O que é este blog?

Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

domingo, 11 de dezembro de 2011

Curso de amor a distancia - The Economist

A revista está falando de viagens a negócios, o que pode também acomodar viagens para compromissos de tipo acadêmico, mas qualquer que seja o motivo, aqui estão algumas dicas simples para keep in touch...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida 

Love and business travel

Keeping a relationship going while on the road

The Economist, Dec 4th 2011, 18:46 



by N.B. | BERLIN
YOUR CORRESPONDENT is spending two weeks in Berlin for business, so now seems like a good time to examine the difficulties of managing a serious relationship when one or both partners travel a lot. USABusinessReview.com has a nice piece by Doug and Polly White, two management consultants who eventually founded their own firm after years on the road (and apart from each other). Here is one of my favourite bits of advice:
Remember that business travel is not a vacation: Anyone who has spent significant time traveling on business will tell you that eating alone in restaurants or entertaining clients is not as enjoyable as time around the family table. Having the whole bed to yourself is actually lonely. Maid service is nice, but most would exchange a messy bathroom or unmade bed for a good-night kiss from their spouse.
This is so true, but easy to forget when you're together. Don't do that. Here's another titbit I liked:
Find ways to do everyday things together: We watched T.V. together. Hooray for phone plans that allow unlimited minutes! We would talk to each other, make comments about the show, or simply sit quietly and watch. The phone made it seem like we were sitting together rather than miles apart. In addition, Doug would call the home number each morning to wake Polly. She called him “her personal alarm clock."
You should read the whole piece, but I'd just point out how much better technology has made long-distance relationships in the eight years since Mr and Mrs White started their own firm. My fiancée and I are often in separate cities, but we've seen a vast improvement in our ability to do things together while we're apart. Video chat through Skype or Google is easy, free and high-quality; Google Plus hangouts allow multiple people to watch the same YouTube video and chat while they're doing so; Google Voice or Skype audio calls mean there's no more holding the phone to your ear or relying on low-quality cell-phone speakerphones if you want to chat while you work or just want to keep each other company. It's a whole new world out there.
That said, a lot of the most important things you can do to keep both of you happy while on the road have stayed the same. Stay in touch, ask about each other's days, and focus on and plan for your reunion. And if all that distance eventually gets to be too much, ask yourself whether you need to be doing the job you're doing the way you're doing it. Even Mr and Mrs White, who were obviously long-distance relationship experts, eventually decided to change their situation. Do you absolutely need to go on that business trip? Is there another job you could be doing that you might enjoy more and might bring you closer to your family? Economist readers are risk-takers, right? So take one.

Project Syndicate - um blog inteligente

Já transcrito aqui, mas a inflação de ideias inteligentes é sempre bem vinda:


Este blog, como dito em seu frontspício (que não é parente de hospício), se ocupa de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. (OK, de vez em quando aparecem aqui também algumas ideias pouco inteligentes, mas isso é para equilibrar e para contrabalançar.)
Pois bem, agora quero apresentar um site, um blog melhor dito, que também está nesse espírito. Não tenho a pretensão de fazer concorrência com ele, apenas de ser um "irmão menor".

PROJECT SYNDICATE:

WHO WE ARE
Project Syndicate: the world's pre-eminent source of original op-ed commentaries. A unique collaboration of distinguished opinion makers from every corner of the globe, Project Syndicate provides incisive perspectives on our changing world by those who are shaping its politics, economics, science, and culture. Exclusive, trenchant, unparalleled in scope and depth: Project Syndicate is truly A World of Ideas.

As of August 2011, Project Syndicate membership included 469 leading newspapers in 151 countries. Financial contributions from member papers in advanced countries support the services provided by Project Syndicate free of charge or at reduced rates to members in developing countries. Additional support comes from the Open Society Institute.

WHAT WE DO
Project Syndicate provides the world’s foremost newspapers with exclusive commentaries by prominent leaders and opinion makers. It currently offers 54 monthly series and one weekly series of columns on topics ranging from economics to international affairs to science and philosophy.

