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Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

Mostrando postagens com marcador Gorbatchev. Mostrar todas as postagens
Mostrando postagens com marcador Gorbatchev. Mostrar todas as postagens

sexta-feira, 25 de dezembro de 2015

Uniao Sovietica: o fim oficial, no Natal de 1991 - NYTimes

Lembro-me como se fosse hoje: a imagem patética do "oitavo" (e final) líder da mais aberrante experiência de governança política na história da humanidade, declarando o fim do império que se manteve pela opressão, pelo crime, pela escravidão de milhões de pessoas, quando não pela eliminação física de uns quantos milhões também.
Imaginei que o mundo se tornaria mais cooperativo, e ameno, no que fui enganado em minha proverbial atitude otimista, alimentada por uma postura basicamente de Idealpolitik, ou seja, confiando na racionalidade dos homens...
Sempre pecamos por ingenuidade...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

ON THIS DAY

On Dec. 25, 1991, Soviet President Mikhail S. Gorbachev went on TV to announce his resignation as the eighth and final leader of a Communist superpower that had already gone out of existence.

Front Page Image

Gorbachev, Last Soviet Leader, Resigns; U.S. Recognizes Republics' Independence



Communist Flag Is Removed: Yeltsin Gets Nuclear Controls
By FRANCIS X. CLINES
Special to The New York Times
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MOSCOW, Dec. 25 -- Mikhail S. Gorbachev, the trailblazer of the Soviet Union's retreat from the cold war and the spark for the democratic reforms that ended 70 years of Communist tyranny, told a weary, anxious nation tonight that he was resigning as President and closing out the union.
'I hereby discontinue my activities at the post of President of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics,' declared the 60-year-old politician, the last leader of a totalitarian empire that was undone across the six years and nine months of his stewardship.
Mr. Gorbachev made no attempt in his brief, leanly worded television address to mask his bitter regret and concern at being forced from office by the creation of the new Commonwealth of Independent States, composed of 11 former republics of the collapsed Soviet empire under the informal lead of President Boris N. Yeltsin of Russia.
'A New World'
Within hours of Mr. Gorbachev's resignation, Western and other nations began recognition of Russia and the other former republics.
'We're now living in a new world,' Mr. Gorbachev declared in recognizing the rich history of his tenure. 'An end has been put to the cold war and to the arms race, as well as to the mad militarization of the country, which has crippled our economy, public attitudes and morals. The threat of nuclear war has been removed.' [A transcript of Mr. Gorbachev's speech and excerpts from interviews with Mr. Gorbachev and Mr. Yeltsin are on pages A12 and A13.]
Mr. Gorbachev's moment of farewell was stark. Kremlin guards were preparing to lower the red union flag for the last time. In minutes, Mr. Gorbachev would sign over the nuclear missile launching codes for safeguarding to Mr. Yeltsin, his rival and successor as the dominant politician of this agonized land.
Yeltsin's Assurance on Weapons
Earlier today, Mr. Yeltsin told his Russian Parliament that 'there will be only a single nuclear button, and other presidents will not possess it.'
But he said that to 'push it' requires the approval of himself and the leaders of Ukraine, Byelorussia and Kazakhstan, the four former republics that have strategic nuclear weapons on their soil.
'Of course, we think this button must never be used,' Mr. Yeltsin said.
