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sábado, 17 de fevereiro de 2018

International Conference on The Economics of Oil - FGV-RJ, 28/02 a 2/03/2018



Registration is required, but, the conference will be open and free to the general public. Admissions will be accepted in the order of subscription, limited to the auditorium capacity. Most presentations will be in English and there will be no simultaneous translation from English to Portuguese. However, there will be simultaneous translation from Portuguese to English.
Sign up - Feb. 28  l click here 
Sign up - Mar. 1 - 2  l click here


International Conference on The Economics of Oil

09:45 - 10:00 – Welcome Message: Carlos Ivan Simonsen Leal (President of FGV), with Sergio Quintella (Vice President of FGV), Hilde C. Bjørnland(Norwegian Business School), Roberto Castello Branco (FGV), João Victor Issler (FGV)
10:00 - 11:00 – Opening Lecture: Pedro Parente (CEO of Petrobras), (Chair: Carlos Ivan Simonsen Leal)
11:00 - 12:30 – Round Table: The Future of Oil: Roberto Castello Branco (FGV, Moderator), David Zylbersztajn (DZ Energia), Marco Lombardi (BIS), Ragnar Torvik (Norwegian University of Science and Technology)
12:30 - 14:30 – Lunch (by invitation only)
14:30 - 15:30 – Décio Oddone (General Director of ANP – Brazilian Oil and Gas Regulatory Agency), (Chair: Sergio Quintella)
15:30 - 16:00 – Coffee break
16:00 - 17:00 – Closing Lecture I: Warwick McKibbin (Australian National University) Sensible Design of Climate Policy to Enable an Orderly Energy Transition (Chair: Hilde C. Bjørnland)
17:00 - 18:00 – Closing Lecture II: Lutz Kilian (University of Michigan) Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities (Chair: João Victor Issler) 

09:00 - 10:00 – Opening remarks: Roberto Castello Branco (FGV)
·     09:00 - 09:40 – Fernando Coelho – Brazilian Minister of Energy and Mines
·     09:40 - 10:00 – Jorge Camargo – President of IBP, Brazilian Institute of Oil and Gas
10:00 - 11:00 – Keynote I: Ian Parry (International Monetary Fund) Getting Energy Prices Right (Chair: Yoosoon Chang)
11:00 - 11:30 – Coffee break
11:30 - 12:30 – Keynote II: Rabah Arezki (The World Bank) The Shifting Natural Wealth of Nations: The Role of Market Orientation (Chair: João Victor Issler)
12:30 - 14:00 – Lunch (by invitation only)
14:00 - 16:00 Session I – Resource rich countries (Chair: Marcelle Chauvet)
·     Pedro C. Ferreira (FGV): Fracking, China and the Global Economy
·     Ragnar Torvik (Norwegian University of Science and Technology): Dutch Disease Reconsidered
·     Renée McKibbin (Australian National University) Recovery from Dutch Disease
·     Hilde C. Bjørnland (Norwegian Business School): Supply Flexibility in the Shale Patch: Evidence from North Dakota
16:00 - 16:30 – Coffee break
16:30 - 18:30 Session II – Oil and business cycles (Chair: Hilde C. Bjørnland)
·     Yoosoon Chang (Indiana University) World GDP and oil price: Do they have a common trend?
·     João Victor Issler (FGV): The Role of Demand Factors in Determining the Behavior of Oil Prices
·     Alain Hecq (University of Maastricht) Detecting Co-Movements in Non-causal Time Series: An Application to Oil Prices
·     Zack Miller (University of Missouri) Forecasting energy consumption and efficiency in developing countries: A functional coefficient panel approach

09:00 - 10:00 – Keynote III: Cynthia Wu (University of Chicago) Title (Chair: Hilde C. Bjørnland)
10:00 - 10:30 – Coffee Break
10:30 -12:30 – Session III - Commodity prices and monetary policy (Chair: Sergio Quintella)
·     Robert Vigfusson (Federal Reserve Board): Oil, Equities, and the Zero Lower Bound
·     Drago Bergholt (Norges Bank): Oil prices and optimal monetary policy
·     Marco Lombardi (BIS): Monetary policy spillovers, global commodity prices and cooperation
·     Marcelle Chauvet (UC Riverside): Title
12:30 - 13:45 – Lunch (by invitation only)
13:45 - 15:45 Session IV - Oil prices and instability (Chair: João Victor Issler)
·     Junior Maih (Norges Bank): Oil and Macroeconomic (in)Stability
·     Yongok Choi (Chung-Ang University) World energy consumption: Global trend and country specific characteristics
·     Julia Zhulanova (BI Norwegian Business School): The Shale Oil Boom and the U.S. Economy
·     Francesca Loria (European University Institute): The Effect of Oil Price Shocks on U.S. Investment: Size Matters

15:45 - 16:00 – Coffee break

16:00 - 17:00 (Paralell) Session V Crude oil prices
A)     Oil and empirics (Chair: Yoosoon Chang)
·     Reinhard Ellwanger (Bank of Canada): The Simple Economics of Global Fuel Consumption
·     Isabel Figuerola-Ferretti (ICADE): Mild explosivity in recent crude oil prices
B)     Oil and finance (Chair: Roberto Castello Branco)
·     Nicolas Legrand (INRA): The Delaying Effect of Storage on Investment: Evidence from The Crude Oil Sector
·     Espen Skretting (Norwegian Business School): Title
17:00 – 18:00 – Keynote IV - Joon Park (Indiana University): Interactions of oil futures and stock market at high frequency: A distributional approach (Chair: Marcelle Chauvet)
O evento será realizado em inglês.  

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