Project Syndicate is committed to maintaining the broad intellectual scope and global reach that readers need to understand the issues and choices shaping their lives. As a result, Project Syndicate's commentators reflect the world in all its variety of professions, national and cultural backgrounds, and political perspectives. Past and current contributors include:

politicians and statesmen, including Ban Ki-moon, Tony Blair, Jimmy Carter, Jorge Castañeda, Joschka Fischer, Mikhail Gorbachev, Václav Havel, Christine Lagarde, Chris Patten, Anders Fogh Rasmussen, Javier Solana, Shashi Tharoor, and Yuliya Tymoshenko;
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scientists, including Nobel Laureates Paul Berg, Sydney Brenner, Christian de Duve, and Harold Varmus;
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Observador Politico - artigos Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Alguns dos meus artigos no site Observador Político:


Blog do Paulo Roberto de Almeida

ÚLTIMOS POSTS

MUNDO

Os Brics na nova conjuntura de crise econômica mundial (2)

Por Paulo Roberto de Almeida, em 27/10/2011 às 10:52, comente.
2. Existe a possibilidade dos Brics sustentarem a recuperação financeira europeia? Talvez, mas não certamente enquanto Brics; eventualmente enquanto economias nacionais, tomadas individualmente e atuando cada qual com base em seu interesse e possibilidades próprias. Uma alegada ajuda financeira dos Brics aos países europeus sob risco de insolvência, isolada ou conjuntamente, não pode, na verdade, | Leia mais
MUNDO

Os Brics na nova conjuntura de crise econômica mundial (1)

Por Paulo Roberto de Almeida, em 26/10/2011 às 10:50, 2 comentários.
1. Existe um papel para os BRICS na nova conjuntura de crise político-econômica? O recrudescimento da crise econômica internacional, iniciada pelo estouro da bolha hipotecária, seguida pelas quebras bancárias nos Estados Unidos, em 2007 e 2008, agora sob a forma de esgotamento da capacidade de diversos países europeus – notadamente a Grécia, mas possivelmente Portugal | Leia mais
REVOLUÇÕES

A morte de Gaddafi e o futuro dos ditadores

Por Paulo Roberto de Almeida, em 20/10/2011 às 17:34, 6 comentários.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida Especial para o Observador Político 20/10/2011 Líderes políticos de países envolvidos com a guerra civil da Líbia, entre eles alguns da OTAN, estariam, aparentemente, “comemorando” a morte do coronel Muammar Gaddafi, “dirigente” líbio pelos últimos 42 anos (na verdade, apenas o segundo da história independente desse país magrebino, depois que ele | Leia mais
MUNDO

O Estado brasileiro contra o Brasil (7): Como os países avançam na economia global?

Por Paulo Roberto de Almeida, em 17/10/2011 às 16:54, 3 comentários.
De forma geral, o relatório de 2011 do Fraser Institute, Economic Freedom of the World, confirma o que esse mesmo instituto e diversos outros centros de pesquisa e os organismos internacionais vêm afirmando desde muito tempo: nações que são mais livres economicamente registram melhor desempenho e superam em prosperidade as nações menos livres, vistos os | Leia mais
ECONOMIA

O Estado brasileiro contra o Brasil (6): Interpretando alguns indicadores setoriais de liberdade econômica

Por Paulo Roberto de Almeida, em 14/10/2011 às 16:51, 4 comentários.
Que observações poderiam ser feitas a partir da tabela constante do Economic Freedom of the World: 2011 Annual Report (disponível: http://www.freetheworld.com/2011/reports/world/EFW2011_complete.pdf) e de outros dados desagregados (setoriais) constantes das dados dos países – ver o artigo anterior desta séria – tendo o Brasil como referência de comparação com outros países emergentes? Já tínhamos constatado que, | Leia mais
MUNDO

O Estado brasileiro contra o Brasil (5): O que dizem os indicadores sobre as liberdades econômicas?

Por Paulo Roberto de Almeida, em 12/10/2011 às 16:47, comente.
As tabelas a seguir, resumindo alguns dos dados do relatório de 2001 do Fraser Institute (Economic Freedom of the World: 2011 Annual Report; disponível: http://www.freetheworld.com/2011/reports/world/EFW2011_complete.pdf; para os outros anos: http://www.freetheworld.com/reports.html), apresentam exemplos significativos, que podem colocar em perspectiva a posição do Brasil em face de outros casos de sucesso ou de atraso relativos. Primeiro, um | Leia mais
MUNDO

O Estado brasileiro contra o Brasil (4): Os indicadores sobre a liberdade econômica no mundo

Por Paulo Roberto de Almeida, em 10/10/2011 às 16:46, comente.
O mundo contemporâneo, cada vez mais integrado em escala global, conta com certa pletora de indicadores comparativos, alguns deles incidindo sobre critérios de desempenho – como, por exemplo, o da competitividade econômica, elaborado pelo Fórum Econômico Mundial – enquanto outros focalizam critérios menos brilhantes, como o relatório do Fund for Peace sobre os Estados falidos. | Leia mais
ECONOMIA