Out in the night beyond the walled fortress as Mr. Gorbachev spoke, a disjointed people, freed from their decades of dictated misery, faced a frightening new course of shedding collectivism for the promises of individual enterprise. It is a course that remains a mystery for most of the commonwealth's 280 million people.
'I am very much concerned as I am leaving this post,' the union President told the people. 'However, I also have feelings of hope and faith in you, your wisdom and force of spirit. We are the heirs of a great civilization and it now depends on all and everyone whether or not this civilization will make a comeback to a new and decent living.'
Still Against Commonwealth
In departing, the Soviet leader took comfort in the world's supporting his singular achievements in nuclear disarmament. But even more, he firmly warned his people that they had not yet learned to use their newly won freedom and that it could be put at risk by the commonwealth, which he fought to the last.
'I am concerned about the fact that the people in this country are ceasing to become citizens of a great power and the consequences may be very difficult for all of us to deal with,' he declared, implicitly arguing that his union could have remained a superpower despite the cold war's end, which he helped engineer.
'We have paid with all our history and tragic experience for these democratic achievements,' Mr. Gorbachev said, assessing centuries of suffering across serfdom and revolution, 'and they are not to be abandoned whatever the circumstances, and whatever the pretext. Otherwise, all our hopes for the best will be buried.'
Mr. Gorbachev's stringent gaze and strong caution to the now dismembered nation were in contrast to the smiling ease displayed during this transition day by President Yeltsin, chief heir to this land's political and economic chaos.
'They Need Some Belief'
'The people here are weary of pessimism, and the share of pessimism is too much for the people to handle,' Mr. Yeltsin declared in an interview with CNN. 'Now they need some belief, finally.'
Mr. Yeltsin made a point in the interview of sending Christmas wishes to his listeners today as the West celebrated the holiday, although the Russian Orthodox Christmas is not until Jan. 7. Mr. Yeltsin also took care in addressing the outside world to stress that commonwealth leaders had agreed to fulfill the disarmament commitments made by Mr. Gorbachev.
'I don't want the international community to be worried about it,' President Yeltsin said, vowing that there would 'not be a single second after Gorbachev makes his resignation' that the missile codes would go astray.
The weapons are only one item in a long list of needed precautions that the commonwealth republics must attend to if they are to establish credibility in a decidedly skeptical world that has watched the Soviet Union reverse its totalitarian course and collapse in a matter of a few years.
Mr. Yeltsin is first among equals in the 11-member commonwealth. This is a very loose political association resorted to by the former Soviet republics because of their disenchantment with the very notion of union and their need, nonetheless, for some common arrangement that might ease the escape from post-Communist destitution.
The commonwealth members are free to decide their individual economic and political plans. But they are pledged to a common military command for joint defense needs and to certain economic denominators as well, including the hope of a resuscitated ruble as their common currency.
Russia has already taken the lead in economics as well as defense, with the giant republic of 149 million people bracing for Mr. Yeltsin's first steps toward free-market reform next week. Sweeping price rises are to be legalized on Jan. 2 as an end comes to much of the consumer-goods subsidies that Communism maintained to make its regime minimally palatable.
