O que é este blog?

Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida;

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Mostrando postagens com marcador book. Mostrar todas as postagens
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domingo, 26 de junho de 2022

The Evolution of Civilizations: An Introduction to Historical Analysis, by Carrol Quigley

Li este livro quando ainda era adolescente, e me lembro muito bem de qual biblioteca que eu frequentava que o retirei: da União Cultural Brasil-Estados Unidos, próximo à Avenida Nove de Julho e pouco abaixo de seu túnel, em São Paulo, SP, aí pelos idos de 1967 ou 1968.

The Evolution of Civilizations: An Introduction to Historical Analysis 

2nd Edition

Carroll Quigley was a legendary teacher at the Georgetown School of Foreign Service. His course on the history of civilization was extraordinary in its scope and in its impact on students.

Like the course, The Evolution of Civilizations is a comprehensive and perceptive look at the factors behind the rise and fall of civilizations. Quigley examines the application of scientific method to the social sciences, then establishes his historical hypotheses. He poses a division of culture into six levels from the abstract to the more concrete. He then tests those hypotheses by a detailed analysis of five major civilizations: the Mesopotamian, the Canaanite, the Minoan, the classical, and the Western.

Quigley defines a civilization as “a producing society with an instrument of expansion.” A civilization’s decline is not inevitable but occurs when its instrument of expansion is transformed into an institution—that is, when social arrangements that meet real social needs are transformed into social institutions serving their own purposes regardless of real social needs. 

Reviews: 

Reviewed in the United States on December 9, 2018

The "seven ages of man" here become the seven stages of the evolution of civilisations. Quigley's method is analytical (analysis = "breaking up"), in that it parcels up the continuum of historical evolution beyond the usual stages of "rise" and "decline and fall" (Gibbon), but not "scientific," certainly not by the definition of "scientific" he himself proposes (cf. p.33): if the "scientific" method involves gathering of "all the relevant evidence," he fails to do so, analysing as he does only a fairly limited subset of all the "civilisations" he himself lists (a list that itself surely only comprises a subset of civilisations that have actually existed). Rather than being "scientific," his approach is rationalist, which, it so happens, is precisely that metaphysics which he evidently despises most (cf. pp. 38, 337). For a budding philosopher of history, he gets his philosophy awfully wrong. His curious definition of the Russian "civilisation" as separate from the "Western" is perhaps excusable by Quigley's personal historical context (the book was first published in 1961), although it must be said that the mark of a historian must be, inter alia, that he can lift his head above his immediate context. More generally Quigley's grasp of history is probably nearly as limited as that of philosophy (he reduces, for example, the Napoleonic Wars to a conflict between France and Britain--never mind what those poor underrated Germans, Russians, Italians, Spanish, Poles, Dutch and countless other peoples may think of it, on whose lands those wars took place, fought by their peoples). Having said that, the one chapter in his book I found eminently readable is the one in which Quigley puts his "scientific" method aside and simply retells history, in a grand sweep, no doubt, but in a way that makes interesting connections: Chapter 6, "The Matrix of Early Civilisations," which in some ways anticipates Jared Diamond's on the whole more intriguing analysis. One "star" for making an honest attempt, and a second "star" for Chapter 6.

Reviewed in the United States on September 30, 2012

Let me repeat a short part from the Conclusion of the book: "To know is not too demanding: it merely requires memory and time. But to understand is quite a different matter: it requires intellectual ability and training, a self-conscious awareness of what one is doing, experience in techniques of analysis and synthesis, and above all, perspective." I'm not a professional historian but I can see that Quigley had put a very honest intellectual effort in order help bring a perspective to the readers who want to understand the history of civilizations. He puts his framework into test by trying to explain the major phases of many civilizations and he seems to have achieved a consistent set of explanations. Moreover, he does this without being dry, the whole book is an exciting read and feels like listening to a good professor who seems to have a deep understanding and knowledge of his subject matter. Nevertheless, there are still many open questions regarding the evolution of civilizations, such as: is it really possible to explain and predict many events by focusing on weapons technology? Why the difference between civilizations between different times, etc?

The book has other drawbacks, especially the explanations about linguistics, but I think they can be tolerated, after all it was written about 50 years ago. We have learned a lot since then but it's a pity that we do not see more people like Quigley; people who can write really good books on big topics without being drown in details, and people who can defend a strong framework for analyzing grand structures throughout long periods of time.
Reviewed in the United States on May 6, 2008
I am a professional historian and one-time student of Carroll Quigley. Rereading "The Evolution of Civilizations" after 40 years, I heard his voice speaking across time and felt once again the uncanny penetration of his analytical mind. I suppose that he was the most remarkable person I have ever met.
This book makes a major contribution to the study of civilizations, previously the preserve of writers of a literary or philosophical bent. Quigley was through and through a scientist who strove to analyze the rise and fall of civilizations and develop explanations of their dynamics that went well beyond the descriptive treatments of Toynbee and others.
Quigley's seven stages of the rise and fall of civilizations, his six dimensions of analysis (military, political, economic, social, religious, and intellectual), and his application of the concept of institutionalization of once-productive "instruments" of society to explaining the stages of Expansion and Conflict are superior to any competing framework of analysis I have encountered. They deserve careful scrutiny for what they can tell us about the interaction of civilizations in our globalizing world.
I found especially interesting Quigley's analysis of how climate change shaped prehistorical population movements, his discussion of the philosophical struggles of classical antiquity, and his explanation of the economic factors driving European expansion and conflict.
That this book has never received much attention from professional historians should not surprise us. Quigley was operating in a mode that led him to diverge from the mainstream and to upset more than a few specialists.
While this book certainly contains high value for students of world history, its teachings can be applied in other fields as well. I have found the analytical techniques and the explanation of science and epistemology in this book repeatedly fruitful in my own historical, scientific, and criminal detective work.
For more on Quigley, try a Google or Yahoo search under "Carroll Quigley: Theorist of Civilizations".

quarta-feira, 8 de junho de 2022

Em que direção a Ásia se move, e qual o seu impacto global?: Parag Khanna (Cebri Online)

 Em que direção a Ásia se move, e qual o seu impacto global?

segunda-feira, 9 de maio de 2022

New Book: Capitalism: The Story behind the Word, by Michael Sonenscher (só em setembro!)

