Mostrando postagens com marcador Visual Capitalist. Mostrar todas as postagens
Mostrando postagens com marcador Visual Capitalist. Mostrar todas as postagens

quinta-feira, 5 de novembro de 2026

O Brasil ainda fará parte das dez maiores economias em 2040 - Visual Capitalist

Visual Capitalist, November 5, 2026 

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/world-economy-2040/?mc_cid=6e7a92dfa8&mc_eid=72fdbad79d  

The table below lists each economy’s projected nominal GDP in 2040, in billions of U.S. dollars, and its projected share of the global economy:

Rank
Country / Economy
2040 GDP Proj. ($B)
Share of Global GDP (%)
1🇺🇸 United States52,85223.3
2🇨🇳 China47,87721.1
3🇮🇳 India14,0926.2
4🇩🇪 Germany7,7833.4
5🇬🇧 United Kingdom6,7843.0
6🇯🇵 Japan5,9222.6
7🇫🇷 France5,2032.3
8🇮🇩 Indonesia4,1821.8
9🇧🇷 Brazil3,9431.7
10🇨🇦 Canada3,8181.7
11🇮🇹 Italy3,7711.7
12🇪🇸 Spain3,3731.5
13🇰🇷 South Korea3,2971.5
14🇦🇺 Australia3,2891.4
15🇲🇽 Mexico3,2681.4
16🇷🇺 Russia3,2471.4
17🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia2,8901.3
18🇳🇱 Netherlands2,1420.9
19🇹🇷 Türkiye2,0530.9
20🇦🇷 Argentina2,0090.9

 

This graphic shows projected GDP across 190 economies in 2040, using the World Economic League Table 2026 produced by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr). Figures measure annual output in current U.S. dollars and are not adjusted for inflation.

China to Close In on U.S. GDP by 2040

In Cebr’s estimates for 2026, the U.S. economy accounts for about 26% of global GDP at $31.6 trillion, while China accounts for 17% at $20.9 trillion.

By 2040, the gap between the world’s two largest economies is projected to narrow to approximately $5 trillion, compared with $10.7 trillion in 2026. The U.S. would remain in first place at $52.9 trillion, followed by China at $47.9 trillion.

China’s share of global GDP is projected to rise to 21%, while America’s falls to 23%. According to IMF data, China already ranks as the world’s largest economy by purchasing power parity in 2026, which accounts for differences in local prices.

China’s gains are part of a broader economic shift toward Asia, whose share of global GDP is projected to rise from about 32% in 2026 to 39% by 2040.

Europe’s share is projected to fall from 26% to 21% over the same period, while North America’s declines from 30% to 27%.

While the U.S. is projected to remain the largest individual economy, growth in China, India, and Indonesia would give Asia a larger role in shaping global demand and investment.

India and Indonesia Climb the Global Economic Rankings

India is projected to rise from fourth in 2026 to third in 2040. Its economy would more than triple from $4.5 trillion to $14.1 trillion over that period, exceeding the projected combined output of Germany ($7.8 trillion) and Japan ($5.9 trillion).

 

Cebr points to manufacturers diversifying supply chains away from China as an opportunity for India, citing Apple’s expansion of production there as an example.

Germany and Japan also lose ground in the rankings, slipping from third to fourth and fifth to sixth, respectively, by 2040. Both economies are projected to grow, but India overtakes Germany while the U.K. overtakes Japan.

Indonesia makes an even larger jump, moving from 17th to eighth. Its projected $4.2 trillion economy in 2040 would overtake Italy’s $3.8 trillion, pushing Italy out of the top 10.

sexta-feira, 18 de setembro de 2026

Ranked: Where GDP Per Capita Grew Fastest Since 1990 - Dorothy Neufeld (Visual Capitalist)

Ranked: Where GDP Per Capita Grew Fastest Since 1990
By Dorothy Neufeld
Visual Capitalist, September 17, 2026

(O Brasil NÃO ESTÁ nessa tropa)

Over the last 35 years, some countries have seen extraordinary increases in economic output per person, ranging from export-driven Asian economies to resource-rich nations experiencing major commodity booms.

This graphic ranks countries by real GDP per capita growth from 1990 to 2025, based on World Bank data. Figures account for inflation and differences in purchasing power across countries.

Why Guyana Tops the Ranking

Guyana’s extraordinary growth is closely tied to its offshore oil boom. Oil production began in 2019 and reached roughly 225 million barrels in 2024, transforming the economy of a country with fewer than one million people.