Mr. Yeltsin made a point in his CNN interview of expressing some displeasure at the limited amount of aid that has been extended by the outside world.
'There has been a lot of talk, but there has been no specific assistance,' he said, offering a small smile. He quickly offered an explanation that with the union collapsing for the last year, willing nations probably found no clear address to which to donate.
'Now everything is clear, and the addressees are known,' he said, beaming as if in invitation. 'And I think that this humanitarian aid will step up now.'
A Poke at Baker
He offered the same hint of mischief in dealing with the fact that Secretary of State James A. Baker 3d waited until he headed home from an initial visit before talking quite pessimistically of the commonwealth's chances.
'Mr. Baker, when he and I had a four-and-a-half-hour meeting here in Moscow, Mr. Baker never told me that,' Mr. Yeltsin said. 'So those who doubt as to the success of the commonwealth should beware and not be so pessimistic,' he advised. 'We are sick and tired of pessimism.'
In leaving, Mr. Gorbachev had no kind words in the televised speech for the commonwealth and never mentioned Mr. Yeltsin.
He reviewed his own campaign to preserve a drastically revised union. It would have accepted the sovereignty the republics gained after the hard-line Communist coup failed in August. This led to the fall of the Communist Party and, tonight, of the union's most prominent defender, Mr. Gorbachev.
'The policy prevailed of dismembering this country and disuniting the state, which is something I cannot subscribe to,' Mr. Gorbachev told the nation, his jaw set forward firmly in defeat as the presidential red union flag gleamed its last behind his right shoulder.
As Mr. Yeltsin deftly acquired the Moscow remnants of the union's powers and real estate across the last few weeks, the huge red union flag atop the Kremlin's domed Council of Ministers building had waved mainly as a symbol of Mr. Gorbachev's holdout resistance to the commonwealth.
The Flag Comes Down
The flag was lowered from its floodlit perch at 7:32 tonight. A muted moment of awe was shared by the few pedestrians crossing Red Square.
'Why are you laughing at Lenin?' a man, obviously inebriated against the winter cold, suddenly shouted in the square. He reeled near Lenin's tomb.
The mausoleum was dusky pink against the evergreen trees outside the Kremlin walls. Within, for all the sense of history wheeling in the night sky, the embalmed remains of the Communst patriarch still rested.
The drunk was instantly shushed by a passer-by who cautioned that 'foreigners' were watching and he should not embarrass the reborn Russia.
'Foreigners?' laughed another Muscovite. 'Who cares? They're the ones who are feeding us these days.'
In the Gorbachev era there were countless moments of floodlit crisis and emergency solutions hurriedly concocted and rammed through in the Kremlin. Previously, Mr. Gorbachev prevailed and often proved brilliant in his improvising. Tonight, though, he was the executive focus for the last time and he seemed brisk and businesslike, a man containing himself against defeat.
In an interview with CNN later, when asked about his plans, he said he would not comment now on the 'many proposals and offers' he had received. He said he would 'have to recover a little bit, relax, take a rest.'
'Respect' From Rival
'Today is a difficult day for Mikhail Gorbachev,' President Yeltsin said a few hours before the Soviet President resigned, when the Russian leader was invited to describe Mr. Gorbachev's main mistakes along the difficult road of reform.
'Because I have a lot of respect for him personally and we are trying to be civilized people and we are trying to make it into a civilized state today, I don't want to focus on these mistakes,' Mr. Yeltsin responded.

