O que é este blog?

Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

terça-feira, 26 de abril de 2016

Chernobyl: 30 anos da maior tragedia nuclear no mundo (e o comeco do fim do socialismo) - NYTimes

Front Page Image

Soviet Announces Nuclear Accident at Electric Plant



Power Reactor Damaged
Mishap Acknowledged After Rising Radioactivity Levels Spread to Scandinavia
By Serge Schmemann
Special to The New York Times
OTHER HEADLINES Deaver Requests a Special Inquiry Into his Lobbying: Justice Dept. Must Decide: Meese Removes Himself From Discussions on Naming of Independent Counsel
Judge Puts Off Gotti Crime Trial Until August to Revamp the Jury
Cuomo Presents Legislative Plan to Combat Craft: Ethics Bill Proposed to Deter Abuses by State Officials and Political Leaders
U.S. Plans End of Military Ties to New Zealand
Political Dueling on Capital Hill May Kill '87 Budget, Dole Warns
New Ring of Suburbs Springs Up Around City
Editor at U.S. Radio Reappears in Soviet, Assailing the West
Moscow, April 28, 1986 -- The Soviet Union announced today that there had been an accident at a nuclear power plant in the Ukraine and that ''aid is being given to those affected.''
The severity of the accident, which spread discernable radioactive material over Scandinavia, was not immediately clear. But the terse statement, distributed by the Tass press agency and read on the evening television news, suggested a major accident.
The phrasing also suggested that the problem had not been brought under full control at the nuclear plant, which the Soviet announcement identified as the Chernobyl station. It is situated at the new town of Pripyat, near Chernobyl and 60 miles north of Kiev.
Heightened Radioactivity Levels
The announcement, the first official disclosure of a nuclear accident ever by the Soviet Union, came hours after Sweden, Finland and Denmark reported abnormally high radioactivity levels in their skies. The readings initially led those countries to think radioactive material had been leaking from one of their own reactors.
The Soviet announcement, made on behalf of the Council of Ministers, after Sweden had demanded information, said in its entirety:
''An accident has occurred at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant as one of the reactors was damaged. Measures are being taken to eliminate the consequences of the accident. Aid is being given to those affected. A Government commission has been set up.''
Concern Is Reinforced
The mention of a commission of inquiry reinforced indications that the accident was a serious one. [United States experts said the accident probably posed no danger outside the Soviet Union. But in the absence of detailed information, they said it would be difficult to determine the gravity, and they said environmental damage might conceivably be disastrous. Page A10. [The Chernobyl plant, with four 1,000-megawatt reactors in operation, is one of the largest and oldest of the 15 or so Soviet civilian nuclear stations. Nuclear power has been a matter of high priority in the Soviet Union, and capacity has been going into service as fast as reactors can be built. Page A10.] Pripyat, where the Chernobyl plant is situated, is a settlement of 25,000 to 30,000 people that was built in the 1970's along with the station. It is home to construction workers, service personnel and their families.
A British reporter returning from Kiev reported seeing no activity in the Ukrainian capital that would suggest any alarm. No other information was immediately available from the area.
But reports from across Scandinavia, areas more than 800 miles to the north, spoke of increases in radioactivity over the last 24 hours.
Scandinavian authorities said the radioactivity levels did not pose any danger, and it appeared that only tiny amounts of radioactive material had drifted over Scandinavia. All of it was believed to be in the form of two relatively innocuous gases, xenon and krypton. Scandinavian officials said the evidence pointed to an accident in the Ukraine.
In Sweden, an official at the Institute for Protection Against Radiation said gamma radiation levels were 30 to 40 percent higher than normal. He said that the levels had been abnormally high for 24 hours and that the release seemed to be continuing.
In Finland, officials were reported to have said readings in the central and northern areas showed levels six times higher than normal. The Norwegian radio quoted pollution control officials as having said that radioactivity in the Oslo area was 50 percent higher.
Since morning, Swedish officials had focused on the Soviet Union as the probable source of the radioactive material, but Swedish Embassy officials here said the Soviet authorities had denied knowledge of any problem until the Government announcement was read on television at 9 P.M.
The first alarm was raised in Sweden when workers arriving at the Forsmark nuclear power station, 60 miles north of Stockholm, set off warnings during a routine radioactivity check. The plant was evacuated, Swedish officials said. When other nuclear power plants reported similar happenings, the authorities turned their attention to the Soviet Union, from which the winds were coming.
A Swedish diplomat here said he had telephoned three Soviet Government agencies - the State Committee for Utilization of Atomic Energy, the Ministry of Electric Power and the three-year-old State Committee for Safety in the Atomic Power Industry -asking them to explain the high readings over Scandinavia. All said they had no explanation, the diplomat said.
Before the Soviet acknowledgment, the Swedish Minister of Energy, Birgitta Dahl, said that whoever was responsible for the spread of radioactive material was not observing international agreements requiring warnings and exchanges of information about accidents.
Tass, the Soviet Government press agency, said the Chernobyl accident was the first ever in a Soviet nuclear power plant.
It was the first ever acknowledged by the Russians, but Western experts have reported at least two previous mishaps. In 1957, a nuclear waste dump believed related to weapons production was reported to have resulted in a chemical reaction in the Kasli areas of the Urals, causing damage to the environment and possibly fatalities. In 1974, a steam line exploded in the Shevchenko nuclear breeder plant in Kazakhstan, but no radioactive material is believed to have been released in that accident.
Soviet authorities, in giving the development of nuclear electricity generation a high priority, have said that nuclear power is safe. In the absence of citizens' opposition to nuclear power, there has been virtually no questioning of the program.
The terse Soviet announcement of the Chernobyl accident was followed by a Tass dispatch noting that there had been many mishaps in the United States, ranging from Three Mile Island outside Harrisburg, Pa., to the Ginna plant near Rochester. Tass said an American antinuclear group registered 2,300 accidents, breakdowns and other faults in 1979.
The practice of focusing on disasters elsewhere when one occurs in the Soviet Union is so common that after watching a report on Soviet television about a catastrophe abroad, Russians often call Western friends to find out whether something has happened in the Soviet Union.
Construction of the Chernobyl plant began in the early 1970's and the first reactor was commissioned in 1977. Work has been lagging behind plans. In April 1983, the Ukrainian Central Committee chastised the Chernobyl plant, along with the Rovno nuclear power station at Kuznetsovsk, for ''inferior quality of construction and installation work and low operating levels.'' ---- U.S. Offers to Help AGANA, Guam, Tuesday, April 29 -Donald T. Regan, the White House chief of staff, said today that the United States was willing to provide medical and scientific assistance to the Soviet Union in connection with the nuclear accident but so far there had been no such request.