O Estado brasileiro contra o Brasil (3): a liberdade econômica no mundo e o caso do Estado ‘opressor’ do Brasil

Por Paulo Roberto de Almeida, em 27/09/2011 às 15:06, 4 comentários.
Liberdade econômica no mundo: o relatório do Fraser Institute Os brasileiros pagaram mais impostos em 2010 do que eles haviam pago em 2009; mas eles já haviam pago mais impostos em 2009, comparativamente a 2008; aliás, 2008 também já tinha representado um aumento em relação a 2007, assim como 2007 tinha seguido essa mesma tendência, | Leia mais
POLÍTICA

O Estado brasileiro contra o Brasil (2): agora, interpretando os fatos…

Por Paulo Roberto de Almeida, em 26/09/2011 às 10:29, 5 comentários.
No dia 18 de setembro de 2011, sob o mesmo título, mas com o número 1, publiquei neste mesmo blog alguns fatos recentes relativos à atualidade brasileira, todos eles enfeixados nessa categoria das “maldades” que o Estado brasileiro comete contra a própria sociedade brasileira. A nação, aparentemente, assiste inerme aos desvarios cada vez mais onerosos, | Leia mais

Senado pelo Apartheid Racial

Comissão do Senado Federal recusa-se a ouvir opositores do racialismo oficialismo que se pretende implantar no país:


SENADO FEDERAL
SECRETARIA-GERAL DA MESA
SECRETARIA DE COMISSÕES
1ª SESSÃO LEGISLATIVA DA 54ª LEGISLATURA
Em 7 de dezembro de 2011 (quarta-feira)
COMISSÃO DE CONSTITUIÇÃO, JUSTIÇA E CIDADANIA
65ª Reunião Ordinária da Comissão de Constituição, Justiça e Cidadania, da 1ª Sessão Legislativa Ordinária da 54ª Legislatura, realizada em  7 de dezembro de 2011, quarta-feira, às 10:00 horas,  na Sala de Reuniões n° 3, da Ala Alexandre Costa, Anexo II - Senado Federal.
 1) REQUERIMENTO Nº 102, DE 2011-CCJ
“Nos termos do art. 93, I, do Regimento Interno do Senado Federal, requeiro a realização de audiência pública com o objetivo de instruir o PLC 180, de 2008, em tramitação na Comissão de Constituição, Justiça e Cidadania, com a presença dos seguintes convidados: Doutora Roberta Fragoso Menezes Kaufmann, Procuradora do Distrito Federal e Mestre em Direito pela Universidade de Brasília – UnB, autora do livro Ações Afirmativas à brasileira: necessidade ou mito? Uma análise histórico-jurídico-comparativa do negro nos EUA e no Brasil; Professora Yvonne Maggie, titular do Departamento de Antropologia Cultural, do Instituto de Filosofia e Ciências Sociais da Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ); Senhor Bolívar Lamounier, sociólogo, cientista político e autor de alguns dos mais conhecidos estudos de ciência política no país; Senhor José Roberto Ferreira Militão, advogado civilista, militante do movimento negro contra o racismo e as discriminações; Professor José Roberto Pinto de Góes, professor adjunto da Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro e doutor em História pela Universidade Federal Fluminense; Doutor Sérgio Danilo Pena, geneticista e professor titular do Departamento de Bioquímica e Imunologia da Universidade Federal da Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais; Senhor Demetrio Martinelli Magnoli, sociólogo, geógrafo e Doutor em Geografia Humana pela Faculdade de Filosofia, Letras e Ciências Humanas da Universidade de São Paulo; Senhor Simon Schwartzman, pesquisador do Instituto de Estudos do Trabalho e Sociedade no Rio de Janeiro e Ph.D. em ciência política pela Universidade da Califórnia, Berkeley; e Doutor Walter Claudius Rothenburg, Mestre e Doutor em Direito pela UFPR.”
Autoria: Senadores Demóstenes Torres e Pedro Taques.
Resultado: Rejeitado.

