O que é este blog?

Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

Mostrando postagens com marcador John Williamson. Mostrar todas as postagens
Mostrando postagens com marcador John Williamson. Mostrar todas as postagens

sexta-feira, 16 de abril de 2021

John Williamson, 83, Dies; Economist Defined the ‘Washington Consensus’ - Clay Risen (NYT)

O mal chamado 'consenso de Washington" é uma excelente peça de avaliação crítica das políticas econômicas pró-reforma, pró-crescimento, pró-justiça social que podem ser concebidas. Mas, se o nome fosse "Consenso de Cochabamba" teria tido uma sorte menos cruel do que aquela que afetou o original. Esta matéria não menciona o segundo seminário que ele fez em 2002, chamado "Post-Washington Consensus", com reformas da segunda e terceira geração. Grande economista.

Paulo Roberto de Almeida 

John Williamson, 83, Dies; Economist Defined the ‘Washington Consensus’

A careful pragmatist, he regretted the way his term, aimed at developing countries, was misinterpreted by free-market ideologues and anti-globalization activists.

John Williamson, who drew up a list of 10 “best practices” for the economies of developing countries.
Credit...via Williamson family

John Williamson, a British economist who in 1989 coined the phrase “Washington Consensus” to describe a set of policy reforms for developing economies, then spent the rest of his career trying to rescue it from misuse by both free-market ideologues and anti-globalization activists, died on Sunday at his home in Chevy Chase, Md. He was 83.

His daughter, Theresa Williamson, said the cause was multiple system atrophy, a rare degenerative disease.

More than most economists, Mr. Williamson had a knack for crafting catchy names for complicated ideas. In 1965 he developed what he called the “crawling peg,” in which a central bank would keep an exchange rate fixed but establish a formula for devaluing its currency over time and in response to changing external pressure.

He later mocked the view that changes in a country’s trade deficit would have no impact on exchange rates — a position advocated by the editorial board of The Wall Street Journal, among others — as “the doctrine of immaculate transfer.”

Continue reading the main story

But only the Washington Consensus achieved wonkish immortality, so much so thatmost people who used it knew neither what it originally meant nor who created it. It started innocently enough: In the late 1980s, in the face of pressure on developing economies by the World Bank, International Monetary Fund and the U.S. Treasury to enact sweeping reform, Mr. Williamson organized a conference of Latin American policymakers to demonstrate what their countries were already doing to make their countries more competitive.
He drew up a list of 10 things that both Latin American governments and international economists would say constituted “best practices” — among them, keeping deficits under control, protecting property rights, investing in education and health care, reducing subsidies and making it easier for foreign direct investments to enter developing economies. He called the list the Washington Consensus. Mr. Williamson was careful about what he included, and specific in what he left out, and most economists, then and now, agreed with him — though some later criticized the list as one-size-fits-all and faulted it for not including more pro-growth measures. “To the extent that it made us focus on a universal blueprint, it didn’t give us a good strategy for growth,” said Dani Rodrik, an economist at Harvard. He nevertheless credited Mr. Williamson for his nuanced approach.
That nuance was lost on others, though. By the mid-1990s the Washington Consensus had come to refer to a broad portfolio of pro-market, deregulatory reforms imposed with often brutal efficiency by developed countries on emerging economies, including the “shock therapy” implemented in post-Soviet Russia. Especially after the financial crisis of the late 2000s, the Washington Consensus became a term of derision, used by progressive scholars and activists to attack both neoliberals and free-market conservatives for undermining public welfare to benefit the global financial elite. 
Mr. Williamson, a critic of neoliberalism, particularly on tax policy and deregulation, was aghast. In a series of papers, books and speeches during the 1990s and 2000s, he strained to clarify his position, though he eventually conceded that the term had taken on a life of its own.

“It is difficult even for the creator of the term to deny that the phrase ‘Washington Consensus’ is a damaged brand name,” he said in 2002. “There are people who cannot utter the term without foaming at the mouth.

Mr. Williamson was a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington and a passionate bird watcher.

Credit...Peterson Institute for International Economics

John Williamson was born on June 7, 1937, in Hereford, a small English city near the Welsh border. His mother, Eileen (Heap) Williamson, was a volunteer Methodist preacher, and his father, Harry Williamson, ran a plant nursery and grew roses — he even created his own breed, the Wyevale.

His father instilled in him a lifelong love of birdwatching. Throughout his career, he would often choose to attend conferences based on the ornithological opportunities they presented. He recorded more than 4,000 species of birds during his lifetime, nearly half of the estimated 10,000 species on the planet.

