O que é este blog?

Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

quarta-feira, 14 de setembro de 2022

revista International Affairs (Chatham House): How not to do, in every sector: webinar launching

O número 98 da revista International Affairs, da Chatham House, está imperdível, e ainda tem um webinar de lançamento: 

International relations: the ‘how not to’ guide

Special issue guest-edited by Daniel W. Drezner and Amrita Narlikar

Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022

Front matter

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages v–vii, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac187
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages ix–xv, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac186

Correction

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Page xvi, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac196

International relations: the ‘how not to’ guide

Special issue guest-edited by Daniel W. Drezner and Amrita Narlikar

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1499–1513, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac190

While much of foreign policy analysis seeks to replicate successes, this special issue asks whether it might make more sense to examine how to avoid catastrophic failure. In their introduction, the guest editors outline the goals of the special issue and explore whether a Hippocratic oath for international affairs would be enough.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1515–1532, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac061

This article draws lessons from the Munich crisis of 1938, the Suez crisis and war of 1956 and the Iraq war of 2003. While failure was over-determined in these situations, there are many everyday crises that actors who understand ‘how not to run international affairs’ stop from turning into disasters.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1533–1552, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac065

This article examines sanctions imposed on Iraq between the two Gulf wars and on Iran from 2018. In both cases sanctions imposed crippling costs but the primary goals weren't achieved. Drezner warns against sanctioning states not articulating clear and consistent demands, as well as weak linkages between scholars and policy-makers.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1553–1573, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac063

The WTO has become an almost perfect example of how not to negotiate. This article outlines the breakdown in the organization, then examines the bargaining failures responsible for this. It concludes by sharing the main ‘dos’ and ‘don'ts’ for trade negotiation.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1575–1593, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac057

When learning from financial crises, whether we adopt a long-term or short-term perspective matters. The response to financial crisis in 1931, 1997 and 2008 initially looked successful but immediate responses, driven by the sense that past mistakes needed to be avoided, set the stage for the next crisis.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1595–1614, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac064

EU policy-makers should learn lessons from key policy failures during the eurozone crisis and the COVID–19 pandemic. The mistakes were a result of delayed action and a gap between research and policy. If comprehensive reforms can't be made, policy-makers should find a middle ground between supranationalism and intergovernmentalism in crisis situations.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1615–1633, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac054

The narrative on US decline and China's rise is currently too focused on hard measures like GDP. Whether and how a hegemon declines is shaped by the strategic choices that both the challenger and the hegemon make. Nine possible futures over the next two decades are posited, dependent on the policy choices that leaders make at home.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1635–1651, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac117

Chinese elites expect to replace the US as the leading global power by 2049. How should the US respond? Two prevalent historical analogies are misleading: a Thucydides trap about power transition and a new Cold War. More promising is the cautionary narrative of sleepwalking into the First World War.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1653–1675, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac165

Debates on China's rise often focus on the continuity of the United States' hegemony and the liberal global order and ignore regional actors. Instead, this article suggests that as China rises it will first aim to secure regional primacy, by examining China's relations with India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1677–1694, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac191

Is foreign interference in domestic politics as effective and cheap as anticipated in current policy debates? This article draws on the Soviet assistance to the Chinese Communists from the 1920s to the 1940s to point to its short-term benefits and hidden costs, including unreliable proxies and problems for future relations.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1695–1716, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac189

This article questions why the West hasn't learned from failed interventions since the end of the Cold War. It argues that in the wake of the failure of ‘easy wars’ policy-makers turn to automated weapons. The lesson that technology cannot conquer the ‘fog of war’ to create costless victory is never learned.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1717–1735, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac058

Political reconciliation is a widely accepted narrative used by mediators as a guideline for action in all regions of the world. Yet the article draws on the case of Rwanda to show that reconciliation is not an unequivocal goal that mediators should pursue whatever the circumstances.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1737–1762, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac192

Based on the errors committed by policy-makers in learning from the past, the article identifies four ‘how not tos’ when learning from history. It then explores the extent to which these inform contemporary debates that view US–China relations through the lens of the Cold War.

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1763–1781, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac102

This article identifies the four key dimensions of how scholars engage in policy and public debates. Paying careful attention to these can help avoid common pitfalls when ‘bridging the gap’. These four factors are applied to two case-studies: theory and policy in the US on ‘Democratic Peace’ and the ‘cult of relevance’ problem for scholars trying to contribute to peace-building in post-conflict states.

Book reviews

International Relations theory

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1783–1784, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac153
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1785–1786, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac175
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1786–1787, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac170
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1788–1789, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac152

International history

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1789–1790, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac156
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1790–1792, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac160
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1792–1793, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac194
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1794–1795, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac193

Governance, law and ethics

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1795–1797, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac173
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1797–1798, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac172
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1799–1800, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac162
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1800–1802, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac144

Conflict, security and defence

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1802–1804, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac176
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1804–1805, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac177
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1805–1807, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac169
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1807–1808, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac151

Political economy, economics and development

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1808–1810, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac164

Energy, environment and global health

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1810–1812, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac167

Europe

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1812–1814, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac195
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1814–1815, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac182
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1815–1817, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac107

Russia and Eurasia

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1817–1818, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac179
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1819–1820, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac157

Middle East and North Africa

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1820–1822, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac174
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1822–1823, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac161
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1823–1825, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac184

Sub-Saharan Africa

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1825–1826, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac178
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1826–1828, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac185
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1828–1829, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac180

South Asia

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1829–1831, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac168
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1831–1833, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac183

East Asia and Pacific

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1833–1835, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac159
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1835–1836, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac163
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1837–1838, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac155

North America

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1839–1840, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac154
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1840–1842, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac139
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1842–1843, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac181

Latin America and Caribbean

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1844–1845, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac158
International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Pages 1845–1846, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac171

Back matter

International Affairs, Volume 98, Issue 5, September 2022, Page 1847, https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac188

 

Nenhum comentário: