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Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida;

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Mostrando postagens com marcador Noruega. Mostrar todas as postagens
Mostrando postagens com marcador Noruega. Mostrar todas as postagens

terça-feira, 13 de junho de 2023

A estranha viagem de Celso Amorim para falar de paz na Ucrânia em fórum da Noruega, que acabou sendo desmarcada - Ricardo Della Coletta (FSP)

A alegação de que Amorim "ficou em Brasília para participar da recepção de Ursula von der Leyen" não se sustenta minimamente. Lula deve ter vetado a viagem depois que Amorim havia confirmado presença, mas depois que sua performance em Hiroshima ficou abaixo do esperado, e até do desejável, sendo não só ofuscado pela presença de Zelensky, como também se recusou a encontrar o presidente ucraniano. 

Lula é do tipo vingativo, e não pretende mais falar com Zelensky, e por isso Celso Amorim teve de cancelar sua viagem, já que o chefe prefere privilegiar Putin e seus amigos autocratas, a lutar verdadeiramente pela paz na Ucrânia. 

Lamento mais essa diminuição da credibilidade diplomática do Brasil, e antecipo que este novo gesto deve retirar do Brasil a credencial para continuar propugnando por um "Clube da Paz". Resta ver o que Lula vai conversar com Macron, e outros líderes mundiais, e como ele vai seguir em suas tergiversações sobre como se obter "menos intervenção armada na Ucrânia", conforma ele recitou para a comissária europeia.

Custa a crer que a diplomacia brasileira possa ser humilhada pelo seu próprio chefe.

Paulo Roberto de Almeida

 Celso Amorim confirma e depois cancela ida a fórum sobre paz na Noruega

Principal assessor de Lula para política externa apresentaria visão brasileira sobre conflito na Ucrânia
Folha de S. Paulo, 13 junho 2023 às 14h13
Ricardo Della Coletta

O assessor especial do presidente Lula (PT), Celso Amorim, cancelou a participação que faria em uma das principais conferências internacionais sobre negociações de paz, o Oslo Forum.

O convite foi feito pelo governo da Noruega, que sedia o encontro. De acordo com a assessoria especial do Planalto, Amorim abriria um dos dias de debate para falar sobre a visão do Brasil em relação ao conflito entre Ucrânia e Rússia —tema que figura entre as prioridades do presidente brasileiro na arena externa.

Também havia a possibilidade de uma reunião de Amorim com o premiê da Noruega, Jonas Gahr Støre —ambos se conhecem porque coincidiram na chefia das respectivas chancelarias entre 2005 e 2010.

A viagem do principal assessor de Lula para temas internacionais chegou a ser publicada no Diário Oficial. Em 6 de junho, o petista autorizou o afastamento de Amorim entre 11 e 15 deste mês para ir a Oslo.

Apesar da centralidade que o conflito na Ucrânia tem na política externa de Lula, Amorim alegou questões de agenda para cancelar a visita. De acordo com sua assessoria, ele ficou em Brasília para participar da recepção de Ursula von der Leyen e de outros compromissos nesta semana. A data da passagem da presidente da Comissão Europeia pela capital é conhecida desde meados de abril. Amorim também deve acompanhar Lula em reuniões na Itália e na França na próxima semana, ainda segundo sua assessoria.

O Oslo Forum é organizado pela chancelaria da Noruega, país com ampla tradição na mediação de conflitos, e por uma organização humanitária suíça. Segundo o site do evento, neste ano a reunião abordará os principais acontecimentos diplomáticos e geopolíticos da atualidade, com discussões sobre os conflitos na Ucrânia, no Sudão e no Iêmen, entre outros. "A agenda inclui sessões sobre como garantir que a voz de todas as partes sejam ouvidas e formas de alcançar uma paz sustentável, muitas vezes baseada em acordos duramente conquistados e originados da exaustão militar e do pragmatismo."

Nesta segunda (12), o Oslo Forum anunciou que entre os participantes desta edição estão os chanceleres da Indonésia, Retno Marsudi, e da Colômbia, Álvaro Leyva Durán, além do promotor do Tribunal Penal Internacional Karim Khan. Trata-se do responsável por ter solicitado a expedição do mandado de prisão contra o presidente da Rússia, Vladimir Putin, por acusações de crimes de guerra cometidos na Ucrânia.

Segundo pessoas que conhecem o funcionamento do fórum, a lista completa de participantes é mantida em sigilo. A rede pública de comunicação norueguesa NRK informou recentemente que alguns integrantes do grupo extremista Talibã, que governa o Afeganistão, participariam da conferência. A organização do evento diz que mais de cem mediadores e atores envolvidos em processos de paz devem comparecer.

Amorim é apontado como o arquiteto da abordagem de Lula para a Guerra da Ucrânia. O presidente tentou se colocar desde o início de seu terceiro mandato como possível mediador do conflito, mas declarações vistas pelo Ocidente como favoráveis à Rússia geraram forte desconforto dos EUA e da Europa.

A fala de Lula que gerou mais reações ocorreu em Pequim, durante visita à China, em abril. Na ocasião, cobrou que os EUA "parem de incentivar a guerra e comecem a falar em paz" para encaminhar um acordo no Leste Europeu, uma referência ao envio de armas para que Kiev se defenda das ofensivas russas.

Poucos dias depois, enquanto o chanceler russo, Serguei Lavrov, era recebido em Brasília, um porta-voz do governo americano descreveu a postura de Lula sobre a Ucrânia como "repetição automática da propaganda russa e chinesa" e "profundamente problemática".


quarta-feira, 25 de dezembro de 2013

Salmao: um alerta vermelho - Le Monde


Alerte rouge sur le saumon

LE MONDE |  • Mis à jour le  |
Par Laurence Girard

Les consommateurs commencent à s'alarmer devant l'avalanche d'informations sur la pollution grandissante qui atteint les poissons, qu’ils soient sauvages ou d’élevage.

Avis de gros temps dans les fjords norvégiens. La diffusion, début novembre, sur France 2, d'un reportage de l'émission « Envoyé spécial », mettant crûment en cause le saumon norvégien, a causé quelques remous du côté du cercle polaire. Même si l'attaque n'est pas nouvelle, le moment choisi, à quelques encablures de Noël, suscite le malaise chez les acteurs de ce marché.

