O que é este blog?

Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

sexta-feira, 24 de abril de 2015

Acordos comerciais simples ou tratados internacionais por inteiro? Discussao constitucional nos EUA - Robert Romano

Stop pretending Pacific trade deal is not a treaty
By Robert Romano
Americans For Limited Government, April 24, 2015

Since passage of the Trade Act of 1974, every trade agreement the U.S. has entered into under trade promotion authority has not been considered a treaty under U.S. law. This includes the currently-being-negotiated Trans-Pacific Partnership between the U.S. and Australia, Brunei Darussalam, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam.

It is not a treaty, says the president and members of Congress; and, as such, it is not subject to a two-thirds ratification vote in the Senate. Our trade partners certainly seem to think it's a treaty, like Australia, but let's leave that aside for the time being.

But that is not how commercial treaties were originally treated under the U.S. Constitution.

In 1795, Supreme Court Chief Justice John Jay negotiated a commercial treaty with Great Britain, "The Treaty of Amity, Commerce, and Navigation, Between His Britannic Majesty and The United States of America."

It was put to the Senate for ratification by a two-thirds vote, which eventually came on June 24, 1795. But not before the House of Representatives raised several objections, chiefly, that the treaty could not be binding if the House did not approve, too, since it regulated commerce with foreign nations, a power the Constitution vested in all of Congress.

Heretofore, the congressional foreign commerce power had simply been thought to include tariffs and sanctions and the like. But not treaties, which was the sole province of the president and Senate. This was a new argument and was led, oddly enough, by James Madison, the so-called Father of the Constitution and leader of the then-Republican Party in the House.

Oddly, because throughout the entire ratification process for the Constitution, nobody had considered the House would have any role in approving treaties, let alone commercial treaties.

In fact, countered the Federalist Party, if the Virginia ratifying convention, led by Madison, had thought that commercial treaties required additional House approval to be binding, then why did it propose an amendment that would have required commercial treaties to only be ratified by two-thirds of all sitting senators, rather than those present. This clearly indicated the ratifying conventions believed the treaty power also included trade agreements with foreign nations.

The matter was such a controversy that, even after the treaty's ratification, then-President George Washington had to send a letter to the House dated March 30, 1796 to address it.

Treaties, including commercial treaties, were only to be put to the Senate for ratification, per Washington, as a matter of federalism and states' rights. Because, he wrote, "the smaller states were admitted to an equal representation in the Senate with the larger states, and that this branch of government was invested with great powers, for on the equal representation of those powers the sovereignty and political safety of the smaller states were deemed essentially to depend."

That is to say, the smaller states would not — and did not — agree to a Constitution where the proportionally-represented House of Representatives would have final say on treaties. Including commercial treaties.

In fact, according to Washington, at the convention a motion was made "that no treaty should be binding on the United States which was not ratified by law," and, wrote Washington, "the proposition was explicitly rejected."

So, everyone at the convention agreed that commercial treaties had to be put to the Senate for ratification. The state ratifying conventions, even ones that raised objections to the provision asking for a higher threshold for commercial treaties, agreed that these agreements had to be put to the Senate for ratification. The constitutional convention, which Washington chaired, even considered the question of including the House in the treaty process, and explicitly rejected it.

Thus, Washington said, "The assent of the House of Representatives is not necessary to the validity of a treaty."

That more or less settled the matter such that when it came time for President James Madison to submit his own commercial treaty with Great Britain, the United Kingdom Commerce and Navigation Treaty of 1815, which was a free trade agreement, it too required a two-thirds Senate majority to ratify. By that time, Madison had ceded the argument.

200 years later, however, the two-thirds vote in the Senate constitutional requirement for commercial treaties is nowhere to be found.

Thanks to the Trade Act of 1974, which created an entirely new method of enacting trade agreements. It was signed into law by Gerald Ford. Now, the House and Senate authorize the President to negotiate trade deals, and then they are adopted by simple majority votes in the House and the Senate on an expedited basis — so-called fast track legislation.

Consider that not even the Madisonians denied that the two-thirds vote in the Senate was necessary. Their only quibble was that the House had no say. But they never would have considered a construction that allowed a commercial treaty to be adopted by simple majorities in both houses.

