O número 98 da revista International Affairs, da Chatham House, está imperdível, e ainda tem um webinar de lançamento:
International relations: the ‘how not to’ guide
Special issue guest-edited by Daniel W. Drezner and Amrita Narlikar
How can policy-makers learn from their mistakes? Join guest editors of the new issue, Daniel W. Drezner and Amrita Narlikar, and contributor Valérie Rosoux to discuss how policy-makers can learn from their mistakes, and whether a ‘Hippocratic Oath’ for policy-minded professionals would act as a buffer against bad decision-making. This event is will be held both online and in person. The event will be followed by a drinks reception at Chatham House. To attend online, please register through the link below. If you would like to join in person, RSVP to the email below or contact Ms Linda Bedford indicating you would like join the session and you will be contacted later with a confirmation. |
Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022
Front matter
Contributors
Abstracts
Correction
Indigenous women's resistances at the start and end of the nuclear fuel chain
International relations: the ‘how not to’ guide
Special issue guest-edited by Daniel W. Drezner and Amrita Narlikar
International relations: the ‘how not to’ guide
While much of foreign policy analysis seeks to replicate successes, this special issue asks whether it might make more sense to examine how to avoid catastrophic failure. In their introduction, the guest editors outline the goals of the special issue and explore whether a Hippocratic oath for international affairs would be enough.
How not to run international affairs
This article draws lessons from the Munich crisis of 1938, the Suez crisis and war of 1956 and the Iraq war of 2003. While failure was over-determined in these situations, there are many everyday crises that actors who understand ‘how not to run international affairs’ stop from turning into disasters.
How not to sanction
This article examines sanctions imposed on Iraq between the two Gulf wars and on Iran from 2018. In both cases sanctions imposed crippling costs but the primary goals weren't achieved. Drezner warns against sanctioning states not articulating clear and consistent demands, as well as weak linkages between scholars and policy-makers.
How not to negotiate: the case of trade multilateralism
The WTO has become an almost perfect example of how not to negotiate. This article outlines the breakdown in the organization, then examines the bargaining failures responsible for this. It concludes by sharing the main ‘dos’ and ‘don'ts’ for trade negotiation.
How not to solve a financial crisis
When learning from financial crises, whether we adopt a long-term or short-term perspective matters. The response to financial crisis in 1931, 1997 and 2008 initially looked successful but immediate responses, driven by the sense that past mistakes needed to be avoided, set the stage for the next crisis.
How not to manage crises in the European Union
EU policy-makers should learn lessons from key policy failures during the eurozone crisis and the COVID–19 pandemic. The mistakes were a result of delayed action and a gap between research and policy. If comprehensive reforms can't be made, policy-makers should find a middle ground between supranationalism and intergovernmentalism in crisis situations.
How not to think like a hegemon
The narrative on US decline and China's rise is currently too focused on hard measures like GDP. Whether and how a hegemon declines is shaped by the strategic choices that both the challenger and the hegemon make. Nine possible futures over the next two decades are posited, dependent on the policy choices that leaders make at home.
How not to deal with a rising China: a US perspective
Chinese elites expect to replace the US as the leading global power by 2049. How should the US respond? Two prevalent historical analogies are misleading: a Thucydides trap about power transition and a new Cold War. More promising is the cautionary narrative of sleepwalking into the First World War.
How not to deal with a rising China: a perspective from south Asia
Debates on China's rise often focus on the continuity of the United States' hegemony and the liberal global order and ignore regional actors. Instead, this article suggests that as China rises it will first aim to secure regional primacy, by examining China's relations with India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.
How not to interfere in another country's domestic politics
Is foreign interference in domestic politics as effective and cheap as anticipated in current policy debates? This article draws on the Soviet assistance to the Chinese Communists from the 1920s to the 1940s to point to its short-term benefits and hidden costs, including unreliable proxies and problems for future relations.
How not to war
This article questions why the West hasn't learned from failed interventions since the end of the Cold War. It argues that in the wake of the failure of ‘easy wars’ policy-makers turn to automated weapons. The lesson that technology cannot conquer the ‘fog of war’ to create costless victory is never learned.
How not to mediate conflict
Political reconciliation is a widely accepted narrative used by mediators as a guideline for action in all regions of the world. Yet the article draws on the case of Rwanda to show that reconciliation is not an unequivocal goal that mediators should pursue whatever the circumstances.
How not to learn from history
Based on the errors committed by policy-makers in learning from the past, the article identifies four ‘how not tos’ when learning from history. It then explores the extent to which these inform contemporary debates that view US–China relations through the lens of the Cold War.
How not to bridge the gap in international relations
This article identifies the four key dimensions of how scholars engage in policy and public debates. Paying careful attention to these can help avoid common pitfalls when ‘bridging the gap’. These four factors are applied to two case-studies: theory and policy in the US on ‘Democratic Peace’ and the ‘cult of relevance’ problem for scholars trying to contribute to peace-building in post-conflict states.
Book reviews
International Relations theory
The new constructivism in International Relations theory
China's rise and rethinking International Relations theory
Genocide: the power and problems of a concept
China and the pursuit of harmony in world politics: understanding Chinese International Relations theory
International history
The invention of international order: remaking Europe after Napoleon
Before and after the fall: world politics and the end of the Cold War
Opium's orphans: the 200-year history of the war on drugs
The worst military leaders in history
Governance, law and ethics
Theater of state: a dramaturgy of the United Nations
Spin dictators: the changing face of tyranny in the 21st century
Digital suffragists: women, the web, and the future of democracy
The power of crisis: how three threats—and our response—will change the world
Conflict, security and defence
Proscribing peace: how listing armed groups as terrorists hurts negotiations
Constructive resistance: repetitions, emotions, and time
Nonstate warfare: the military methods of guerillas, warlords, and militias
Feminist solutions for ending war
Political economy, economics and development
The! meddlers: sovereignty, empire, and the birth of global economic governance
Energy, environment and global health
Neg!otiating gender expertise in environment and development: voices from feminist political ecology
Europe
European disunion: democracy, sovereignty and the politics of emergency
Jihadism in Europe: European youth and the new Caliphate
Splitting Europe: the EU, Russia, and the West
Russia and Eurasia
Sinostan: China's inadvertent empire
Soft power in central Asia: the politics of influence and seduction
Middle East and North Africa
The terrorist image: decoding the Islamic State's photo-propaganda
The bride: an illustrated history of Palestine, 1850–1948
Transitional justice in process: plans and politics in Tunisia
Sub-Saharan Africa
Imperialism and development: the east African groundnut scheme and its legacy
China in Africa: between imperialism and partnership in humanitarian development
African peacekeeping
South Asia
Afghan crucible: the Soviet invasion and the making of modern Afghanistan
The troubled triangle: US–Pakistan relations under the Taliban's shadow
East Asia and Pacific
The courteous power: Japan and southeast Asia in the Indo-Pacific era
Gwangju uprising: the rebellion for democracy in South Korea
History, memory, and politics in postwar Japan
North America
Undoing the liberal world order: progressive ideals and political realities since World War II
An American brothel: sex and diplomacy during the Vietnam War
Grand strategy from Truman to Trump
Latin America and Caribbean
High-risk feminism in Colombia: women's mobilization in violent contexts
Brazil in the global nuclear order, 1945–2018
Back matter
Books reviewed September 2022