Qualifié de « monde secret, opaque », le secteur de l'aquaculture n'était guère à son avantage dans le reportage de la chaîne publique. De même le saumon, considéré « comme la nourriture la plus toxique au monde ». Le journaliste avait, il est vrai, choisi comme guide, pour naviguer sur les eaux froides des fjords, un militant écologiste, Kurt Oddekalv, de l'association Green Warriors of Norway, en lutte contre l'aquaculture intensive.
Des images prises à distance depuis son bateau montrent des employés pulvérisant à grands jets des pesticides sur les bassins regorgeant de poissons. Puis des vues sous-marines dévoilent les fonds des fjords détruits par l'accumulation des excréments de poisson et les produits de traitement. Enfin, des chercheurs expliquent le cocktail de PCB, de dioxines ou autres substances toxiques, que le saumon, poisson gras, stocke. Et ce d'autant plus s'il est nourri avec des farines de petits poissons pêchés dans la Baltique, polluée.

SÉRIEUX DOUTES SUR LE POISSON D'ÉLEVAGE NORVÉGIEN
Ce voyage glaçant au pays du saumon n'a pas manqué de rallumer les craintes alimentaires des consommateurs français. Et de faire planer de sérieux doutes sur le poisson d'élevage norvégien. Ramon Mac Crohon, directeur général de Caviar Kaspia, célèbre maison de produits gourmets de la mer de la place de la Madeleine à Paris, le reconnaît aisément : « Depuis, nos clients nous posent de nombreuses questions sur le saumon norvégien. »
Pour répondre aux interrogations des clients, les vendeurs se sont vu remettre une feuille d'argumentaire élaborée par Norge, le centre des produits de la mer de Norvège. Cet organisme de promotion et de lobby financé par les industriels de l'aquaculture et de la pêche a, en effet, immédiatement mis en place des contre-feux. Campagnes de publicité pour vanter le savoir-faire des professionnels norvégiens. Communiqué publié sur son site Internet pour apporter des réponses aux différentes mises en cause. Mais aussi organisation d'un voyage de presse « transparence », auquel a justement participé une équipe de France 2, pour donner un autre son de cloche. Son reportage a été diffusé lors du journal de 20 heures, lundi 16 décembre.
Il est vrai que les enjeux sont d'importance pour la Norvège. L'aquaculture et la pêche représentent la deuxième source de revenus du pays après le pétrole. Elles pesaient, en 2012, 6,6 milliards d'euros. L'exportation de saumon représente, à elle seule, 3,8 milliards d'euros. En l'espace d'une trentaine d'années, la Norvège a participé à l'explosion de ce marché très lucratif. Quasi inexistant au début des années 1980, il a dépassé la barre de 2 million de tonnes de saumons produits dans des fermes aquacoles de par le monde. La Norvège en détient toujours près de 60 %.

Ce développement accéléré a donné naissance à des acteurs de taille industrielle. Le premier d'entre eux n'est autre que le leader mondial du saumon, Marine Harvest, qui se qualifie de « fournisseur de protéines ». Cette entreprise, peu connue du grand public, a pourtant contribué, même si elle s'en serait bien passée, à un événement, lui, très médiatisé : la récente révolte des « bonnets rouges ».
L'annonce de la fermeture de deux de ses sites de production en Bretagne, dont l'un près de Carhaix, a déclenché la colère de ses salariés, mais aussi de l'un des meneurs du mouvement, Christian Troadec, maire de la commune finistérienne. La fin programmée des deux usines, au printemps 2014, jugées moins productives que leurs homologues polonaises, devrait se traduire par 400 suppressions d'emplois.
Avec ses fermes en Norvège, en Ecosse, dans les îles Féroé, au Chili ou auCanada, Marine Harvest a affiché en 2012 un chiffre d'affaires de 15,569 milliards de couronnes norvégiennes (1,85 milliard d'euros). Il entraîne dans son sillage de nombreux concurrents norvégiens. A l'instar de son principal challenger, Leroy Seafood, mais aussi de Grieg Seafood, Norway Royal Salmon ou SalMar. L'aiguillon vient aussi des îles Féroé, avec Bakkafrost. Toutes ces sociétés sont cotées à la Bourse d'Oslo.

CE POISSON PLAÎT À TOUS
Tout en industrialisant la production de saumon, de l'écloserie à la découpe, lesentreprises ont démocratisé sa consommation en nouant des liens forts avec la grande distribution. Il semble loin, le temps où le saumon fumé était un mets privilégié, réservé aux tables de fêtes.
En France, en particulier, cet aliment s'est totalement banalisé, grâce au rayon frais. Au point que l'Hexagone est désormais le premier client des fermes d'aquaculture norvégiennes. « Le saumon est devenu le produit aquatique le plus consommé par les Français », constate Dominique Defrance, délégué filière pêche et aquaculture à FranceAgriMer, qui explique : « C'est un produit qui a été très bien conditionné. Il est coupé, standardisé, facile à cuisiner et il n'a pas d'arêtes. »
Il est aussi facilement accessible, car présent dans la plupart des enseignes alimentaires, qu'il soit sous forme de darnes, de filets, de pavés, entier. Le saumon fumé n'échappe pas au mouvement. « Les ventes de saumon fumé sont passées de 6 000 à 20 000 tonnes en vingt ans et sont moins concentrées sur la période de Noël », affirme Jacques Trottier, directeur général de Labeyrie.
Dans son étude consommateurs, FranceAgriMer le démontre. Ce poisson plaît à tous, au-delà des clivages, aux enfants comme aux adultes, aux ouvriers comme aux cadres, aux citadins comme aux campagnards. Difficile de trouver un tel consensus. « Dans nos études, quand nous demandons aux sondés par quoi ils pourraient le remplacer, ils évoquent un peu le cabillaud, mais surtout la volaille ou le porc », souligne M. Defrance.

PRODUCTION À L'ÉCHELLE INDUSTRIELLE
Et finalement, entre le poulet, le porc et le saumon, les similitudes ne manquent pas. Même si le saumon l'a fait avec un temps de retard, ces productions animales sont passées du stade artisanal à l'échelle industrielle. L'objectif : offrirune alimentation abondante à faible coût au plus grand nombre. Revers de la médaille : les problèmes sanitaires ou de pollution, causés par la concentration très forte des animaux dans un espace restreint, pèsent sur les élevages les plus intensifs.

Les principaux producteurs en milliers de tonnes de saumon, en 2013, dans le monde.