As Americans for Limited Government President Rick Manning recently noted, "Trade promotion authority via an executive-legislative branch agreement is an unconstitutional fabrication of the modern administrative state."

Yet, every single trade agreement the U.S. has entered into for the past 40 years was somehow not considered to be a treaty, was not submitted to the Senate as such, and was adopted via this dubious process. This raises the worrisome prospect that every one of those trade deals is unconstitutional. Too bad.

The point is, members of Congress who claim fidelity to the Constitution, and to be an originalist, cannot in good conscience embrace trade promotion authority for any president. It is an aberration under the constitutional framework set forth in 1787, designed to get around the two-thirds majority requirement for treaty ratification in the Senate. Nothing more.

So stop pretending.

Robert Romano is the senior editor of Americans for Limited Government.

Senado: fim dos emprestimos secretos, nada mais do que uma obrigacao constitucional

Os argumentos dos "amigos" dos empréstimos secretos, e das ditaduras, são patéticos.
Empréstimos secretos são uma aberração no sistema do BNDES.
Os que já foram feitos devem ser trazidos à luz, imediatamente.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Senado Federeal, 24/04/2015

Comisión aprueba el fin del sigilo en préstamos a otros países

Las condiciones de préstamos hechos por instituciones financieras públicas brasileñas a Estados extranjeros deberán ser de conocimiento público, según el Proyecto de Ley del Senado 26/2014 – Complementaria, que recibió el jueves (23) el apoyo de la Comisión de Relaciones Exteriores y Defensa Nacional (CRE). De autoría del senador Álvaro Dias (PSDB-PR), la propuesta aún será analizada por las Comisiones de Constitución, Justicia y Ciudadanía (CCJ) y de Asuntos Económicos (CAE) antes de llegar al Plenario.
Según el proyecto – que fue aprobado en la comisión con los votos contrarios de los senadores Jorge Viana (PT-AC), Lindbergh Farias (PT-RJ), Vanessa Graziottin (PCdoB-AM) y Hélio José (PSD-DF) –, no estarán protegidas por el sigilo bancario las operaciones efectuadas por instituciones financieras controladas por entidades de derecho público interno cuando “la contraparte sea Estado extranjero” o cuando “la operación cuente con garantía directa o indirecta de Estado extranjero”.
Caso ya estuviera vigente, la norma no permitiría la existencia de clausulas secretas como las existentes en el acuerdo de financiamiento para la ampliación del Puerto de Mariel, en Cuba. La obra se hizo posible tras la concesión de préstamo de US$ 800 millones a Cuba por el Banco Nacional de Desarrollo Económico y Social (BNDES). Esa operación financiera estuvo en el centro de los debates sobre el proyecto en la comisión.
Transparencia
El relator de la propuesta, el senador Flexa Ribeiro (PSDB-PA), presentó voto favorable, invocando la necesidad de “absoluta transparencia en el uso de recursos públicos”. Luego en el inicio del debate, sin embargo, Lindbergh criticó el proyecto, observando que el BNDES ya ofrece más transparencia que la mayoría de los bancos extranjeros. Él añadió aún que el financiamiento permitió la creación de 150 mil empleos en Brasil, en empresas nacionales contratadas para la realización de la obra.
Jorge Viana recordó que diversos otros países ofrecen préstamos con condiciones sigilosas, beneficiando sus empresas en el exterior. Al oponerse al sigilo, él dijo, citando el dramaturgo Nélson Rodrigues, que Brasil mantendría su “complejo de perros callejeros”. De la misma forma, Hélio José defendió la manutención del sigilo bancario en las operaciones internacionales. Vanessa, por su vez, defendió la “solidaridad internacional” a pequeños países y sugirió la realización de audiencia pública sobre el proyecto – propuesta rechazada por la comisión con el voto decisivo del presidente de la comisión, el senador Aloysio Nunes (PSDB-SP).
A favor de la aprobación del proyecto, el senador Ricardo Ferraço (PMDB-ES) acusó el BNDES de “no querer abrir su caja negra al pueblo brasileño”. El senador Cristovam Buarque (PDT-DF) dijo que no era contra el préstamo a Cuba, pero condenó el sigilo en operaciones hechas con recursos públicos. La senadora Ana Amélia (PP-RS) señaló que en aquel momento no se discutía Mariel, pero el principio de la transparencia. Por último, el senador Magno Malta (PR-ES) alertó que, en tiempo de crisis política, el posible rechazo de hacer públicos los datos de financiamiento externos “parece sospechoso”.
Marcos Magalhães