 

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked-where-real-gdp-per-capita-has-grown-the-most-since-1990/?mc_cid=d5bfd57d06&mc_eid=72fdbad79d 


 

 

quarta-feira, 16 de setembro de 2026

segunda-feira, 14 de setembro de 2026

Which Countries Rely Most on U.S. for Their Exports? - Visual Capitalist

 Which Countries Rely Most on U.S. for Their Exports?

Visual Capitalist, September 14, 2026

 
The United States absorbs 18% of exports for the average G20 country.
For Canada and Mexico, there's a lot more dependence.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked-us-share-of-g20-exports/?mc_cid=f289c83b02&mc_eid=72fdbad79d

Just 0.9% of Russia’s exports go to the U.S., the lowest share among G20 countries.
Access to the United States, the world’s largest economy, remains crucial for countries around the world. However, America’s closest neighbors rely far more heavily on the U.S. market than other major global economies.

This visualization ranks Group of 20 (G20) countries by the share of their goods exports sent to the U.S., using the latest available data (2025) from UN Comtrade and the Observatory for Economic Complexity.

Only goods trade is included. The African Union and European Union are excluded despite being G20 members.
Why Canada and Mexico Rank So High

Canada and Mexico are particularly exposed to shifts in U.S. trade policy because of their deeply integrated trade relationships with the United States.

The U.S. absorbs 72.3% of Canadian exports and 81.9% of Mexican exports, compared with just 18.1% for the average G20 economy. This makes both countries particularly vulnerable to changes in U.S. trade policy.

The table below lists G20 economies alongside the U.S. share of their exports in 2025.
Rank Country Share of Exports Going to U.S.
1 🇲🇽 Mexico 81.9%
2 🇨🇦 Canada 72.3%
3 🇯🇵 Japan 18.6%
4 🇮🇳 India 18.3%
5 🇰🇷 South Korea 17.4%
6 🇬🇧 United Kingdom 15.9%
7 🇨🇳 China 14.7%
8 🇮🇩 Indonesia 11.0%
9 🇧🇷 Brazil 10.9%
10 🇮🇹 Italy 10.8%
11 🇦🇷 Argentina 9.6%
12 🇩🇪 Germany 9.4%
13 🇫🇷 France 8.6%
14 🇦🇺 Australia 7.4%
15 🇿🇦 South Africa 7.1%
16 🇹🇷 Turkiye 6.0%
17 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 4.3%
18 🇷🇺 Russia 0.9%

Decades of economic integration have helped produce this concentration. The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which entered into force in 1994, reduced trade barriers between Canada, Mexico, and the United States. It was replaced by the USMCA in 2020.

More recently, the second Trump administration has imposed tariffs on both U.S. neighbors. Talks between Ottawa and Washington have broken down, leading to the imposition of retaliatory tariffs.

Meanwhile, Mexico, the most exposed G20 country, continues negotiations with the U.S. in an effort to avoid further tariffs on its agricultural and automotive sectors.
G20 Exports to the U.S.

Outside North America, no G20 country sends a comparable share of its exports to the United States. However, traditional U.S. allies including Japan (18.6%), South Korea (17.4%), and the United Kingdom (15.9%) still send substantial portions of their goods exports to the U.S.

European Union member states tend to have lower exposure to the U.S. market because of extensive trade within the bloc. Germany, the EU’s largest economy, sends 9.4% of its exports to the U.S., behind Italy (10.8%) but ahead of France (8.6%).

In Latin America, Argentina (9.6%) and Brazil (10.9%) send much smaller shares of their exports to the U.S. than Mexico does. China, the world’s largest exporter, sends less than 15% of its exports to the U.S.
Energy Exports to America

Saudi Arabia (4.3%) and Russia (0.9%) have the smallest U.S. shares among the G20 countries in the ranking. Both are major oil and gas exporters with large markets elsewhere, particularly in Asia and Europe.

The U.S. also sources significant amounts of energy closer to home. In addition to its own sizable oil and gas production, the country imports substantial quantities of oil from Canada. Canadian energy products have received different tariff treatment than many other imports during the ongoing trade dispute.

Canada’s role as a major U.S. oil supplier has also become part of the broader trade debate. Some prominent Canadian politicians have floated taxing oil exports to the U.S. as a way to pressure Washington.
Learn More on the Voronoi App

To explore the main exports of EU countries, check out Cars and Petroleum Dominate EU Exports on Voronoi.

terça-feira, 27 de maio de 2025

Os países mais "educados" do mundo, em volume e proporcionalmente à população - Visual Capitalist

 Por vezes, quantidade também se traduz em qualidade: mesmo que vc descarte 90% da produção científica de alguns países (China e Índia, por exemplo), o que sobre ainda é relevante.