Le Chili en a fait l'amère expérience. L'« autre pays du saumon », grand pourvoyeur du marché américain, même s'il pèse deux fois moins que son grand concurrent de l'hémisphère Nord, a traversé une crise sans précédent. Les premiers symptômes sont apparus en 2007. Dans les fjords chiliens, les poissons ont commencé à être touchés par des épidémies du virus AIS (anémie infectieuse du saumon). Ce virus, fatal et contagieux, qui avait déjà infecté d'autres zones d'élevage dans le monde, a progressivement décimé les cheptels. Au point que la production, divisée par trois, a touché le fond en 2010.
Depuis, les nasses se remplissent à nouveau. Et la production devrait mêmedépasser, en 2013, son niveau d'avant-crise. Il n'empêche, les stigmates n'ont pas encore disparu dans les comptes des entreprises chiliennes. Trois des principaux acteurs de ce marché, Australis, AquaChile et Camanchaca, sont toujours dans le rouge. A l'inverse, Multiexport Foods et Invermar commencent à sortir la tête de l'eau.
« Même si c'est un marché industriel, c'est un marché très difficile. Ce sont des produits biologiques, sujets aux maladies et aux aléas météorologiques. Si les eaux sont trop froides, la croissance des poissons ralentit. A l'inverse, en période estivale, la croissance est forte et les élevages arrivent dans les limites de densité autorisée. Il faut abattre sous peine d'amende », raconte François Perrone, directeur de marché chez Fish Pool, un marché à terme spécialisé, filiale de la Bourse d'Oslo, installé à Bergen.
Les aléas de production, alors que tous les voyants de consommation sont au vert, ont tendance à faire monter les prix. Ce fut le cas pendant la crise chilienne, puis les cours se sont détendus. Mais depuis la fin 2012, la tension est très forte. Les cours du marché à terme, Fish Pool, flambent. Le saumon de 3 kg à 6 kg, qui se négociait à près de 25 couronnes norvégiennes à l'automne 2012, frôle en décembre 2013 les 50 couronnes.
Cette poussée de fièvre est liée à une moins grande disponibilité de poissons au premier semestre 2013. En particulier en Norvège, où les eaux froides et la présence de poux de mer ont ralenti les croissances. « Il y a également une augmentation de la demande en Russie et dans les pays de l'Est, avec le développement des chaînes de supermarché », ajoute M. Perrone.

LES AUTORITÉS SANITAIRES CONSEILLENT LA MODÉRATION
Cette augmentation des cours satisfait les producteurs de saumon. Le bénéfice net de Marine Harvest, en forte hausse, atteint 146 millions d'euros sur les neuf premiers mois de 2013. Mais les industriels qui ne font que transformer le poisson, comme les fabricants de saumon fumé, en pâtissent.
Un certain nombre de PME françaises se sont ainsi retrouvées étranglées. La société Delpeyrat, filiale de la coopérative Maïsadour, connue pour ses foies gras, a profité de l'occasion pour se diversifier sur le marché du saumon. Elle a d'abord repris, fin 2012, la saumonerie Saint-Ferréol à Brioude (Haute-Loire), en liquidation. Puis elle s'est emparée, en septembre 2013, de Ledun Pêcheurs d'Islande à Cany-Barville (Seine-Maritime), également en liquidation. Delpeyrat a aussi souhaité se placer sur le marché du poisson frais, dont le saumon, la truite et la crevette, en mettant la main sur deux entités du norvégien Norway Seafoods, situées à Castets (Landes) et à Boulogne-sur-Mer (Pas-de-Calais).
Delpeyrat se place ainsi en concurrence frontale avec son grand rival, Labeyrie, propriété de la coopérative Lur Berri. Ce dernier revendique la place de leader du marché français du saumon fumé, dont la valeur est estimée à 540 millions d'euros en 2012. Il en détient 25 %.
« Nous nous attendons à ce que le saumon soit encore plus cher en 2014 », pronostique Frédéric Oriol, directeur général de Delpeyrat, qui dit avoir réussi àfaire passer une augmentation de prix de 15 % à 20 % sur ces produits cette année, grâce à la marque Delpeyrat.
Est-ce l'effet prix ? La mise en cause du saumon ? Ou une combinaison des deux ? En tout cas, les ventes de saumon flanchent en France depuis quelques mois. En novembre, selon les chiffres Kantar Worldpanel, elles ont chuté de 25 % en volume par rapport au même mois de 2012 pour le frais et de 10,8 % pour le fumé. Sur les onze premiers mois de 2013, les baisses respectives sont de 19 % et 6 %.
Car les autorités sanitaires conseillent désormais la modération. En France, l'Agence nationale de sécurité sanitaire de l'alimentation (Anses) a publié son avis en juillet. « Nous recommandons de consommer du poisson deux fois par semaine et non plus “au moins” deux fois comme nous l'indiquions auparavant, dont une fois, pas plus, du poisson gras. Au-delà, les bénéfices nutritionnels, comme la prévention des risques cardiovasculaires, ne compensent pas les incertitudes sur les risques toxicologiques », affirme Jean-Luc Volatier, de la direction de l'évaluation des risques de l'Anses.
« Ce n'est pas l'aquaculture en général qui est en cause. C'est grâce à elle si le saumon sauvage existe encore. Mais le consommateur doit exiger des produits de qualité, moins gras, demander des comptes sur la manière dont les saumons sont élevés et nourris et être prêt à payer », conclut Patrick Martin, directeur du Conservatoire du saumon sauvage.

Laurence GirardJournaliste au MondeSuivre Aller sur la page de ce journaliste

Lire aussi : Pesticines, dioxines... les élevages norvégiens sur la sellette
Lire aussi : Les Suédois contraints de se tourner vers la Norvège

domingo, 3 de fevereiro de 2013

O "socialismo" empresarial da Noruega: mitos e meias verdades...

O que distingue a Noruega dos demais nórdicos é o fato de possuir uma vaca petrolífera, que está sendo muito bem ordenhada, ou seja, estocando leite para dias menos leitosos...
Cobram quase metade da renda em impostos, para oferecer educação pública gratuita de boa qualidade. Mas não são estatizados como muitos pensam no Brasil, e sim absolutamente empresarias e competitivos.
Possuem uma pequena população, estabilizada desde várias décadas, um sistema praticamente infenso à corrupção, políticos que anda de bicicleta e ganham muito pouco, e sobretudo uma população altamente educada. Não creio que sirva de modelo para o Brasil.
O "socialismo" da matéria é puramente alegórico, ou simbólico, e não tem nada do sabor marxista, ou leninista, que muitos companheiros favoreceriam. A burguesia concorda em deixar metade da renda com o Estado, mas continua burguesia...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

In Norway, Start-ups Say Ja to Socialism

By Max Chafkin
Inc.,  January 20, 2011

We venture to the very heart of the hell that is Scandinavian socialism—and find out that it’s not so bad. Pricey, yes, but a good place to start and run a company.

