Angus Deaton, palestrando no Cato Institute, antes, muito antes do Nobel

Parece que o Cato Institute, a instituição libertária de pesquisas econômicas mais simpática de Washington -- eu era um boca de seminários lá, quando morava na capital do império -- já anda fabricando prêmios Nobel. Não é o caso, claro, pois Angus Deaton ganhou o seu prêmio pelo trabalho desenvolvido em Princeton, mas essa premiação também revela que o comitê do prêmio em economia já foca gente de outro calibre, que não aqueles populistas econômicos do tipo do Paul Krugman (que deve ter sido pelos seus trabalhos de teoria do comércio internacional) e do Joseph Stiglitz (se supõe que tenha sido pelos trabalhos de economia monetária, e não pela demagogia antiglobalizadora).
Comprei o Great Escape para Kindle, comecei a ler mas tive de parar por causa de mudança. Na viagem continuo. Preciso descobrir se, além de suas boas contribuições metodológicas e empíricas para o estudo da pobreza e da "grande escapada" das garras dessa malvada histórica, ele também é adepto da teoria conspiratória do "chutando a escada", que ele apresenta na forma mais amena de ricos barrando caminho de imitadores e seguidores da grande fuga para a frente, out of poverty...
Se for esse o caso, vou tirar 25% do seu prêmio...
Em todo caso, aqui vão os links para as palestras do Deaton no Cato.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Angus Deaton Wins Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences
  
Earlier this month, economist Angus Deaton (pictured above speaking at a 2013 Cato Forum) was awarded the 2015 Nobel Prize Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his study of individual consumption choices. The Princeton economic professor’s work on carefully measuring consumption and other measures of well-being led him to understand development as a complex process not susceptible to improvement by technical or top-down interventions. For Deaton, knowledge is a key to development—even more so than income—and helps explain the tremendous progress humanity has experienced in the last 250 years when parts of the world we now call rich began their “great escape” from poverty and destitution.
“Nobel Laureate Angus Deaton on Human Progress, Poverty, and Aid,” by Ian Vasquez
“The Great Escape,” March/April 2014 Cato Policy Report, featuring Angus Deaton
BOOK FORUM: “The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality”
PODCAST: “The Great Escape from Poverty,” featuring Angus Deaton

How Brazil was downgraded: PRAlmeida at Yale

My talk debate last week at Yale School of Management. Here is the link: http://som.yale.edu/blog/2015/10/too-introverted-economist-paulo-roberto-de-almeida-brazil

‘Too Introverted’: Economist Paulo Roberto de Almeida on Brazil

By: Meredith Crawford

Yale Communication, October 22, 2015 

 

When Standard & Poors downgraded Brazil’s bonds to junk grade last month, the immediate cause was the country’s struggling economy and growing deficit. But the roots of the crisis, economist Paulo Roberto de Almeida told students at Yale School of Management on October 13, lie in Brazil’s major structural problems, including imbalanced public finance, inadequate savings and investment, high tax burdens, and low productivity.
The Latino Leadership Association hosted the talk by Almeida, deputy consul general of Brazil in Hartford and professor of political economy at University Center of Brasília, at Yale SOM. Almeida discussed Brazil’s current fiscal crisis in a talk titled “How Brazil was Downgraded: Economic Challenges and Political Turmoil.”
Among Brazil’s longstanding problems, Almeida said, is an insular approach to trade that prevents it from playing a major role in the world economy.
“Brazil is too introverted,” Almeida said. “The coefficient of opening [in] the Brazilian economy is less than 20% compared to the world average of more than 40%—China [is] 60%.”

Despite some historical periods during which Brazil had a larger share in world trade—during the post-World War II era, for example—insularity has long been the norm for the Brazilian economy, Almeida said.
“Historically, Brazil [accounts for] just 1% of the world trade,” he said. “Even in the last decade, when Brazil benefited from the Chinese bonanza, there was much more increase in value than in volume. For an economy who pretends to be the sixth- or the seventh-largest economy, it’s too low a share.”

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Ambientalismo Imoral - Bjorn Lomborg (WSJ)

Apresentação apenas (quem tiver acesso ao artigo completo de Bjorn Lomborg, favor postar aqui ou me enviar).

‘Immoral’ Environmentalism
BY JAMES FREEMAN
“Climate aid” is the latest fad among rich countries as they shift billions of dollars of foreign assistance away from health and nutrition programs and into carbon reduction. “In a world in which malnourishment continues to claim at least 1.4 million children’s lives each year, 1.2 billion people live in extreme poverty, and 2.6 billion lack clean drinking water and sanitation, this growing emphasis on climate aid is immoral,” writes Bjorn Lomborg in today’s Journal.

Not surprisingly, the people who need help didn’t ask for this change. Mr. Lomborg notes that “in an online U.N. survey of more than eight million people from around the globe, respondents from the world’s poorest countries rank ‘action taken on climate change’ dead last out of 16 categories when asked ‘What matters most to you?’” Better health is a higher priority and Mr. Lomborg adds that “just $570 million a year—or 0.57% of the $100 billion climate-finance goal—spent on direct malaria-prevention policies like mosquito nets would reduce malaria deaths by 50% by 2025, saving an estimated 300,000 lives a year.”
(...)

This Child Doesn’t Need a Solar Panel

Spending billions of dollars on climate-related aid in countries that need help with tuberculosis, malaria and malnutrition.

Bjorn Lomborg

The Wall Street Journal, Oct. 21, 2015  In the run-up to the 2015 U.N. Climate Change Conference in Paris from Nov. 30 to Dec. 11, rich countries and development organizations are scrambling to join the fashionable ranks of “climate aid” donors. This effectively means telling the world’s worst-off people, suffering from tuberculosis, malaria or malnutrition, that what they really need isn’t medicine, mosquito nets or micronutrients, but a solar panel. It is terrible news.

(para ler a íntegra, só com assinatura do jornal, o que eu não tenho. Mas quem tiver acesso, agradeceria receber o artigo completo...)
Paulo Roberto de Almeida 

Crescimento e crise na economia global - os ciclos brasileiros - Seminario especial, Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Seminário reservado aos alunos de Mestrado e Doutorado em Direito do Uniceub (Brasília):

Crescimento e crise na economia global: os ciclos brasileiros (9h)
Prof. Dr. Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Datas e horários: 20 de novembro, das 19h às 22h e 21 de novembro de 2015, das 8:30h às 12h.
Local: Centro de Estudos do Mestrado – CEM – Biblioteca (bloco 02)
  
Informações adicionais:
- Para aproveitamento, de cada seminário são necessários 100% de presença e entregar resumo ou atividade que o professor definir (entrega até 11/12/2015);
- Leitura obrigatória antes dos seminários.

Inscrições: pelo site: https://www.uniceub.br/eventos-academicos/eventos-por-curso/2o-semestre-2015/seminario-juridico-avancado-(20-e-211115).aspx, até 19/11/2015, às 18h.

Informações: (61) 3966-1304
Mestrado e Doutorado - UniCEUB
Bloco 03 térreo - ICPD

Programa e bibliografia: https://www.uniceub.br/media/745387/planoseminario.pdf