Charted: The World’s Most Educated Countries

This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.

A country’s prosperity is often linked to the education level of its working-age population.

Highly educated workforces tend to have higher productivity, more capability for innovation, and offer more support for economic growth.

This chart shows the countries with the most educated populations, measured by both the number and share of adults aged 25–64 who have a bachelor’s degree or higher. The data comes from CBRE Research, using the latest available figures as of 2023.



sexta-feira, 29 de novembro de 2024

How the Global Distribution of Wealth Has Changed (2000-2023) - Visual Capitalist

 How the Global Distribution of Wealth Has Changed (2000-2023)

This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.

People worldwide are becoming increasingly wealthier—and not just those who already own great wealth.

Over recent decades, the share of the global population with wealth between $10,000 and $100,000 has more than doubled, while the group in the lowest wealth segment (less than $10,000) has been nearly cut in half.

This graphic illustrates the shifts in global wealth distribution between 2000 and 2023, based on data from Art Basel and UBS.

Key Takeaways

The percentage of adults in the lowest wealth segment (under $10,000) decreased from 75% in 2000 to 40% in 2023. Most of these individuals reside in poorer countries, predominantly in Africa.

Meanwhile, the group with wealth between $10,000 and $100,000 has seen the most significant growth over the last two decades.

Year< $10k$10k-$100k$100k-$1m> $1m
200075%17%8%1%
201056%32%12%1%
201957%33%10%1%
202253%34%12%1%
202340%43%16%2%

While the share of millionaires has doubled since 2000, they still account for only 2% of the global population. North America and the Middle East have experienced the largest percentage increase in the number of millionaires since 2016, with +52% and +50% growth, respectively.

Individuals with assets worth $100,000–$1 million have grown from 8% to 16% of the population.

According to UBS, the data shows that in every wealth band and over any time horizon, it’s consistently likelier for people to climb up the wealth ladder than slip down it, at least on a global level.

Learn More on the Voronoi App 

To learn more about this topic, check out this graphic that shows the global wealth distribution by region in 2023.


quarta-feira, 28 de agosto de 2024

The Largest Sovereign Debt Defaults in Modern History - Visual Capitalist

 


The Largest Sovereign Debt Defaults in Modern History

This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.

In July, Ukraine avoided defaulting on $20 billion in loans by reaching a preliminary agreement with private creditors.

Given the financial burden of war, the country suspended interest payments on international debt over the last two years, which was set to expire on August 1, 2024. Without this new debt restructuring, this default would have ranked among the 10 largest in recent history. The last time Ukraine defaulted on its debt was in 2015, after Russia’s invasion of Crimea. 

This graphic shows the largest sovereign debt defaults since 1983, based on data from Moody’s via Aswath Damodaran.

The Top 10 Sovereign Debt Defaults

Below, we show the biggest sovereign debt defaults between 1983 and 2022: 

RankingCountryTotal Defaulted DebtDateRating at Default
1🇬🇷 Greece$264.2BMar 2012C
2🇦🇷 Argentina$82.3BNov 2001Caa3
3🇷🇺 Russia$72.7BAug 1998Caa1
4🇬🇷 Greece$41.4BDec 2012C
5🇱🇧 Lebanon$31.3BMar 2020Ca
6🇻🇪 Venezuela$31.1BNov 2017Caa3
7🇦🇷 Argentina$29.4BJul 2014Caa2
8🇪🇨 Ecuador$17.3BApr 2020Caa3
9🇺🇦 Ukraine$13.3BOct 2015Ca
10🇦🇷 Argentina$10.5BFeb 2020Caa2

Greece’s $264.2 billion default in 2012 stands as the largest overall, unfolding when the country was mired in recession for the fifth consecutive year.

The country defaulted again just nine months later, making it the fourth-largest ever. Leading up to the crash, Greece ran significant deficits despite being one of the fastest-growing countries in Europe. Furthermore, in 2009, the newly elected prime minister revealed that the country was $410 billion in debt—substantially more than previous estimates. 

With the second-highest default recorded, Argentina failed to repay interest on $82.3 billion in foreign debt in 2001. Like Greece, it is a repeat offender, defaulting numerous times since independence in 1816. Today, Argentina is the largest debtor to the International Monetary Fund, despite being Latin America’s third-largest economy.