Wiggo Dalmo is a classic entrepreneurial type: the Working-Class Kid Made Good.
Dalmo, who is 39, with sandy blond hair and an easy smile, grew up in modest circumstances in a blue-collar town dominated by the steel industry. After graduating from high school, he apprenticed as an industrial mechanic and got a job repairing mining equipment.
He liked the challenge of the work but not the drudgery of working for someone else. "I never felt like there was a place for me as an employee," Dalmo explains as we drive past spent chemical drums and enormous mounds of scrap metal on the road that leads to his office. When he needed an inexpensive part to complete a repair, company rules required Dalmo to fill out a purchase order and wait days for approval, when he knew he could simply walk into a hardware store and buy one. He resented this on a practical level—and as an insult to his intelligence. "I wanted more responsibility at my job, more control," he says. "I wanted freedom."
In 1998, Dalmo quit his job, bought a used pickup truck, and started calling on clients as an independent contractor. By year's end, he had six employees, all mechanics, and he was making more money than he ever had. Within three years, his new company, Momek, was booking more than $1 million a year in revenue and quickly expanding into new lines of business. He built a machine shop and began manufacturing parts for oil rigs, and he started bidding on and winning contracts to staff oil drilling sites and mines throughout the country. He kept hiring, kept bidding, and when he looked around a decade later, he had a $44 million company with 150 employees.
As his company grew, Dalmo adopted the familiar habits of successful entrepreneurs. He bought a Porsche, a motorcycle, and a wardrobe of polo shirts with his corporate logo on the chest. As rock music blasts from the speakers in his office, Dalmo tells me that he is proud of the company he has created. "We tried to build a family, and we have succeeded," he says. "I have no friends outside this company."
This is exactly the kind of pride I often hear from the CEOs I have met while working at Inc., but for one important difference: Whereas most entrepreneurs in Dalmo's position develop a retching distaste for paying taxes, Dalmo doesn't mind them much. "The tax system is good—it's fair," he tells me. "What we're doing when we are paying taxes is buying a product. So the question isn't how you pay for the product; it's the quality of the product." Dalmo likes the government's services, and he believes that he is paying a fair price.
This is particularly surprising, because the prices Dalmo pays for government services are among the highest in the world. He lives and works in the small city of Mo i Rana, which is about 17 miles south of the Arctic Circle in Norway. As a Norwegian, he pays nearly 50 percent of his income to the federal government, along with a substantial additional tax that works out to roughly 1 percent of his total net worth. And that's just what he pays directly. Payroll taxes in Norway are double those in the U.S. Sales taxes, at 25 percent, are roughly triple.
Last year, Dalmo paid $102,970 in personal taxes on his income and wealth. I know this because tax returns, like most everything else in Norway, are a matter of public record. Anyone anywhere can log on to a website maintained by the government and find out what kind of scratch a fellow Norwegian taxpayer makes—be he Ole Einar Bjørndalen, the famous Norwegian biathlete, or Ole the next-door neighbor. This, Dalmo explains, has a chilling effect on any desire he might have to live even larger. "When you start buying expensive stuff, people start to talk," says Dalmo. "I have to be careful, because some of the people who are judging are my potential customers."
Welcome to Norway, where business is radically transparent, militantly egalitarian, and, of course, heavily taxed. This is socialism, the sort of thing your average American CEO has nightmares about. But not Dalmo—and not most Norwegians. "The capitalist system functions well," Dalmo says. "But I'm a socialist in my bones."
Norway, population five million, is a very small, very rich country. It is a cold country and, for half the year, a dark country. (The sun sets in late November in Mo i Rana. It doesn't rise again until the end of January.) This is a place where entire cities smell of drying fish—an odor not unlike the smell of rotting fish—and where, in the most remote parts, one must be careful to avoid polar bears. The food isn't great.
Bear strikes, darkness, and whale meat notwithstanding, Norway is also an exceedingly pleasant place to make a home. It ranked third in Gallup's latest global happiness survey. The unemployment rate, just 3.5 percent, is the lowest in Europe and one of the lowest in the world. Thanks to a generous social welfare system, poverty is almost nonexistent.
Norway is also full of entrepreneurs like Wiggo Dalmo. Rates of start-up creation here are among the highest in the developed world, and Norway has more entrepreneurs per capita than the United States, according to the latest report by the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, a Boston-based research consortium. A 2010 study released by the U.S. Small Business Administration reported a similar result: Although America remains near the top of the world in terms of entrepreneurial aspirations -- that is, the percentage of people who want to start new things—in terms of actual start-up activity, our country has fallen behind not just Norway but also Canada, Denmark, and Switzerland.
If you care about the long-term health of the American economy, this should seem strange—maybe even troubling. After all, we have been told for decades that higher taxes are without-a-doubt, no-question-about-it Bad for Business. President Obama recently bragged that his administration had passed "16 different tax cuts for America's small businesses over the last couple years. These are tax cuts that can help America—help businesses...making new investments right now."
Since the Reagan Revolution, which drastically cut tax rates for wealthy individuals and corporations, we have gotten used to hearing these sorts of announcements from our leaders. Few have dared to argue against tax cuts for businesses and business owners. Questioning whether entrepreneurs really need tax cuts has been like asking if soldiers really need weapons or whether teachers really need textbooks—a possible position, sure, but one that would likely get you laughed out of the room if you suggested it. Or thrown out of elected office.
Taxes in the U.S. have fallen dramatically over the past 30 years. In 1978, the top federal tax rates were as follows: 70 percent for individuals, 48 percent for corporations, and almost 40 percent on capital gains. Americans as a whole paid the ninth-lowest taxes among countries in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, a group of 34 of the largest democratic, market economies. Today, the top marginal tax rates are 35 percent, 35 percent, and 15 percent, respectively. (Even these rates overstate the level of taxation in America. Few large corporations pay anywhere near the 35 percent corporate tax; Warren Buffett has famously said that he pays 18 percent in income tax.) Only two countries in the OECD—Chile and Mexico—pay a lower percentage of their gross domestic product in taxes than we Americans do.
But there is precious little evidence to suggest that our low taxes have done much for entrepreneurs—or even for the economy as a whole. "It's actually quite hard to say how tax policy affects the economy," says Joel Slemrod, a University of Michigan professor who served on the Council of Economic Advisers under Ronald Reagan. Slemrod says there is no statistical evidence to prove that low taxes result in economic prosperity. Some of the most prosperous countries—for instance, Denmark, Sweden, Belgium, and, yes, Norway—also have some of the highest taxes. Norway, which in 2009 had the world's highest per-capita income, avoided the brunt of the financial crisis: From 2006 to 2009, its economy grew nearly 3 percent. The American economy grew less than one-tenth of a percent during the same period. Meanwhile, countries with some of the lowest taxes in Europe, like Ireland, Iceland, and Estonia, have suffered profoundly. The first two nearly went bankrupt; Estonia, the darling of antitax groups like the Cato Institute, currently has an unemployment rate of 16 percent. Its economy shrank 14 percent in 2009.
Moreover, the typical arguments peddled by business groups and in the editorial pages of The Wall Street Journal— the idea, for instance, that George W. Bush's tax cuts in 2001 and 2003 created economic growth—are problematic. The unemployment rate rose following the passage of both tax-cut packages, and economic growth during Bush's eight years in office badly lagged growth during the Clinton presidency, before the tax cuts were passed.