sábado, 10 de dezembro de 2011

Um historiador ingles: Hugh Trevor-Roper


Oxford in the mid-20th century was a romantic place—ancient buildings emerging through the mists, a class hierarchy still in place, complete with grand accents. The place had character and produced characters as well. Hugh Trevor-Roper was one such, and Adam Sisman's biography, "An Honourable Englishman," is a marvelous evocation of man, place and time. Here was an Oxford historian who hunted, drove a Bentley, had duchesses at his parties, worked in British wartime intelligence and wrote a book about the last days of Hitler that was translated into dozens of languages.
There is that surprisingly common thing among the English upper-middle class, a family that offers no affection—like the one Trevor-Roper was born into in 1914. Growing up on the border with Scotland, he was "starved of affection, and even of attention," Mr. Sisman says, and "became a very abstracted child."
His parents made him go to church, but Trevor-Roper passed the time memorizing the Assyrian and Babylonian chronologies. Then it was boarding school, Latin and Greek to a very high standard, travel abroad to get good French and German (which he did not like), then to Oxford as an undergraduate. He had his foot on the academic ladder by the time war broke out in 1939—he'd already published his first book, on the Anglican Church and Archbishop of Canterbury William Laud in the English Civil War, making waves with its anti-clericalism.
Trevor-Roper could not join the army because his eyesight was poor. (He needed spectacles of Palomar Observatory strength and often offended people by not recognizing them.) He went into military intelligence instead and flourished. It was the making of him, because he was assigned at war's end to examine Hitler's final days before his suicide in the Reichstag bunker. The Russians were making a mystery of them.
Lord Snowdon/Camera Press/Retna
Hugh Trevor-Roper in 1968, the year he wrote 'The Philby Affair.'
Trevor-Roper's job was to locate witnesses in Berlin, and he did it well. He had some help, not entirely acknowledged, from a manuscript (which I saw in Moscow) written by Hanna Reitsch, a famous German pilot who had flown to Berlin in the war's final days with the newly appointed head of the Luftwaffe (his predecessor, Hermann Goering, having been dismissed for defeatism). The plane crash-landed outside the Reichstag as Red Army troops were taking the city. The Luftwaffe chief, badly injured, was hustled in a stretcher down the steps into Hitler's bunker, past the Goebbels children playing hopscotch. Reitsch saw the desperate last moments in the bunker but was ordered away before the very end—and she eluded capture for a time, only to find her entire family dead of cyanide poisoning around the breakfast table on a Salzburg mountain.
Trevor-Roper used Reitsch's manuscript to much effect in "The Last Days of Hitler" (1947). The book holds up well, even in light of additional evidence that became known when the Soviets began releasing German prisoners in the 1950s. The book is also very well written, the model being Edward Gibbon's history of the Roman Empire's decline. "The Last Days of Hitler" was a great success, critically and financially. Mr. Sisman reports that, in those days, Oxford professors like Trevor-Roper were annually paid £1,900 (before tax). "The total sum due him in the first accounting period from sales of the British edition alone would be £3,849."
And Trevor-Roper needed the money. He had upper-class habits—hunting (until he broke his back), smart cars, grand-ish houses (one put up by Sir Walter Scott in the Scottish borders). He also married well, to the daughter of Field Marshal Douglas Haig, the World War I British commander. Alexandra, known as Xandra, had divorced her first husband, the British naval attaché in postwar Paris. She acquired a fabulous couturier collection while there; when she and Hugh ran short of money late in life, she began surreptitiously selling off the clothes.