Defesa: Australia encomenda 12 submarinos franceses - Le Monde

Marinheiros brasileiros devem ficar babando quando leem notícias como essa:

Le constructeur naval militaire français DCNS a remporté un appel d’offres pour 12 sous-marins pour la marine australienne, un contrat de cinquante ans évalué à plus de 34 milliards d’euros, a annoncé mardi le premier ministre de l’Australie. # Comme en France, le monde du travail est en Belgique trop hiérarchisé, et la participation des travailleurs y est insuffisante.
Par Edouard Pflimlin   

Australie : DCNS gagne un contrat géant de sous-marins
Un sous-marin français de type Barracuda Block 1A, dessiné par DCNS pour la Royal Australian Navy.

Un sous-marin français de type Barracuda Block 1A, dessiné par DCNS pour la Royal Australian Navy. HANDOUT / REUTERS

Le groupe français DCNS a remporté mardi face à ses concurrents allemand et japonais un mégacontrat estimé à 50 milliards de dollars australiens (34,5 milliards d’euros) en vue de la construction de la prochaine génération de sous-marins australiens. Malcolm Turnbull, le premier ministre de l’Australie, a annoncé mardi lors d’une conférence de presse l’issue d’un processus d’appel d’offres de plusieurs années, après en avoir informé le président François Hollande.
La recommandation du panel chargé d’étudier les offres était « sans équivoque », a déclaré M. Turnbull. « L’offre française présentait les meilleures capacités pour répondre aux besoins uniques de l’Australie. » Ce contrat est la plus importante commande militaire passée par l’Australie. Il porte sur 12 sous-marins océaniques qui devront remplacer les sous-marins de la classe Collins fonctionnant au diesel et à l’électricité. Le spécialiste français du naval de défense détenu par l’Etat et Thales était en concurrence avec l’allemand ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems (TKMS) et un consortium emmené par Mitsubishi Heavy Industries et soutenu par le gouvernement japonais. DCNS proposait une version à propulsion classique de son Barracuda, ThyssenKrupp défendait le Type-216, et le Japon le Soryu.
Le processus d’appel d’offres a été politiquement délicat en Australie, avec en toile de fond les craintes pour l’avenir de l’industrie navale australienne. Canberra cherchait à obtenir l’assurance qu’une grande partie du processus de fabrication se ferait en Australie, de façon à maximiser la participation et l’emploi de l’industrie du pays. « C’est un grand jour pour notre marine, un grand jour pour l’économie australienne du XXIe siècle, un grand jour pour l’avenir de l’emploi », a déclaré M. Turnbull à Adelaïde, en Australie-Méridionale, où les sous-marins seront construits. « Ce nouveau succès sera créateur d’emplois et de développement en France comme en Australie », a assuré l’Elysée. « Il marque une avancée décisive dans le partenariat stratégique entre les deux pays, qui vont coopérer durant cinquante années sur l’élément majeur de souveraineté que représente la capacité sous-marine. » Les sous-marins devraient être mis en service en 2027. Le contrat prévoit une enveloppe comprenant notamment les infrastructures, la maintenance et la formation des équipages. Les 12 sous-marins, a assuré M. Turnbull, seront « les vaisseaux les plus sophistiqués construits dans le monde ». L’Australie a annoncé en février une rallonge de 29,9 milliards de dollars australiens (19,4 milliards d’euros) du budget de la défense sur les dix années à venir pour faire face aux enjeux géopolitiques en Asie-Pacifique. Alliée des Philippines, l’Australie s’inquiète notamment de l’attitude de la Chine en mer de Chine méridionale, objet d’âpres contentieux territoriaux entre Pékin et les capitales régionales.