And so the case of Norway—one of the most entrepreneurial, most heavily taxed countries in the world—should give us pause. What if we have been wrong about taxes? What if tax cuts are nothing like weapons or textbooks? What if they don't matter as much as we think they do?
I'm sure I've already pissed off some people with that question—and not just the rich ones. It's hard these days to say anything positive about taxes without being accused of economic treason. President Barack Obama's health care plan and his proposal to allow certain Bush tax cuts to expire in 2012—a move that would cause the top marginal tax rate on individuals to go up by 4.6 basis points, to the rate that prevailed in the late 1990s—have caused the administration to be eviscerated by business groups and their allies. "We are essentially undoing the very thing that has made America exceptional: the free enterprise system," wrote congressional candidate (and now a Republican congressman from New York) Richard Hanna in a letter published by the National Federation of Independent Business. "We can no longer devalue the energy of the entrepreneur this way." Newt Gingrich, a presidential hopeful and the former Speaker of the House, has called Obama's presidency the first step toward "European socialism and secularism," which he has suggested is a greater threat to our country than Islamic terrorism.
The idea that Americans should be more terrified of Norwegian economists than of al Qaeda bombmakers is pretty nutty, but I couldn't help wondering: How bad would European socialism really be? What if President Obama's health care and tax policies—which so far have been modest by European standards—are just the beginning? What if his proposal to allow the income tax rate on the richest Americans to rise by several basis points is just the first step? What if, say, by some crazy backdoor dealing involving Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, and the Ghost of Ted Kennedy, liberals manage something more sweeping: taxes of 50 percent, a government-run health care system, an expansion of Social Security, and sweeping regulations on business?
In other words, instead of some American version of European socialism, what if we got the genuine article? What if the nightmare scenario were real? What if you woke up tomorrow as a CEO in a socialist country?
To answer this question, I spent two weeks in Norway, seeking out entrepreneurs in all sorts of industries and circumstances.I met fish farmers in the country's northern hinterlands and cosmopolitan techies in Oslo, the capital. I met start-up founders who were years away from having to worry about making money and then paying taxes on it, and I met established entrepreneurs who every year fork over millions of dollars to the authorities. (Norway's currency is the kroner. I have converted all figures in this article to dollars.)
The first thing I learned is that Norwegians don't think about taxes the way we do. Whereas most Americans see taxes as a burden, Norwegian entrepreneurs tend to see them as a purchase, an exchange of cash for services. "I look at it as a lifelong investment," says Davor Sutija, CEO of Thinfilm, a Norwegian start-up that is developing a low-cost version of the electronic tags retailers use to track merchandise.
Sutija has a unique perspective on this matter: He is an American who grew up in Miami and, 20 years ago, married a Norwegian woman and moved to Oslo. In 2009, as an employee of Thinfilm's former parent company, he earned about $500,000, half of which he took home and half of which went to the Kingdom of Norway. (The country's tax system is progressive, and the highest tax rates kick in at $124,000. From there, the income tax rate, including a national insurance tax, is 47.8 percent.) If he had stayed in the U.S., he would have paid at least $50,000 less in taxes, but he has no regrets. (For a detailed comparison, see "How High Is Up?") "There are no private schools in Norway," he says. "All schooling is public and free. By being in Norway and paying these taxes, I'm making an investment in my family."
For a modestly wealthy entrepreneur like Sutija, the value of living in this socialist country outweighs the cost. Every Norwegian worker gets free health insurance in a system that produces longer life expectancy and lower infant mortality rates than our own. At age 67, workers get a government pension of up to 66 percent of their working income, and everyone gets free education, from nursery school through graduate school. (Amazingly, this includes colleges outside the country. Want to send your kid to Harvard? The Norwegian government will pick up most of the tab.) Disability insurance and parental leave are also extremely generous. A new mother can take 46 weeks of maternity leave at full pay—the government, not the company, picks up the tab—or 56 weeks off at 80 percent of her normal wage. A father gets 10 weeks off at full pay.
These are benefits afforded to every Norwegian, regardless of income level. But it should be said that most Norwegians make about the same amount of money. In Norway, the typical starting salary for a worker with no college education is a very generous $45,000, while the starting salary for a Ph.D. is about $70,000 a year. (This makes certain kinds of industries, such as textile manufacturing, impossible; on the other hand, technology businesses are very cheap to run.) Between workers who do the same job at a given company, salaries vary little, if at all. At Wiggo Dalmo's company, everyone doing the same job makes the same salary.
The result is that successful companies find other ways to motivate and retain their employees. Dalmo's staff may consist mostly of mechanics and machinists, but he treats them like Google engineers. Momek employs a chef who prepares lunch for the staff every day. The company throws a blowout annual party—the tab last year was more than $100,000. Dalmo supplements the standard government health plan with a $330-per-employee-per-year private insurance plan that buys employees treatment in private hospitals if a doctor isn't immediately available in a public one. These benefits have kept turnover rates at Momek below 2 percent, compared with 7 percent in the industry.
But it takes more than perks to keep a worker motivated in Norway. In a country with low unemployment and generous unemployment benefits, a worker's threat to quit is more credible than it is in the United States, giving workers more leverage over employers. And though Norway makes it easy to lay off workers in cases of economic hardship, firing an employee for cause typically takes months, and employers generally end up paying at least three months' severance. "You have to be a much more democratic manager," says Bjørn Holte, founder and CEO of bMenu, an Oslo-based start-up that makes mobile versions of websites. Holte pays himself $125,000 a year. His lowest-paid employee makes more than $60,000. "You can't just treat them like machines," he says. "If you do, they'll be gone."
If the Norwegian system forces CEOs to be more conciliatory to their employees, it also changes the calculus of entrepreneurship for employees who hope to start their own companies. "The problem for entrepreneurship in Norway is it's so lucrative to be an employee," says Lars Kolvereid, the lead researcher for the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor in Norway. Whereas in the U.S., about one-quarter of start-ups are founded by so-called necessity entrepreneurs—that is, people who start companies because they feel they have no good alternative—in Norway, the number is only 9 percent, the third lowest in the world after Switzerland and Denmark, according to the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor.
This may help explain why entrepreneurship in Norway has thrived, even as it stagnates in the U.S. "The three things we as Americans worry about—education, retirement, and medical expenses—are things that Norwegians don't worry about," says Zoltan J. Acs, a professor at George Mason University and the chief economist for the Small Business Administration's Office of Advocacy. Acs thinks the recession in the U.S. has intensified this disparity and is part of the reason America has slipped in the past few years. When the U.S. economy is booming, the absence of guaranteed health care isn't a big concern for aspiring founders, but with unemployment near double digits, would-be entrepreneurs are more cautious. "When the middle class is shrinking, the pool of entrepreneurs is shrinking," says Acs.
