroll Quigley is the ultimate insider admission of a secret global elite that has impacted nearly every modern historical event. Learn how the Anglo-American banking elite were able to secretly establish and maintain their global power. This massive book provides a detailed world history beginning with the industrial revolution and imperialism through two world wars, a global depression and the rise of communism. Tragedy & Hope is the definitive work on the world's power structure and an essential source material for understanding the history, goals and actions of the New World Order.

ALL ORIGINAL CONTENT, UNABRIDGED. This Millennium Edition is a larger page format, allowing for the same content in less pages. The larger page format also allows for a larger font than previous editions, for easier reading.

ORIGINAL BOOK DESCRIPTION: TRAGEDY AND HOPE shows the years 1895-1950 as a period of transition from the world dominated by Europe in the nineteenth century to the world of three blocs in the twentieth century. With clarity, perspective, and cumulative impact, Professor Quigley examines the nature of that transition through two world wars and a worldwide economic depression. As an interpretative historian, he tries to show each event in the full complexity of its historical context. The result is a unique work, notable in several ways. It gives a picture of the world in terms of the influence of different cultures and outlooks upon each other; it shows, more completely than in any similar work, the influence of science and technology on human life; and it explains, with unprecedented clarity, how the intricate financial and commercial patterns of the West prior to 1914 influenced the development of today's world.


Top reviews from the United States

Reviewed in the United States on October 31, 2015
This tome reveals the inner workings and machinations of leaders in each country and how they worked behind the scenes to control the operations of the country politically and economically. Great read. The book was so revealing that after it was published and started to become popular the publisher stopped publishing it and suppressed the book. You will see how Quigley by accident uncovered what the insiders did not want to be revealed.
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Reviewed in the United States on April 21, 2021
Most readers quote from this book to illuminate the ideas that the Illuminati and more importantly baking institutions really run both the U.S. government and the world. However, the reader must take the time to read the whole book. Dr. Carroll Quigley wrote a book for the ages and especially with its focus on the first half of the 20th century. The book was written in 1966 and Dr. Carroll Quigley died in 1977, but his theories on the economic policies on the West in such countries as the United States, Great Britain, France, and Nazi Germany were fascinating to me. I have to admit that in some cases, the man was so brilliant that I did not understand all the subject material in his book. I can honestly write that he was a great historian who loved to write history books, and teach, which came out in his book. Rest In Peace (R.I.P.) to Dr. Carroll Quigley!

The Evolution of Civilizations: An Introduction to Historical Analysis, by Carrol Quigley

Li este livro quando ainda era adolescente, e me lembro muito bem de qual biblioteca que eu frequentava que o retirei: da União Cultural Brasil-Estados Unidos, próximo à Avenida Nove de Julho e pouco abaixo de seu túnel, em São Paulo, SP, aí pelos idos de 1967 ou 1968.

The Evolution of Civilizations: An Introduction to Historical Analysis 

2nd Edition

Carroll Quigley was a legendary teacher at the Georgetown School of Foreign Service. His course on the history of civilization was extraordinary in its scope and in its impact on students.

Like the course, The Evolution of Civilizations is a comprehensive and perceptive look at the factors behind the rise and fall of civilizations. Quigley examines the application of scientific method to the social sciences, then establishes his historical hypotheses. He poses a division of culture into six levels from the abstract to the more concrete. He then tests those hypotheses by a detailed analysis of five major civilizations: the Mesopotamian, the Canaanite, the Minoan, the classical, and the Western.

Quigley defines a civilization as “a producing society with an instrument of expansion.” A civilization’s decline is not inevitable but occurs when its instrument of expansion is transformed into an institution—that is, when social arrangements that meet real social needs are transformed into social institutions serving their own purposes regardless of real social needs. 