terça-feira, 12 de junho de 2012

Reagan em Berlim: "Derrube este muro, Mr Gorbachev"

Um dia realmente histórico este 12 de Junho de 1987.
Dois anos depois, não Gorbachev, mas o povo de Berlim oriental começou a derrubada do muro.
Mas é verdade que nada teria ocorrido se a URSS tivesse continuado no mesmo caminho da repressão.
O que ocorreu foi que Gorbachev não fez nada, e disse aos comunistas alemães para não fazerem nada.
Este foi o seu histórico papel: o de não fazer nada.
Mas isso não teria talvez ocorrido sem a provocação de Reagan...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Raze Berlin Wall, Reagan Urges Soviet



By GERALD M. BOYD
Special to the New York Times

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WEST BERLIN, June 12 -- President Reagan sought today to undercut Europe's perception of Mikhail S. Gorbachev as a leader of peace, bluntly challenging the Soviet leader to tear down the Berlin wall.
Speaking 100 yards from the wall that was thrown up in 1961 to thwart an exodus to the West, Mr. Reagan made the wall a metaphor for ideological and economic differences separating East and West.
''There is one sign the Soviets can make that would be unmistakable, that would advance dramatically the cause of freedom and peace,'' the President said.
''Secretary General Gorbachev, if you seek peace - if you seek prosperity for the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe - if you seek liberalization: come here, to this gate. ''Mr. Gorbachev, open this gate. ''Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall.''
Mr. Reagan made the remarks with the Brandenburg Gate in East Berlin in the background. An East Berlin security post was in view.
The Berlin police estimated that 20,000 people had turned out to hear the President, but some observers thought the crowd was smaller than that.
The Soviet press agency Tass said that Mr. Reagan, by calling for destruction of the wall, had given an ''openly provocative, war-mongering speech'' reminiscent of the cold war.
Reagan Peers Into East Berlin
Before the speech, Mr. Reagan peered across the wall from a balcony of the old Reichstag building into East Berlin, where a patrol boat and a gray brick sentry post were visible. Later, when asked how he felt, he said, ''I think it's an ugly scar.''
Asked how he regarded a perception among some people in Europe that Mr. Gorbachev was more committed to peace, Mr. Reagan said, ''They just have to learn, don't they?''
Administration officials had portrayed the speech as a major policy statement. But the main new initiative was a call to the Soviet Union to assist in helping Berlin become an aviation hub of Central Europe by agreeing to make commercial air service more convenient.
Some Reagan advisers wanted an address with less polemics but lost to those who favored use of the opportunity to raise East-West differences and questions about Mr. Gorbachev's commitment to ending the nuclear arms race and his internal liberalization policies.
''In Europe, only one nation and those it controls refuse to join the community of freedom,'' Mr. Reagan said. ''Yet, in this age of redoubled economic growth of information and innovation, the Soviet Union faces a choice. It must make fundamental changes or it will become obsolete.''
Shield of Bulletproof Glass
Speaking with two panes of bulletproof glass shielding him from East Berlin, Mr. Reagan stressed a theme of freedom and peaceful reunification of Berlin.
That was a point made by President Kennedy in his ''Ich bin ein Berliner'' speech two years after the wall was built.
''Standing before the Brandenburg Gate, every man is a German, separated from his fellow men,'' Mr. Reagan said. ''Every man is a Berliner, forced to look upon a scar.''
Using this speech to portray Moscow as the villain in the arms race, Mr. Reagan said 10 years ago it had challenged the Western alliance with a ''grave new threat'' by deploying SS-20 nuclear missiles that could strike West European capitals. But, Mr. Reagan said, the alliance remained strong and had deployed Pershing 2 and cruise missiles, so the prospects for eliminating such nuclear weapons is ''within the reach of possibility.''
''While we pursue these arms reductions, I pledge to you that we will maintain the capacity to deter Soviet aggression at any level at which it might occur,'' he said.
Mr. Reagan, whose speech was broadcast to West European countries, said it was unclear whether Mr. Gorbachev's campaign of liberalization represented ''profound changes'' or ''token changes.''
The wall has been an attractive symbol to American Presidents, including Mr. Kennedy and Jimmy Carter.
Taking note of that pattern, Mr. Reagan said, ''We come to Berlin, we American presidents, because it is our duty to speak in this place of freedom.''
The trip, in which Mr. Reagan also took part in a ceremony celebrating Berlin's 750th anniversary, provided the President with a lift at the end of the economic summit meeting in Venice of the seven major industrialized democracies.
At the end of a second event in Berlin, at Tempelhof Airport, miniature parachutes rained down as symbols of the 1948-49 airlift that kept the city alive during a Soviet land blockade.
Greeted by Kohl
Chancellor Helmut Kohl of West Germany greeted the President and then flew aboard Air Force One to Bonn to receive him there.
Speaking before the President, Mr. Kohl said that the countries of the Soviet bloc's Warsaw Pact ''must abandon their conventional superiority and their aggressive military doctrine.''
Suggesting Berlin as a start for cooperation between East and West, Mr. Reagan urged international meetings, summer exchanges of youngsters from West Berlin and East Berlin, culture exchanges and sports events, including Olympic Games jointly in the two countries.
Several times, Mr. Reagan addressed addressed the Germans in their language. In one case, Mr. Reagan made a special appeal to East Berliners by saying, ''Es gibt nur ein Berlin,'' or ''There is only one Berlin.''
He began his remarks by quoting from a popular old song: ''I come here today because wherever I go, whatever I do: 'Ich hab' noch einen Koffer in Berlin,' or 'I still have a suitcase in Berlin.' ''
===========

Uma análise contemporânea:

OP-ED CONTRIBUTOR

Reagan at the Wall

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ON June 12, 1987, the cold war entered a terminal phase, in ways that few could have anticipated, and in fact, almost no one did — with the exception of a president down on his legendary luck.
If in 1984 Ronald Reagan had proclaimed that it was “morning again in America,” three years later the evening was coming fast for a presidency that had spent most of its energy. The Iran-contra scandal had damaged him, and in March 1987 only 42 percent of Americans approved of the job he was doing. Reagan’s diary reveals a president losing focus, with entries registering more enthusiasm for old videos than the crushing business of state. On May 23, 1987, a good day: “Ran a movie about Big Foot & to my surprise I was in it — a shot of me & Bonzo on a TV set.”
But the aging actor still had a trick or two up his sleeve. For months, a trip had been planned to Berlin, a city famous for its stages. John F. Kennedy had given one of the greatest speeches of his presidency there in 1963; it would be a challenge for Reagan to duplicate the excitement of that visit. Like him, the cold war seemed to be losing steam. But Reagan’s loyal aides pitched the idea of a major speech at the Brandenburg Gate, and the writers began to crank out drafts. A single line kept calling attention to itself: an appeal to tear down the Berlin Wall, which ran alongside the gate.
In a way, it was a no-brainer. No one had ever liked the wall, since its construction in 1961. But to express that antipathy in 1987, as tensions were winding down, was impolitic. An encouraging new leader of the Soviet Union, Mikhail S. Gorbachev, was bravely campaigning for perestroika (restructuring), glasnost (opening) and a third word we don’t remember as well, uskorenie (acceleration). Things were trending in the right direction in United States-Soviet relations. Most of Reagan’s foreign policy advisers opposed adding incendiary language.
There were other complications as well. The Brandenburg Gate offered an impressive backdrop, but it was so close to East Berlin that the Secret Service feared the president could be exposed to Communist snipers. Yet building a protective barrier would erect a wall around him at the same time that he was calling for the wall to be torn down. Worse, it would deny TV audiences a chance to see the wall. An ingenious solution was found — a glass partition that gave a clear view of the wall, and the gate.
But to those attuned to nuance, the gate posed its own problems.
It was not much of a gate, and for most of its history, it was illegal for anyone who was not a member of the Prussian royal family to walk through its central passage. A huge ceremonial structure, it borrowed features from the Acropolis, in tribute to the long fascination ancient Greece exerted upon the German imagination (a fascination that in no way extends to the current German-Greek relationship). For many Germans, however, its ghosts did not conjure Aegean democracy or Beethoven, but helmet-tipped Prussians and goose-stepping Nazis. The Reagan team might have been sensitive on that point, after the controversy caused by his visit to a Nazi cemetery on his previous trip to Germany.
One of Reagan’s gifts, however, was not to care about the wisps of history, or the contrary advice of his advisers. He insisted that the line be included, and so, midway through the speech, the president said, “Mr. Gorbachev, open this gate! Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall!” The lines were delivered crisply. It is unusual for a president to use the second-person imperative — it’s one of the reasons we remember J.F.K.’s invocation to “ask not.” Near the end, Reagan spotted a bit of graffiti spray-painted on the wall, and read it aloud: “This wall will fall. Beliefs become reality.”
Shortly after, he flew back to Washington. His diary entry for June 12 does not overwhelm with its acuity (“I was surprised that we traveled in bright sunshine for about 8 of the 8 1/2 hour flight. It didn’t get dark until a little less than an hour out and yet it was after 3 A.M. back where we left”). But something had changed in the atmosphere. A gate had opened. And two years later, it was exactly as he predicted. The wall fell — not because Mr. Gorbachev tore it down, but because he did nothing at all.
To this day, Reagan attracts fierce partisans, eager to claim he “won” the cold war, and this speech is often cited in that argument. The claim feels forced, given that the U.S.S.R. outlasted his presidency by two years. But on this day, Reagan’s inner actor proved shrewder than most who would have counseled realpolitik. His theatrical turn on Berlin’s greatest stage stated a great moral truth, the way the best theater does, and proved the accuracy of Mr. Gorbachev’s third concept, uskorenie — acceleration.
Mr. Gorbachev deserves some of the credit, and in fact, the vast majority of young Germans in 1989 felt gratitude to him, not to Ronald Reagan. No one deserves more credit than the young graffiti-painters who protested against the wall for 28 years, and finally liberated themselves. But surely some recognition should go to a president who had the good sense to ignore the advice he was given, and read the writing on the wall.
Ted Widmer, who was a speechwriter for President Bill Clinton, is the director of the John Carter Brown Library at Brown University and the author of “Ark of the Liberties: America and the World.”

