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Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

domingo, 14 de abril de 2024

Sobre a necessidade de ajudar a Ucrânia a se defender da Rússia, como Israel de Teheran - Anton Geraschenko

Transcrevendo:

Iran, for the first time in history, dared to launch a direct strike against Israel but proved incapable of achieving not only the objectives set by the leadership but also of inflicting any serious damage on Israeli territory.

In the aftermath of this attack, once again, we can see that allied solidarity is important. If air targets hadn't been destroyed by Jordan, the US, France, or Great Britain, it would have been so much more difficult for Israel to repel the Iranian attack. If Western countries did not fear a clash with Russia and did not restrict aid, it would be easier for Ukraine to fend off attacks by an aggressor state.

Regarding future predictions: the question for today is whether and how Israel will respond to Iran's actions on the night of April 13-14. If it raises the bar with its  response, Iran, in turn, will also respond, and thus, we will find ourselves in a real huge war.

So, as I have said many times before, if the Russian-Ukrainian war is not stopped within a few months, it could metastasize into the globalization of conflicts in critical areas around the world and, as a result, World War III.

The just and sustainable end of the Russian-Ukrainian war remains essential if the world is to have any hope of surviving the confrontation between democracies and dictatorships and not waiting until a major devastating war.

The issue of aid to Israel and Ukraine must have this consequence - a feeling of common sense and a realization of the need to confront dictatorships such as Russia and Iran more forcefully.

Adequacy is now the main response to the serious challenges that the democratic world is facing as dictatorships feel their impunity and ability to change other countries' borders and determine which countries will exist on the political map of the world and which will not.

Unless the democratic world proves that it can effectively combat this, conflicts will only intensify, and it won't be possible to avoid heavy casualties and serious damage as a result of attacks by dictatorial regimes.

Anton Geraschenko

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