Reviews: 

Reviewed in the United States on December 9, 2018

The "seven ages of man" here become the seven stages of the evolution of civilisations. Quigley's method is analytical (analysis = "breaking up"), in that it parcels up the continuum of historical evolution beyond the usual stages of "rise" and "decline and fall" (Gibbon), but not "scientific," certainly not by the definition of "scientific" he himself proposes (cf. p.33): if the "scientific" method involves gathering of "all the relevant evidence," he fails to do so, analysing as he does only a fairly limited subset of all the "civilisations" he himself lists (a list that itself surely only comprises a subset of civilisations that have actually existed). Rather than being "scientific," his approach is rationalist, which, it so happens, is precisely that metaphysics which he evidently despises most (cf. pp. 38, 337). For a budding philosopher of history, he gets his philosophy awfully wrong. His curious definition of the Russian "civilisation" as separate from the "Western" is perhaps excusable by Quigley's personal historical context (the book was first published in 1961), although it must be said that the mark of a historian must be, inter alia, that he can lift his head above his immediate context. More generally Quigley's grasp of history is probably nearly as limited as that of philosophy (he reduces, for example, the Napoleonic Wars to a conflict between France and Britain--never mind what those poor underrated Germans, Russians, Italians, Spanish, Poles, Dutch and countless other peoples may think of it, on whose lands those wars took place, fought by their peoples). Having said that, the one chapter in his book I found eminently readable is the one in which Quigley puts his "scientific" method aside and simply retells history, in a grand sweep, no doubt, but in a way that makes interesting connections: Chapter 6, "The Matrix of Early Civilisations," which in some ways anticipates Jared Diamond's on the whole more intriguing analysis. One "star" for making an honest attempt, and a second "star" for Chapter 6.

Reviewed in the United States on September 30, 2012

Let me repeat a short part from the Conclusion of the book: "To know is not too demanding: it merely requires memory and time. But to understand is quite a different matter: it requires intellectual ability and training, a self-conscious awareness of what one is doing, experience in techniques of analysis and synthesis, and above all, perspective." I'm not a professional historian but I can see that Quigley had put a very honest intellectual effort in order help bring a perspective to the readers who want to understand the history of civilizations. He puts his framework into test by trying to explain the major phases of many civilizations and he seems to have achieved a consistent set of explanations. Moreover, he does this without being dry, the whole book is an exciting read and feels like listening to a good professor who seems to have a deep understanding and knowledge of his subject matter. Nevertheless, there are still many open questions regarding the evolution of civilizations, such as: is it really possible to explain and predict many events by focusing on weapons technology? Why the difference between civilizations between different times, etc?

The book has other drawbacks, especially the explanations about linguistics, but I think they can be tolerated, after all it was written about 50 years ago. We have learned a lot since then but it's a pity that we do not see more people like Quigley; people who can write really good books on big topics without being drown in details, and people who can defend a strong framework for analyzing grand structures throughout long periods of time.
Reviewed in the United States on May 6, 2008
I am a professional historian and one-time student of Carroll Quigley. Rereading "The Evolution of Civilizations" after 40 years, I heard his voice speaking across time and felt once again the uncanny penetration of his analytical mind. I suppose that he was the most remarkable person I have ever met.
This book makes a major contribution to the study of civilizations, previously the preserve of writers of a literary or philosophical bent. Quigley was through and through a scientist who strove to analyze the rise and fall of civilizations and develop explanations of their dynamics that went well beyond the descriptive treatments of Toynbee and others.
Quigley's seven stages of the rise and fall of civilizations, his six dimensions of analysis (military, political, economic, social, religious, and intellectual), and his application of the concept of institutionalization of once-productive "instruments" of society to explaining the stages of Expansion and Conflict are superior to any competing framework of analysis I have encountered. They deserve careful scrutiny for what they can tell us about the interaction of civilizations in our globalizing world.
I found especially interesting Quigley's analysis of how climate change shaped prehistorical population movements, his discussion of the philosophical struggles of classical antiquity, and his explanation of the economic factors driving European expansion and conflict.
That this book has never received much attention from professional historians should not surprise us. Quigley was operating in a mode that led him to diverge from the mainstream and to upset more than a few specialists.
While this book certainly contains high value for students of world history, its teachings can be applied in other fields as well. I have found the analytical techniques and the explanation of science and epistemology in this book repeatedly fruitful in my own historical, scientific, and criminal detective work.
For more on Quigley, try a Google or Yahoo search under "Carroll Quigley: Theorist of Civilizations".

quarta-feira, 8 de junho de 2022

Em que direção a Ásia se move, e qual o seu impacto global?: Parag Khanna (Cebri Online)

 Em que direção a Ásia se move, e qual o seu impacto global?