Following next in line is Russia’s 1998 default on $72.7 billion in loans, coinciding with a currency crisis that erased more than two-thirds of the ruble’s value in a matter of weeks. That year, several other countries including Venezuela, Pakistan, and Ukraine defaulted on their debts after the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997 spurred instability in global financial markets. 

Just as 1998 saw a wave of defaults, 2020 was a year marked by major debt upheavals. Due to the pandemic and collapsing oil prices, it was a record year for sovereign defaults, reaching seven in total. Among these, Lebanon, Ecuador, and Argentina saw the largest defaults amid deepening fiscal pressures.


sábado, 25 de março de 2023

The World’s Legal Government Systems - Truman Du (Visual Capitalist)

The World’s Legal Government Systems

Mapping The World’s Legal Government Systems

With over 200 countries existing across the world with unique cultures and traditions, one might assume that there are hundreds of types of government systems. But both historically and in modern times, that’s not the case.

Even while political regimes across these countries have changed over time, they’ve largely followed a few different types of governance. Today, every country can ultimately be classified into just nine broad forms of government systems.

This map by Truman Du uses information from Wikipedia to map the government systems that rule the world today.

Countries By Type of Government

It’s important to note that this map charts government systems according to each country’s legal framework.

Many countries have constitutions stating their de jure or legally recognized system of government, but their de facto or realized form of governance may be quite different.

Let’s take a closer look at some of these systems.

Monarchies

Brought back into the spotlight after the death of Queen Elizabeth II of England in September 2022, this form of government has a single ruler. They carry titles from king and queen to sultan or emperor, and their government systems can be further divided into three modern types: constitutional, semi-constitutional, and absolute.

A constitutional monarchy sees the monarch act as head of state within the parameters of a constitution, giving them little to no real power. For example, King Charles III is the head of 15 Commonwealth nations including Canada and Australia. However, each has their own head of government.

On the other hand, a semi-constitutional monarchy lets the monarch or ruling royal family retain substantial political powers, as is the case in Jordan and Morocco. However, their monarchs still rule the country according to a democratic constitution and in concert with other institutions.

Finally, an absolute monarchy is most like the monarchies of old, where the ruler has full power over governance, with modern examples including Saudi Arabia and Vatican City.

Republics

Unlike monarchies, the people hold the power in a republic government system, directly electing representatives to form government. Again, there are multiple types of modern republic governments: presidential, semi-presidential, and parliamentary. 

The presidential republic could be considered a direct progression from monarchies. This system has a strong and independent chief executive with extensive powers when it comes to domestic affairs and foreign policy. An example of this is the United States, where the President is both the head of state and the head of government.

In a semi-presidential republic, the president is the head of state and has some executive powers that are independent of the legislature. However, the prime minister (or chancellor or equivalent title) is the head of government, responsible to the legislature along with the cabinet. Russia is a classic example of this type of government.

The last type of republic system is parliamentary. In this system, the president is a figurehead, while the head of government holds real power and is validated by and accountable to the parliament. This type of system can be seen in Germany, Italy, and India and is akin to constitutional monarchies.

It’s also important to point out that some parliamentary republic systems operate slightly differently. For example in South Africa, the president is both the head of state and government, but is elected directly by the legislature. This leaves them (and their ministries) potentially subject to parliamentary confidence.

One-Party State

Many of the systems above involve multiple political parties vying to rule and govern their respective countries. 

In a one-party state, also called a single-party state or single-party system, only one political party has the right to form government. All other political parties are either outlawed or only allowed limited participation in elections.

In this system, a country’s head of state and head of government can be executive or ceremonial but political power is constitutionally linked to a single political movement. China is the most well-known example of this government system, with the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China ruling as the de facto leader since 1989.

Provisional

The final form of government is a provisional government formed as an interim or transitional government. 

In this system, an emergency governmental body is created to manage political transitions after the collapse of a government, or when a new state is formed. Often these evolve into fully constitutionalized systems, but sometimes they hold power for longer than expected.

Some examples of countries that are considered provisional include Libya, Burkina Faso, and Chad.

Postagem em destaque

Lançamento da 18ª edição da CEBRI-Revista: Transições: energia, uso da terra, recursos e produção.

  O CEBRI convida para o evento online de Lançamento da 18ª edição da CEBRI-Revista: Transições: energia, uso da terra, recursos e produção....