Mr. Williamson attended the London School of Economics, graduating with a degree in economics in 1951. After completing two years of compulsory military service, he entered graduate school at Princeton, where he received his Ph.D. in 1963.

Though he had frequent offers from Oxford and Cambridge, especially later in his career, Mr. Williamson was drawn to the sort of creative research being done at some of the newly established, so-called plate-glass universities, after their modernist architecture.

He joined the University of York in 1963, the year it was founded, and later taught at the University of Warwick, founded in 1965. But he was increasingly drawn to policymaking. In 1968 he took a job as an adviser to the British Treasury, where he worked on economic relations with the European Economic Community, and later moved to Washington to work at the International Monetary Fund.

While at the I.M.F. he met Denise Rausch, a Brazilian economist. They married in 1974.

Along with his daughter and wife, Mr. Williamson is survived by two sons, Andre and Daniel; two sisters, Chris Evans and Wyn Jones; and seven grandchildren.

The Williamsons spent the late 1970s in Brazil, where she worked for a research institution and he taught at a Catholic university. Ms. Williamson taught her husband Portuguese, something he considered his greatest achievement, having struggled with foreign languages in school.

They returned to Washington in 1981, when the economist C. Fred Bergsten hired Mr. Williamson to be the first employee of the newly founded Institute for International Economics, later renamed the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He remained there until he retired in 2012. (In 1996 he took a leave from the institute to join the World Bank, where his wife had worked, though he left after just three years, frustrated with the bank’s bureaucracy.)

Until he coined the Washington Consensus, Mr. Williamson was best known for his work on exchange rates. He was a passionate advocate for a middle ground between the rigidity of fixed rates — especially for developing economies — and the chaos of floating rates, which he believed put even developed economies at the mercy of global financial markets.Continue reading the main story

He presented his initial solution, the crawling peg, to the British government after it had decided to let the pound float in 1971. The U.K. Treasury was uninterested, but several developing economies did adopt it, and today it is used by both Nicaragua and Vietnam.

He applied similar thinking to developed economies in the 1980s, arguing that policymakers should try to constrain free-floating exchange rates by intervening to keep them within “target zones” — an idea that was ratified by six leading economies in the 1987 Louvre Accord, then largely dropped, much to Mr. Williamson’s chagrin.

Mr. Williamson was widely regarded for his careful pragmatism, and as a critic of those who sought to upturn apple carts with unconventional ideas — most of the time.

“I’m more often than not on the side of the conventional wisdom,” he said in a 2012 interview. “Most often it’s right. But sometimes people get things totally wrong, and then it’s necessary to stand up and say so.”


A version of this article appears in print on April 16, 2021, Section A, Page 24 of the New York edition with the headline: John Williamson Dies at 83; Economist Coined ‘Washington Consensus’. 

quarta-feira, 29 de janeiro de 2020

Interview with economist John Williamson, Washington Consensus (Center for Financial Stability)


Interview with  economist John Williamson, Washington Consensus

CFS is delighted to present an interview with the eminent international economist John Williamson, reviewing his more than five decades of work in the field.

Williamson is best known for coining the term "Washington Consensus" in 1989 as a summary of the policy reforms and structural adjustment measures that the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and U.S. Treasury advocated for emerging market economies. The term quickly gained resonance and continues to be widely used today. Over time, he modified his views on what the Washington Consensus should be (see the appendix to the interview).

He also worked for much of his career on "intermediate" exchange rates between the extremes of fixed and floating. The late Rüdiger Dornbusch of MIT summarized Williamson’s proposals as "BBC" – band, basket and crawl. In support of them, Williamson devised the influential concept of the "fundamental equilibrium exchange rate" (FEER).

In 2012 Williamson retired from the Peterson Institute of International Economics, where he had been a senior fellow for more than 20 years. His previous appointments included professorships in his native England, the United States, and Brazil; an advisory post at the British Treasury; and staff or management positions at the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and United Nations.

CFS senior fellow Kurt Schuler and research associate Robert Yee interviewed Williamson, assisted by Williamson’s daughter Theresa.


Best regards,
Larry

--
Lawrence Goodman
President
Center for Financial Stability
1120 Avenue of the Americas, 4th floor
New York, NY  10036

quarta-feira, 7 de novembro de 2012

O Consenso de Washington, homenageado em carne e osso...