Recessao: NUNCA ANTES tivemos dois anos seguidos de queda do PIB, tudo vem abaixo...

Parabéns, companheiros, vocês são realmente inéditos, se ouso a expressão neutra.
Nunca antes na história econômica brasileira, na história tout court do Brasil, tivemos dois anos seguidos de queda no PIB.
Vocês já passaram à história, agora podem ir para a lata de lixo da História...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Brasil crisis

Mercado brasileño prevé este año una caída del PIB más grave que la de 2015

Infolatam/Efe
Brasilia, 25 de abril de 2016
Las claves
  • Con la nueva revisión de los datos, se cumplen catorce semanas consecutivas en que los especialistas amplían su proyección para la reducción del PIB de la mayor economía suramericana.
Los expertos pronostican que la economía brasileña caerá este año un 3,88 %, una contracción más grave que la sufrida en 2015, en el que cayó un 3,8 % y obtuvo su peor resultado en el último cuarto de siglo, informó el Banco Central.
Las previsiones de los economistas son peores que las anunciadas la semana pasada, cuando auguraron que el Producto Interior Bruto (PIB) brasileño acabaría este año con el mismo rumbo que lo hizo en 2015.
Los números figuran en el Boletín Focus, una publicación semanal del Banco Central que incluye una encuesta con un centenar de expertos de entidades financieras del sector privado sobre el estado de la economía nacional.
Con la nueva revisión de los datos, se cumplen catorce semanas consecutivas en que los especialistas amplían su proyección para la reducción del PIB de la mayor economía suramericana.
De confirmarse, Brasil encadenaría dos años en rojo por primera vez desde 1930.
Ya de cara a 2017, los expertos se muestran más optimistas y mejoran sus predicciones, que sitúan en un crecimiento del 0,30 % frente al 0,20 % de la pasada semana.
Por otro lado, los economistas reducen sus previsiones de inflación en 2016, que calculan en torno al 6,98 %, inferior al 7,08 % del anterior informe.
Sin embargo, esta cifra continúa por encima de la meta oficial establecida por el Gobierno, que se encuentra en el 4,5 % del PIB con un margen de tolerancia de dos puntos porcentuales.
Para 2017, se espera que la inflación llegue al 5,80 %.
Con la economía en recesión, el aumento del desempleo y las tasas de interés en su mayor nivel en nueve años, el Brasil se encuentra también en una crisis política.
De hecho, las nuevas proyecciones del mercado se divulgan el mismo día que el Senado debe formar la comisión de 21 miembros que analizará el proceso para un juicio político destituyente a la presidenta, Dilma Rousseff, trámite que fue aprobado hace una semana por la Cámara de Diputados.
La comisión analizará los documentos remitidos por la Cámara Baja y cuenta con una minoría favorable a la mandataria, ya que el oficialismo tiene cuatro escaños y, de los otros bloques, sólo una senadora ha expresado su rechazo al proceso.
Los trámites pasarán luego al pleno de la Cámara Alta donde, si consigue el apoyo de una mayoría simple de 41 senadores, se abriría el propio juicio.
Rousseff deberá entonces apartarse de su cargo durante 180 días, los que tendrá el Senado para concluir el proceso y durante los cuales será sustituida por el vicepresidente Michel Temer, con quien la jefa de Estado ha roto toda relación y que en los últimos días viene mantenido reuniones con varios políticos.