An Honourable Englishman

By Adam Sisman
Random House, 643 pages, $40
Then, in 1957, when he was still in his 40s, Trevor-Roper was appointed Regius professor of modern history, a prestigious post more commonly awarded in recognition of a long and distinguished career. The appointment was made by Prime Minister Harold Macmillan, who a decade before had been working at the family publishing firm when it brought out "The Last Days of Hitler."
Mr. Sisman knows all the gossip. Trevor-Roper could enrage people, and not all of the ire was caused by envy. Part of the trouble was that he never wrote the promised Great Book, diverting his energies again and again into essays and higher journalism. He did so, apparently, to please Xandra: "You expect me to earn more money than I am paid at Oxford. To do this I must write for the Sunday Times. The Sunday Times wants me to write on foreign politics, and to do this I must go abroad." Mr. Sisman adds: "But she persecuted him for going on 'holidays' without her."
Trevor-Roper did make repeated attempts to take on big book subjects, but he would write four or five chapters before abandoning them for something else. His friends gathered these into collections of essays that were published; it was left to his former pupil, Geoffrey Parker, to write the epic volume on 17th-century European history that Trevor-Roper should have done.
Another distraction from book-writing was Trevor-Roper's willingness to undertake lecture tours. The practice could be fruitful: Some of his best-written pieces began life as lectures. There is a remarkable talk he gave in 1961 asking: "Why did the economic and social and intellectual life of the Roman Catholic countries sink or stagnate, while that of the Protestant countries bounded forward, in the three centuries after the Reformation?" It was an idea broached by the German sociologist Max Weber (1864-1920) but pursued with vigor by Trevor-Roper. He delivered the lecture to an unlikely audience: Irish nuns in Galway.
Weber launched his thesis about the Protestant ethic and capitalism at the turn of the century and for the next hundred years everybody said it was All Wrong—in other words, Weber was onto something. Trevor-Roper recognized this, then pursued an explanation. The capitalists were not especially Protestant, he showed, and the Protestants were not especially capitalist. The difference with Catholicism was that the Counter-Reformation in Europe, beginning in the mid-16th century, drove out the capitalists with taxes and bureaucracy, so they set up in Holland, or England, or America—just as happened, though Trevor-Roper did not spell this out, with the Jews of Central Europe in the 1930s. It was emigration, not religion, that made the difference. The explanation was an ingenious one, though in some ways it does just push the question back, leaving questions about the Counter-Reformation unaddressed.
The Trevor-Ropers' make-it-and-spend-it life meant that they improvidently neglected to buy a decent house in London; as he neared 70, Trevor-Roper was rather stuck in Cambridge, where he had become the head of Peterhouse College in 1980. (The year before, Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher had made him a life peer; he chose the title Baron Dacre of Glanton, for his birthplace in Northumberland.) By 1983, he was unhappy at Peterhouse, feeling isolated and pinched for money, and worried about retiring and about where he and Xandra would live.
The mixture was an explosive one, and it helps to account for that comic and sad episode when Trevor-Roper endorsed the authenticity of Hitler's purported diaries. "Ever since he made his name as a Hitler expert with the worldwide success of The Last Days of Hitler," Mr. Sisman writes, "Hugh had been called upon to judge the authenticity of documents from the Nazi period. It had become a profitable sideline." The German magazine Stern claimed to have obtained Hitler's diaries and was offering them for syndication to the Times and Sunday Times, who hired Trevor-Roper to examine the papers for a "five-figure fee," Mr. Sisman says.
Trevor-Roper's German had become very rusty, and anyway his eyesight could not handle the forger's scribbles—which were quickly revealed as fake after the diaries were publicly trumpeted. The whole episode is brilliantly written up in Robert Harris's "Selling Hitler" (1986). Oddly enough, Trevor-Roper had made a fool of himself in the Sunday Times two decades earlier, by pontificating about ballistics in support of some idiotic theory about the assassination of President Kennedy. God knows why he did these things. Adam Sisman has done a wonderful job with a life that, in its way, is very English.
—Mr. Stone is a professor of modern history at Bilkent University in Ankara, Turkey

Reforma tributaria: novo assalto ao cidadao

No Brasil, reforma tributária é só para aumentar tributos -- claro, para alguma causa nobre -- nunca para aliviar o cidadão.
Mesmo que você não seja milionário, cidadão -- ou milhonário, como escreveria um subjornalista -- tenha absoluta certeza de que vai sobrar para você também...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida 

Novo pacote para reforma tributária

Entre os projetos, a taxação de fortunas para fomentar investimentos na saúde. 

Por Leandro Mazzini

Opinião e Notícia, 10/12/2011

PT tem novo projeto de reforma tributária
Alheio a outros projetos de lei em tramitação no Congresso, um grupo de parlamentares do PT, sob o comando dos deputados Ricardo Berzoini (SP) e Cláudio Puty (PA), esboça um pacote para uma reforma tributária. O plano será apresentado ao PT para ajustes internos e, posteriormente, aos partidos aliados a partir de fevereiro, quando a Câmara iniciar o Ano Legislativo. Entre os projetos, a taxação de fortunas para fomentar investimentos na saúde e mudanças, ainda não explicitadas, no DPVAT – o seguro do trânsito, que recolhe até R$ 7 bilhões por ano.
Bonito, hein
Mas a deputada Jandira Feghali (PCdoB-RJ) também já tem projeto de taxação de fortunas, em tramitação. Pediu à Receita a lista (quantitativa) das maiores do país.

Jornalismo brasileiro: um pequeno retrato...

Claro, nem todo jornalismo brasileiro é assim, mas algumas faculdades de jornalismo permitem que cavalgaduras deste tipo consigam se formar: 
Coluna Plantão do Interior, do jornal Meio Norte, de Teresina:
Cabeleireira Adriana, acusada de matar milhonário, foi absorvida nesta madrugada