domingo, 27 de novembro de 2011

Da URSS a Russia: o fim da Uniao Sovietica - livros publicados na Franca

De uma lista de história contemporânea: 
20, Liste de diffusion en Histoire Politique du XXème siècle

URSS/Russie
Nous vous signalons diverses parutions concernant la chute de l'URSS (1982-1991): 

1 . Andrei Kozovoi, La Chute de l'Union Soviétique (1982-1991), Paris, Tallandier, 2011, 336p. 
2. Jean-Robert Raviot (sous la dir.), URSS : fin de parti(e)  - Les années Perestroïka, Paris,  Fage Editions, 2011, 126p.
3. Andrei Gratchev,Gorbatchev, Le pari perdu ? : De la perestroïka à l'implosion de l'URSS, Paris, Armand  Colin, 2011, 296p. 

Vous trouverez des informations complémentaires sur ces titres ci-dessous: 

1 . Andrei Kozovoi, La Chute de l'Union Soviétique (1982-1991), Paris, Tallandier, 2011, 336p. 
Présentation :
25 décembre 1991 : lorsque Gorbatchev annonce sa démission, l’URSS n’existe déjà plus. Après neuf années de perestroïkas, le dernier grand empire du vingtième siècle implose en quinze nouveaux États. Rares étaient ceux qui avaient osé prédire une chute aussi rapide. La mort de Brejnev, le 10 novembre 1982, avait pourtant mis à nu les nombreuses failles du système. Économie moribonde, vieillissement et maladies de ses leaders, turbulences dans les marges : l’URSS est alors plus que jamais en quête d’un second souffle. Mais d’Andropov à Gorbatchev, aucun des successeurs de Brejnev ne parviendra à redresser la situation.
S’appuyant sur de nombreux documents et témoignages, Andreï Kozovoï nous livre une histoire inédite de la fin de l’URSS, telle qu’elle fut vécue par les dirigeants, mais aussi par des apparatchiks de la base, voire par de simples Soviétiques. Il raconte comment un empire que d’aucuns pensaient inébranlable a fini par s’effondrer après une parodie de putsch, laissant derrière lui le spectre d’un totalitarisme qui n’en finit pas de hanter la Russie.

2. Jean-Robert Raviot (sous la dir.), URSS : fin de parti(e)  - Les années Perestroïka, Paris,  Fage Editions, 2011, 126p. 

3. Andrei Gratchev,Gorbatchev, Le pari perdu ? : De la perestroïka à l'implosion de l'URSS, Paris, Armand  Colin, 2011, 296p. 

Présentation de l'éditeur
La fin de la guerre froide marque une grande rupture dans l’histoire contemporaine. Victoire des États- Unis, piège de la coexistence pacifique… les grandes lignes sont tracées. Mais pour Andreï Gratchev, conseiller et dernier porte-parole de Mikhaïl Gorbatchev, les origines de ce bouleversement historique restent mal comprises. Les visions occidentalo-centrées ont tendance à minimiser ce qui s’est passé au sein du système soviétique : les fissures qui sont apparues dans le monolithe, la vision démocratique, moderne et sincère de Mikhaïl Gorbatchev qui a conçu cette rupture avec le soviétisme. 
En s’appuyant sur des témoignages exclusifs des principaux dirigeants de l’URSS, Andreï Gratchev reconstitue ce chaînon manquant. Il révèle ces débats internes, ces luttes ou ces décisions restées secrètes qui ont conduit au retrait des Soviétiques d’Afghanistan, à la chute du mur de Berlin, la fin du pacte du Varsovie et de l’URSS elle-même. 
De cette confession à plusieurs voix, sincère et documentée, se dégage une autre vision de l’implosion de l’URSS, qui nous permet aussi de mieux  comprendre la Russie post-soviétique, et de réfléchir à sa place dans la mondialisation. 

Gorbatchev, le pari perdu ?: De la perestroïka à l'implosion de l'URSS