Ou melhor dito: em cérebro e sentimentos, hearts and minds.
John Williamson certamente merece a homenagem e os muitos, talvez aqui mesmo, que julgam o CW uma coisa de direita, conservadora, ou, vá lá o chavão idiota, "neoliberal", fariam bem em ler algumas das apresentações feitas no lançamento deste livro em homenagem a um economista comprometido com o desenvolvimento, a boa gestão pública e o sentido de responsabilidade de um Estado bem governado.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida 

Global Economics in Extraordinary Times: Essays in Honor of John Williamson

John Williamson, Peterson Institute for International Economics
C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
C. Randall Henning, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Stanley Fischer, Bank of Israel
Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC
November 1, 2012
Summary
of 6
The Peterson Institute held a conference to present the Festschrift,Global Economics in Extraordinary Times: Essays in Honor of John Williamson, edited by C. Randall Henning and C. Fred Bergsten, on November 1, 2012. Stanley Fischer, governor of the Bank of Israel, delivered the keynote address on the Washington Consensus, a term coined by Williamson. The authors of the chapters of the book, including Williamson, gave presentations, followed by a general discussion.
Over the course of five decades, Williamson has published an extraordinary number of books, articles, and other pieces on topics ranging from international monetary economics to development policy. His work bridges the scholarly literature and policy debates in international economics. His publications on the Washington Consensus, exchange rate policy, and international monetary reform have profoundly influenced public discourse, government policy, and the evolution of the discipline. The Festschrift reflects upon and celebrates these contributions.

Event Materials
Festschrift: Global Economics in Extraordinary Times: Essays in Honor of John Williamson
C. Fred Bergsten and C. Randall Henning, editors
November 2012
Presentation: India and the Global Crisis [pdf]
Shankar Acharya
November 1, 2012
Presentation: Economic and Monetary Union in Europe [pdf]
Paul De Grauwe and Yuemei Ji
November 1, 2012
Presentation: Growth-Linked Securities [pdf]
Stephany Griffith-Jones and Dagmar Hertova
November 1, 2012
Presentation: Capital Mobility and Regulation [pdf]
Olivier Jeanne
November 1, 2012
Presentation: Target Zones and Monitoring Bands: A Bird's Eye View [pdf]
Marcus Miller
November 1, 2012
Presentation: John Williamson and the International Monetary System or "Nonsystem"? [pdf]
Edwin M. Truman
November 1, 2012
Presentation: Designing Economic Policymaking [pdf]
John Williamson
November 1, 2012
Interview The World According to John Williamson: Part II
John Williamson
November 1, 2012
Interview The World According to John Williamson: Part I
John Williamson
October 31, 2012

Agenda
Opening RemarksC. Fred Bergsten, Director, Peterson Institute for International Economics
C. Randall Henning, Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Keynote addressWashington Consensus Stanley Fischer , Governor of the Bank of Israel
Panel 1: MoneyChair: Stanley Fischer

International Monetary System or "Nonsystem"? [pdf]
Edwin M. Truman, Peterson Institute for International Economics

Economic and Monetary Union in Europe [pdf]
Paul De Grauwe and Yuemei Ji, presented by C. Randall Henning

Target Zones and Monitoring Bands: A Bird's Eye View [pdf]
Marcus Miller
line
Panel 2: Countries and RegionsChair: C. Randall Henning

India and the Global Crisis [pdf]
Shankar Acharya presented by Roberto Zagha

Latin America 
José Antonio Ocampo presented by William R. Cline
line
Panel 3: FinanceChair: C. Fred Bergsten

Growth-Linked Securities [pdf]
Stephany Griffith-Jones and Dagmar Hertova

Capital Mobility and Regulation [pdf]
Olivier Jeanne, Peterson Institute for International Economics

International Finance
Avinash Persaud
line
Closing PresentationDesigning Economic Policymaking [pdf]
John Williamson, Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics

segunda-feira, 20 de dezembro de 2010

The Role of International Organizations in Creating a More Stable World Economy

Speech
The Role of International Organizations in Creating a More Stable World Economy [pdf]
John Williamson
Institute for International Economics,
    
     Economic instability in the 1930s was the driving force behind the creation of international economic organizations in the postwar era. The original Articles of the IMF laid out requirements to prevent another round of such instability, but those requirements were not widely heeded and eventually lapsed entirely when the Bretton Woods system collapsed in 1971. The emergence of substantial problems in the developed countries points to a need to abandon the current system in favor of one that leads to internationally consistent policies, but John Williamson says it is unlikely that individual countries will participate in a system of rules necessary for a stable world economy. Hence one has to hope that the sort of ad hoc policy coordination currently practiced by the G-20 will accomplish more than it has done in the recent past.

>> Read full speech [pdf]