The downside to Norway's security, of course, is that it is expensive. Norway has substantial oil reserves—but most of the proceeds are invested abroad in a sovereign wealth fund. Norway's generous social benefits are financed largely from taxes that fall heavily on the country's richest people. The most controversial of these taxes is a wealth tax, a 1.1 percent annual levy on the entirety of a person's holdings above about $117,000, including stock in private companies held by the owner.
In search of an opinion on how such soak-the-successful policies affect the truly successful, I visited the tiny town of Misvær, a mountain hamlet in the country's interior, 38 miles north of the Arctic Circle. To get to Misvær, I took a small plane from Oslo to Bodø, where I was met by a gorgeous twentysomething blonde in a flight suit. She was, I somehow knew instantly, the pilot for Inger Ellen Nicolaisen, the country's answer to Donald Trump and the most flamboyant character in a country that prefers its wealthy to go about their business modestly.
After a short helicopter ride over a fjord and some mountains, we touch down in a snow-covered backyard, where we are greeted by a positively feudal scene: Nicolaisen trots out from the house, a modernistic structure perched far above the rest of the town like some enormous suburban castle, followed by five dogs—two Great Danes, two toy poodles, and a bulldog. She has shoulder-length platinum blond hair and wears teal contact lenses and knee-high boots, looking entirely unlike the 52-year-old mother of three that she is. "Welcome to Miami," she yells above the roar of the helicopter.
She leads me inside, where we are attended by a pair of servants who bring us coffee, pastries, and, though it's not quite noon, champagne. Nicolaisen's husband—her second, a 39-year-old former professional soccer player— eventually shows up and immediately begins assisting the servants. Later, he shows me around the grounds on a six-wheel all-terrain vehicle. There are the grazing sheep, the three teepees equipped with heat, electricity, and full bars—Nicolaisen uses the structures for corporate retreats—and the pack of Icelandic horses. As we rumble around on the ATV, it seems clear to me that these are the sort of people who should be animated by the wealth tax—and who won't mind saying so.
But they aren't, not really. Although Nicolaisen considers herself a conservative, she told me the issue that most animates her is poverty, not taxes. "Yeah, the wealth tax is a problem," she says. "But you have to make a choice. You can live in the Cayman Islands and pay no tax. But I don't want to live in the Cayman Islands. To live in Norway, you have to do what you have to. I think it's worth it."
Nicolaisen is famous for being the host of the country's version of The Apprentice and for founding Nikita, the largest chain of hair salons in Scandinavia. Over 26 years, Nikita has expanded into a hair care conglomerate called Raise, whose concerns include a line of private-label products and 120 salons in Norway and Sweden. Nicolaisen owns the $60 million company outright. Her story, which she tells in a best-selling memoir, Drivkraft—Norwegian for driving force—is a triumph of scrappiness. Nicolaisen dropped out of high school at 14, when she became pregnant. In her late teens, she supported herself and her daughter, Linda, by hawking handmade children's clothes. In her early 20s, she moved to Bodø and got a job as the receptionist in a hair salon. She took up with the salon's owner, they eventually married, and she got hooked on the hair business.
Nicolaisen was never much of a stylist, but her entrepreneurial ambitions quickly outstripped her husband's."My first goal was five salons—that seemed like a big goal," says Nicolaisen. She would eventually divorce her husband and take over the business completely. By 2000, she had expanded to 50 salons, and she found herself at a crossroads. She was booking $21 million in revenue a year, and the company was throwing off enough cash to allow her to live well. "I had to decide: Should I relax, stop growing, and just earn a lot of money, or should I expand?" she says. "I realized I couldn't stop there, so I set the next goal at 500. Because, you know—5, 50, 500—it made sense."
I would have thought that Norway's tax system would discourage this kind of thinking, but it doesn't seem to have been a factor. When I asked her why she bothered growing, she said simply, "I'm an entrepreneur. It's in my backbone."
This was the attitude of even those entrepreneurs who strenuously objected to the Norwegian tax regimen, which I learned when I traveled to Stokmarknes and visited the region's best-known entrepreneur, Inge Berg. Berg's company, a fish-farming enterprise called Nordlaks, is a half-hour's flight north of Bodø. The cold North Atlantic waters there make for ideal spawning grounds for salmon, cod, and herring.
We hop into an inflatable skiff and, with Berg in the cockpit, motor across the fjord to one of the company's 23 fish farms. There are three floating pens, barely visible from a distance, each housing 50,000 teenage salmon jostling to catch the food pellets that are being blown over the pens from a nearby barge. When Berg started as a fish farmer, it was his job to hand-feed the fish, dumping bucket after bucket of feed over the pens.
From the farm, we take the boat back to Berg's slaughterhouse and packing facility, where the same salmon will eventually meet their demise at a breathtaking rate of one fish per second. "One of the reasons we've been successful is that we've focused exclusively on salmon and trout farming—some other companies tried to expand to the tourist industry or the cod industry," Berg says over the din of the machines. "We invest everything in improving the process." Berg proudly catalogs a number of innovations—a flash-freezing process, a robotic packing system, and a fish oil plant that ensures that no fish scrap is wasted. For now, the oil is mainly used in livestock feed, but Berg brags that he has made sure it is approved for human consumption, then proves his point by pouring me a shot of the viscous pink liquid. (It smelled and tasted awful, but to his point, I did not die.)
In 2009, Nordlaks pulled in $62 million in profits on revenue of $207 million, making Berg, the sole owner, a very rich man. Although the Norwegian wealth tax includes generous deductions that allow Berg to report a net worth of about $30 million, far less than he would net if he sold his company, his tax bill is still substantial. Even if Nordlaks made no profits, paid no dividends, and paid its owner no salary, Berg would owe the Norwegian government a third of a million dollars a year. "Every year, I have to take a dividend, just to pay the tax," he says, sounding genuinely angry.
Berg is successful enough that paying the wealth tax is no hardship—in 2009, he took a dividend of nearly $10 million—but when a company slips into the red, entrepreneurs can find themselves in trouble. "If a company grows to a large size and then has two bad years in a row, the founder may be forced to sell some stock," says Erlend Bullvåg, a business-school professor at the University of Nordland and an adviser to the Norwegian central bank. But none of the entrepreneurs I spoke with had been forced to sell stock to pay their taxes—and Bullvåg, who has interviewed dozens of entrepreneurs on behalf of the Norwegian central bank, hasn't encountered a case personally. Berg told me that he hadn't given much thought to the wealth tax; he didn't even know exactly how it was calculated. "I get so pissed sometimes," he says. "But you just have to look forward, and it passes."
The posting of tax returns online makes tax evasion nearly impossible in Norway, but it doesn't stop the very rich from fleeing the country altogether. The best-known example is John Fredriksen, a shipping tycoon worth $7.7 billion and at one time the richest Norwegian. In 2006, Fredriksen, who had kept most of his personal assets outside the country to avoid taxes, renounced his Norwegian citizenship. He became the richest man in Cyprus.
Fredriksen's past is murky—he is reputed to have been one of the only exporters willing to do business with Iran after the revolution—and he rarely gives interviews. But in 2008, he told The Wall Street Journal, "It's almost impossible to do business in Norway today." Norway's prime minister, Jens Stoltenberg, dismissed the defection as no great loss—Fredriksen hadn't paid personal taxes in Norway for decades, and his companies continue to pay taxes in the country. Even so, Fredriksen is something of a folk hero to the entrepreneurs in his former home.
