Temas de relações internacionais, de política externa e de diplomacia brasileira, com ênfase em políticas econômicas, em viagens, livros e cultura em geral. Um quilombo de resistência intelectual em defesa da racionalidade, da inteligência e das liberdades democráticas.
O que é este blog?
Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.
The country-by-country report –Freedom In The World 2019– paints a dismal picture of recent trends, citing diminishing political rights and civil liberties in 68 countries with gains in only 50. Of 195 countries assessed, 86 (44 percent) were rated Free, 59 (30 percent) Partly Free, and 50 (26 percent) Not Free.
“The overall losses are still shallow compared with the gains of the late 20th century, but the pattern is consistent and ominous,” the report states. “Democracy is in retreat.”
Two countries experienced dramatic declines in 2018, the report adds. Hungary fell from “Free” to “Partly Free” status as Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s government “presided over themost dramatic decline ever chartedby Freedom House within the European Union.” Nicaragua dropped to “Not Free” status following “a ferocious crackdown on a nationwide anti-government protest movement.”
Syria, South Sudan, Eritrea, Turkmenistan and North Korea registered the worst freedom ratings, while Finland, Norway, Sweden, Canada and the Netherlands scored highest. States that made positive progress in their freedom rating included Armenia, Ethiopia and Iraq.
“This is the thirteenth consecutive year in the decline in political rights and civil liberties globally,”said Freedom House president Michael Abramowitz. The report cites Russia, Iran, Azerbaijan, Montenegro, Serbia, Hungary, and three former Soviet Central Asian states for contributing to the“ominous” decline.
Authoritarianism is increasingly a cross-border enterprise, Freedom House adds.
Some 24 states, including Russia, China, Turkey, Iran, and Saudi Arabia, “have recently targeted political dissidents abroad with practices such as harassment, extradition requests, kidnapping, and even assassination,” it notes.
Abramowitz said that the drivers of decline are starting to shift,Slate reports.
“What you’re seeing the last year or two is more established democracies suffering declines in institutions and norms, particularly countries that had been improving had heading toward stronger democracy heading back,” he says.
“We cannot take for granted that the institutional bulwarks against abuse of power will retain their strength, or that our democracy will endure perpetually,”Abramowitz wrote. “Rarely has the need to defend its rules and norms been more urgent.”
Declining standards in established Western democracies have a knock-on effect forefforts to advance democracy, the report adds.
“There should be no illusions about what the deterioration of established democracies could mean for the cause of freedom globally,” it notes. “That major democracies are now flagging in their efforts, or even working in the opposite direction, is cause for real alarm.”
The crisis is linked to a changing balance of power at the global level, the report observes:
The share of international power held by highly industrialized democracies is dwindling as the clout of China, India, and other newly industrialized economies increases. China’s rise is the most stunning, with GDP per capita increasing by 16 times from 1990 to 2017. The shift has been driven by a new phase of globalization that unlocked enormous wealth around the world. The distribution of benefits has been highly uneven, however, with most accruing to either the wealthiest on a global scale or to workers in industrializing countries.
“Of the 41 countries consistently ranked Free from 1985 to 2005, 22 have registered net score declines in the last five years,”Slate adds:
The poster child for this trend is Hungary—which thanks to Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s attacks on the free press, independent NGOs, academia, and the rights of migrants—dropped from “free” to “partly free” in this year’s report, making it the first non-free member of the European Union ever recorded. Serbia, an EU candidate state, also dropped to partly free. Slovakia and Montenegro both saw significant declines in their scores.
The first is that it usually takes more than two years for a democracy to collapse. “Elsewhere in the world, in places like Hungary, Venezuela or Turkey, Freedom House has watched as democratic institutionsgraduallysuccumbed to sustained pressure from an antidemocratic leadership, often after a halting start,” the report said. …..
was among the countries that received praise due to “a breakthrough” victory for “reform-minded” opposition leader Nikol Pashinian, who became prime minister in 2018 through early elections called “after unpopular incumbent [Serzh Sarkisian] attempted to evade term limits and extend his rule,”RFE/RL notes.
The report said that Armenia’s transition serves as “a reminder that people continue to strive for freedom, accountability, and dignity, even in countries where the odds of success seem insurmountable.”
The Human Freedom Index presents the state of human freedom in the world based on a broad measure that encompasses personal, civil, and economic freedom. Human freedom is a social concept that recognizes the dignity of individuals and is defined here as negative liberty or the absence of coercive constraint. Because freedom is inherently valuable and plays a role in human progress, it is worth measuring carefully. The Human Freedom Index is a resource that can help to more objectively observe relationships between freedom and other social and economic phenomena, as well as the ways in which the various dimensions of freedom interact with one another.
The report is co-published by the Cato Institute, the Fraser Institute, and the Liberales Institut at the Friedrich Naumann Foundation for Freedom.
O Brasil aparece num vergonhoso lugar 123, sobre 162, ou seja, no meio da segunda metade, com um índice geral de liberdade humana de 6,21 (sobre 10), sendo 6,67 nas liberdades individuais (lugar 94 sobre 162), mas apenas 5,75 nas liberdades econômicas (um alarmante lugar 144 sobre 162).
Na verdade, segundo se pode ver na evolução anual, as liberdades humanas e econômicas no Brasil vieram caminhando para trás, ou seja, retrocedendo de 2008 a 2016, o que é propriamente lamentável.
Em outros termos: os governos lulopetistas fizeram o Brasil retroceder no índice de liberdades humanas e de liberdades econômicas, o que combina com o espírito totalitário da organização criminosa que presidiu aos destinos do país nesse período (confiram essa evolução negativa na p. 93 do relatório).
Agora vejam o caso da China, uma autocracia semitotalitária, que justificadamente encontra-se atrás do Brasil no ranking geral das liberdades humanas, em lugar 135 sobre 162, mas no campo das liberdades econômicas a China é mais livre do que o Brasil, por incrível que pareça (mas eu considero isso normal, conhecendo a China).
Seu índice de liberdade econômica é de 6,46 (contra apenas 5,75 no Brasil), o que a coloca num lugar 108 (contra 144 para o Brasil).
Mas o relatório é implacável com a falta de liberdades humanas na China, como se pode constatar por estes comentários, logo na Introdução (Foreword):
"Another power is a far greater threat to freedom—and that is China. The Chinese Communist Party has grown increasingly despotic and imperialistic in recent years; it brutally enforces its model of totalitarianism at home and seeks to spread it globally. It employs a nasty array of mili- tary aggression, intimidation, imprisonment, and execu- tion of opponents domestically, with increasingly blatant use of those tools against external opponents. Its econom- ic clout is used to bribe, corrupt, intimidate, and indebt nations around the world. The range of China’s efforts to suppress freedom do- mestically and internationally is breathtaking, so only a sampling is in order here. Actions that are generally known include its anti-Taiwan activity, its militarization of the South China Sea in an attempt to gain a chokehold on the world’s most important trade corridors, its intellectual property theft, its vast increases in military power and spending, its global propaganda, and, most horrifying, its brutal suppression of Muslim Uighurs. Yet the extent of China’s malicious threats and activities is little understood. (...) Religious persecution is endemic." Em conclusão, se o Brasil se aproximasse das liberdades econômicas da China, sem imitar a sua execrável autocracia política, teríamos um enorme progresso para fazer avançar a criação de riqueza no Brasil.