Eliminacao da Pobreza, ou simples subsidio ao consumo dos pobres? - Relatorio do Banco Mundial

De vez em quando leio notícias como essa, que figura abaixo: Brasil eliminou a pobreza, ou Brasil retirou tantas milhões de pessoas da pobreza extrema.
Eu me pergunto se as pessoas que escrevem essas coisas possuem uma exata noção das palavras, ou se os conceitos que elas utilizam encontram uma correspondência fiel na realidade.
Eliminar pobreza, para mim, significa tornar as pessoas não dependentes de qualquer forma de ajuda, ou seja, fazer com que elas disponham de meios próprios para sua manutenção e bem-estar.
Se essas pessoas dependem da transferência de recursos de alguém, ou de alguma institucão para sobreviver, então elas não deixaram a pobreza, e sim estão recebendo um subsídio para o seu consumo de bens essenciais, alguns até não essenciais, como parece ocorrer em certos casos (como o infeliz ministro das Comunicações, que promete televisão digital para todos os inscritos no Bolsa Família).
Se por acaso a transferência acabar, o que essas pessoas serão? De classe média? Prósperas? Independentes? Não, elas voltarão para a pobreza.
Então, não venham me dizer que a pobreza foi reduzida, ou eliminada.
Não, ela apenas foi mascarada por um ajutório para o consumo.
Não gosto de hipocrisia, ou de mentiras.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Brasil ha conseguido eliminar prácticamente la pobreza extrema y lo ha hecho más rápido que sus vecinos. La afirmación es del Banco Mundial, que en su último informe resalta que el número de brasileños que vive con menos de 2,5 dólares al día ha caído del 10% al 4% entre 2001 e 2013. El estudio, “Prosperidad Compartida y Erradicación de la Pobreza en América Latina y Caribe”, añade que el 60% de los brasileños aumentó su nivel de renta entre 1990 y 2009 y que Brasil es uno de los ejemplos más brillantes de reducción de pobreza en la última década.
“En total, 25 millones de personas dejaron de vivir en la pobreza (extrema o moderada), lo que representa una de cada dos personas que salió de la miseria en América Latina y en el Caribe de 1990 a 2009. Los autores explican que hasta 1999, los índices de extrema pobreza en Brasil y en el resto de la región eran parecidos y rondaban el 26%. Fue en 2012 cuando la institución comenzó a observar una mayor reducción en territorio brasileño: 9,6% ante el 12% del resto del continente.
La institución explica las causas de los buenos resultados, en un momento en el que un Brasil estancado batalla para no entrar en recesión. La primera es el crecimiento económico a partir de 2001, iniciado durante el mandato de Fernando Henrique Cardoso, “bastante más estable que el registrado durante las dos décadas anteriores". En segundo lugar se alaban las políticas públicas que tienen como objetivo la erradicación de la pobreza, como la Bolsa Familia, que ofrece una modesta renta mensual a cambio de la escolarización de los hijos, o el Brasil sin Miseria, pensado para los más pobres. En último lugar se destaca el mercado de trabajo nacional, donde las tasas de empleo formales aumentaron un 60% y la evolución del salario mínimo, hoy de 295 dólares.
“El crecimiento, modesto aunque sostenido, se volvió más inclusivo gracias a políticas fuertemente enfocadas en la reducción de la pobreza y a favor de un mercado laboral fuerte”, afirma el informe, que advierte que el desafío todavía no ha acabado: “Si bien el país eliminó casi por completo la pobreza extrema en la última década, 18 millones de brasileños siguen viviendo en la pobreza, un tercio de la población no consiguió acceder a la clase media y se mantiene vulnerable economicamente”.