"He is cool," says Jan Egil Flo, chief financial officer of Moods of Norway, a $35 million clothing company in Stryn. I visited Moods of Norway's offices on my last day in Norway and chatted with Flo and his co-founders, Simen Staalnacke and Peder Børresen. The three were able to start their company, which makes fashionable sportswear and suits, largely thanks to the beneficence of the Norwegian socialist system. In 2004, they received a $20,000 start-up grant from the Norwegian equivalent of the Small Business Administration. Staalnacke and Børresen enrolled in a local college, because doing so meant the government would cover most of their living expenses. This may be why, when I ask the three founders if they might become Cypriots anytime soon, they protest. "No, no, no," says Børresen. "We've received a lot from Norway and Norwegian society. Giving back is not a problem."
Moods of Norway operates 10 boutiques, which, in a country of five million, means the company has saturated its home market. Two years ago, it opened its first store in the U.S., a 2,500-square-foot space in Beverly Hills, and Flo is in negotiations to open stores in New York City's SoHo neighborhood and Mall of America in Minnesota. It has been more challenging than he expected. "It's much easier to do business in Norway," Flo says. "The U.S. isn't one country; it's 50 countries." Although Norway may be more heavily regulated than America, the regulations are uniform across the country and are less apt to change drastically when the political winds blow.
In addition to regulatory stability, Flo pointed to a number of other advantages his company enjoys in Norway. Although personal taxes on entrepreneurs are high, the tax rate on corporate profits is low—28 percent, compared with an average of about 40 percent in combined federal and state taxes in the U.S. A less generous depreciation schedule and higher payroll taxes in Norway more than make up for that difference—Norwegian companies pay 14.1 percent of the entirety of an employee's salary, compared with 7.65 percent of the first $106,800 in the U.S.—but that money pays for benefits such as health care and retirement plans. "There's no big difference in cost," Flo says. In fact, his company makes more money, after taxes, on items sold in Norway than it does on those sold in its California shop.
Flo is pushing his business into America for reasons that have nothing to do with our tax structure. He wants Moods of Norway to be here because America is the largest, most influential market in the world. "There are more Norwegians in the Minneapolis area than in Norway," Flo says excitedly. "If you can get known in America, then the whole world knows you."
I heard this sort of sentiment from lots of the entrepreneurs I spoke with in Norway. They talked about the ambition and aggressiveness of American culture, which can't help breeding success. The younger entrepreneurs yearned for our tradition of mentoring, whereby seasoned entrepreneurs help nascent ones, with money or advice or both.
The more time I spent with Norwegian entrepreneurs, the more I became convinced that the things that make the United States a great country for entrepreneurs have little to do with the fact that we enjoy relatively low taxes. Kenneth Winther, the founder of the Oslo management consultancy MoonWalk, regaled me for hours about the virtues of Norway—security, good roads, good schools. But at the end of our interview, he confessed that he had been hedging his bets: He intended to apply to the American green-card lottery in January. "Why not try?" he said with a shrug.
I also became convinced of this truth, which I have observed in the smartest American and the smartest Norwegian entrepreneurs: It's not about the money. Entrepreneurs are not hedge fund managers, and they rarely operate like coldly rational economic entities. This theme runs through books like Bo Burlingham's Small Giants, about company owners who choose not to maximize profits and instead seek to make their companies great; and it can be found in the countless stories, many of them told in this magazine, of founders who leave money on the table in favor of things they judge to be more important.
At one point, I asked Wiggo Dalmo why he was still working so hard to expand his company: Why not just have a nice life—especially given that the authorities would take a hefty chunk of whatever additional money he made? "For me personally, building something to change the world is the kick," he says. "The worst thing to me is people who chose the easiest path. We should use our wonderful years to do something on this earth."
When I got back to the United States, I had a beer with Bjørn Holte, the CEO of bMenu, whom I'd first met in Oslo. It was early November—days after the congressional elections—and Holte had just arrived in New York City, where he is opening a new office. We talked about the commercial real estate market, the amazing cultural diversity in a city that has twice as many people as his entire country, and the current debate in the United States about the role of government. Holte was fascinated by this last topic, particularly the angry opposition to President Obama's health care reform package. "It makes me laugh," he says. "Americans don't understand that you can't have a functioning economy if people aren't healthy."
Holte's American subsidiary pays annual health care premiums that make his head spin—more than $23,000 per employee for a family plan—and that make the cost of employing a software developer in the United States substantially higher than it is in Norway, even after taxes. (For a full breakdown, see "Making Payroll.") Holte is no pinko—he finds many aspects of Norwegian socialism problematic, particularly regulations about hiring and firing—but when he looks at the costs and benefits of taxes in each country, he sees no contest. Norway is worth the cost.
Of course, that's only half the question when it comes to taxes. The other, more divisive question is, What is fair? Is it right to make rich people pay more than poor people? Would paying a greater percentage of our income for more government services make us less free? "I'd rather be in the U.S., where you can enjoy the fruit of your labor, rather than a country like Norway, where your hard work is confiscated by the government," says Curtis Dubay, senior tax policy analyst at the Heritage Foundation, a Washington, D.C., think tank that advocates for lower taxes.
These are important moral issues, but, in America, they are often the only ones we are willing to consider. We have, as Holte suggests, become religious about economic policy. We are unable or unwilling to make the kind of cool-headed calculations about costs and benefits that I saw in Norway. "There's a disconnect in the way people think about paying taxes and funding public services that's worse here than in any other country," says Donald Bruce, a tax economist at the University of Tennessee. "We refuse to believe that taxes can be used for anything productive. But then we say, 'Stay out of my Social Security. And my Medicare. And don't cut defense or national parks.' "
Our collective inability to have a rational conversation about taxes will have consequences. In 2010, the American budget deficit hit $1.3 trillion, or 10 percent of GDP. By 2035, the deficit could be close to 16 percent of GDP, according to the report issued late last year by the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform. That report prescribed dramatic spending cuts and tax increases. But just weeks after it was released, President Obama and congressional Republicans unveiled a new package of tax cuts, which will add an extra $800 billion to the deficit over two years.
Obama has said he hopes to allow these cuts to expire in 2012 and for income tax rates to revert to levels of the 1990s, and that is only one of many revenue-generation ideas kicking around in policy circles. There are also proposals for a tax on millionaires, a national sales tax, and even a dreaded, Norwegian-style wealth tax.
When lawmakers inevitably take up these issues, it's a sure thing that those who oppose raising revenue through tax hikes will make the argument that higher taxes will hurt entrepreneurs. They will make it sound as if even a modest tax increase would represent a death knell for American business. But the case of Norway suggests that Americans should view these arguments with skepticism—and that American entrepreneurs could stand to be less dogmatic about the role of government in society.
This isn't to say that entrepreneurs don't have a right to get angry about taxes—or to fight tax increases in the same way they might fight any price increase by a supplier. It is to say only that, despite what you hear from Washington politicians and activist groups, the tax rate is probably far from the most important issue facing your business. Entrepreneurs can thrive under almost any regime, even the scourge of European socialism. "Taxes matter, but their effect is small in magnitude," says Bruce. "In the end, decisions entrepreneurs make are about more important things: Is there a market for what you're making? Are you doing something relevant for the economy? If the answer is no, then taxes don't matter much."
Max Chafkin is Inc.'s senior writer.

quinta-feira, 6 de dezembro de 2012

Mercado Comum da Criminalidade?: Noruega sai da Venezuela...


Norway closes diplomatic mission in Venezuela, citing rampant violent crime

CARACAS, Venezuela — Norway will close its embassy in Venezuela because of rampant crime in the South American country and move the diplomatic mission to neighboring Colombia, its ambassador said Wednesday.
Norwegian ambassador Lars Vaagen said the decision to move the embassy to Bogota next year was made after analyzing the problem of widespread violent crime in Venezuela.
“We see the security situation as increasingly difficult,” Vaagen said in a telephone interview.
Norway’s embassy in Caracas has been operating for almost 45 years.
In polls, Venezuelans consistently rate violent crime as their top concern.
The government of President Hugo Chavez estimates that more than 14,000 people were killed in Venezuela last year. That gave the country a homicide rate of 50 per 100,000 people and made it one of the most violent countries in Latin America and the world.
Kidnappings for ransom have grown rapidly over the past decade, with abductions reported to police rising from 52 in 1998, when Chavez was first elected, to 618 in 2009. Security experts say the real number of kidnappings is much higher because most cases aren’t reported to authorities.
Over the last year, diplomats from Mexico and Chile were kidnapped, and all were eventually freed after ordeals lasting from two hours to more than a day. The abductions of diplomats influenced Norway’s decision to move its embassy, Vaagen said. Thieves have also broken into several diplomatic missions in recent years.
Experts say violent crime has increased in Venezuela due to easy, cheap access to guns, a culture of violence among young men in the slums, and severe shortages of police officers and prosecutors.

Copyright 2012 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

quinta-feira, 28 de abril de 2011

Brasil: colonia da China?

Quem pergunta não sou eu.
Quem afirma é o presidente da ABIMAQ...
Nem a Noruega pode ser classificada de exportadora de petroleo rica. Ela já era rica antes de descobrir petróleo no Mar do Norte, e ficar um pouco mais rica. Mas não é isso que a faz rica.
Muito pelo contrário. É a educação de seu povo...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

BRASIL VIRA COLÔNIA DA CHINA, DIZ PRESIDENTE DA ABIMAQ
O Estado de S.Paulo, 28/4/11

O presidente da Associação Brasileira da Indústria de Máquinas e Equipamentos (Abimaq), Luiz Aubert Neto, disse hoje, durante entrevista coletiva para apresentação dos números do setor em março, que "o Brasil está virando uma colônia da China". Ele fez o comentário ao analisar a divisão da balança comercial da indústria de bens de capital por destinos de exportações e importações.
O principal destino das máquinas brasileiras foram os Estados Unidos, que no primeiro trimestre compraram o equivalente a US$ 411,44 milhões, crescimento de 47,12% sobre os US$ 279,67 milhões apurados em igual período do ano passado. Seguem os Estados Unidos a Argentina, a Holanda, o México e a Alemanha, nesta ordem.
No que se refere a importações, os Estados Unidos foram o país de quem o Brasil mais comprou máquinas. O crescimento das importações foi de 30,05% no primeiro trimestre de 2011 em relação ao mesmo período do ano passado - elas passaram de US$ 1,295 bilhão para US$ 1,684 bilhão. Mas a China ficou em segundo lugar, com US$ 965,92 milhões, valor que representou crescimento 53,51% sobre os US$ 629,23 milhões dos três primeiros meses do ano passado.
Para Aubert Neto, isso é fruto da política de juros e câmbio praticada pelo governo federal. "Não é a indústria que não tem competitividade, é o Brasil", disse, acrescentando que um setor que consegue exportar para países de Primeiro Mundo não pode ser considerado pouco competitivo. Ele defendeu a redução da taxa básica de juros como forma de resolver os problemas enfrentados pela economia brasileira.
Segundo Aubert Neto, com exceção da Noruega, não existe nenhum país exportador de commodities rico. "Me fale um, tirando a Noruega, que é um país exportador de petróleo rico", desafiou. Ele acrescentou que, por outro lado, fica difícil apontar um país exportador de máquinas e equipamentos que seja pobre. "Enquanto tivermos esse câmbio sobrevalorizado, ficará difícil competir com a China."
O presidente da Abimaq também atribuiu a queda do Nível de Utilização da Capacidade Instalada (Nuci) do setor de máquinas e equipamentos à valorização do real. Ele fez um contraponto entre a queda do Nuci e o crescimento do número de empregados do setor. O Nuci do setor fechou em 80,5% em março, ante 82,3% no mesmo mês do ano passado. O número de empregados, por sua vez, cresceu 0,4% em março comparativamente a fevereiro, para 256.402 trabalhadores.
"Estamos contratando gente não mais para produzir, mas para montar máquinas importadas da China", disse Aubert Neto, salientando que a indústria nacional não precisa mais nem traduzir os manuais que acompanham as máquinas chinesas, pois eles já vêm em português.