Terrível gerúndio: mas vou estar aguardando ansiosamente...

A China "comunista", por outro lado, é muito mais capitalista do que o Brasil.

 


Capitalism: The Story behind the Word 

September 20, 2022

segunda-feira, 2 de maio de 2022

Teorias desenvolvimentistas da CEPAL, em novo livro de Margarita Fajardo: The World That Latin America Created (2022)

Margarita Fajardo: 

The World That Latin America Created: The United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America in the Development Era

Harvard University Press 2022

The World That Latin America Created: The United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America in the Development Era presenta un relato que explica cómo un grupo de intelectuales y políticos transformó la economía del desarrollo y le dio a América Latina una nueva posición en el mundo. Después de que la Segunda Guerra Mundial demoliera el viejo orden, un grupo de economistas y legisladores de toda América Latina imaginaron una nueva economía global y lanzaron un movimiento intelectual que eventualmente conquistaría el mundo. 

Con base en la hipótesis de que los sistemas de comercio y finanzas internacionales estaban frustrando las perspectivas económicas de América Latina y otras regiones del mundo, a través de la Comisión Económica para América Latina de las Naciones Unidas (CEPAL, las siglas en español y portugués) los cepalinos desafiaron las ortodoxias de la teoría y la política del desarrollo para poner una alternativa basada en la teoría del centro y la periferia. Eventualmente, los cepalinos establecieron su propia forma de hegemonía, superando a Estados Unidos y al Fondo Monetario Internacional como entidades que marcaron la agenda de una región tradicionalmente mantenida bajo la órbita de Washington y sus instituciones en la era del desarrollo. Al hacerlo, los cepalinos reformaron la gobernanza regional e internacional y establecieron una agenda intelectual que todavía resuena hoy.

A partir de la revisión de fuentes inexploradas de las Américas y Europa, Margarita Fajardo vuelve a contar la historia de la teoría de la dependencia, revelando la diversidad de un movimiento a menudo demasiado simplificado y la tensa relación entre los cepalinos, sus críticos dependentistas y la izquierda regional y global. En este sentido, The World That Latin America Created es una historia de las instituciones, los personajes y la ideas latinoamericanas que tuvieron un impacto real en la gobernanza de la economía regional y global.

Margarita Fajardo es historiadora egresada de la Universidad de los Andes y doctora por la Universidad de Princeton. En los últimos años, ha recibido becas del Centro de Historia de la Economía Política de la Universidad de Duke. Su trabajo ha sido publicado en Latin American Research Review y en una serie de volúmenes editados sobre el desarrollismo en América Latina, las ciencias sociales de la Guerra Fría y las ciencias sociales globales. Está interesada en la historia del capitalismo latinoamericano y global, así como en la historia y la economía política de las ideas y de la ciencia.

Twitter: @mmfajardoh

NewbooksNetwork, abr. 29, 2022

 

sábado, 12 de março de 2022

Economic Weapon: The Rise of Sanctions as a Tool of Modern War - Nicholas Mulder (Yale)

 Já que se fala em sanções econômicas, melhor consultar um especialista. Não, ainda não comprei, vou tentar ler uma amostra no Kindle e depois decidir se vale a pena comprar ou não.



Economic Weapon: The Rise of Sanctions as a Tool of Modern War

Nicholas Mulder

(New Haven: Yale University Press, 2022)

The first international history of the emergence of economic sanctions during the interwar period and the legacy of this development.
 
“Valuable . . . offers many lessons for Western policy makers today.”—Paul Kennedy, Wall Street Journal
 
"The lessons are sobering.”—The Economist

 
“Original and persuasive. . . . For those who see economic sanctions as a relatively mild way of expressing displeasure at a country’s behavior, this book . . . will come as something of a revelation.”—Lawrence D. Freedman, Foreign Affairs 

Book: 
Economic sanctions dominate the landscape of world politics today. First developed in the early twentieth century as a way of exploiting the flows of globalization to defend liberal internationalism, their appeal is that they function as an alternative to war. This view, however, ignores the dark paradox at their core: designed to prevent war, economic sanctions are modeled on devastating techniques of warfare.  
 
Tracing the use of economic sanctions from the blockades of World War I to the policing of colonial empires and the interwar confrontation with fascism, Nicholas Mulder uses extensive archival research in a political, economic, legal, and military history that reveals how a coercive wartime tool was adopted as an instrument of peacekeeping by the League of Nations. This timely study casts an overdue light on why sanctions are widely considered a form of war, and why their unintended consequences are so tremendous.

Nicholas Mulder is an assistant professor of modern European history at Cornell University and regular contributor to Foreign Policy and The Nation.

ISBN: 9780300259360
Publication Date: January 25, 2022
448 pages, 6 1/8 x 9 1/4
15 b/w illus.




quinta-feira, 17 de fevereiro de 2022

Rewiring Globalization: Sinan Ülgen (ed.), book (Carnegie)

 Rewiring Globalization

Sinan Ülgen (ed.)

Washington, DC: Carnegie Endownment, 2022



Unfettered globalization has heightened inequality and undermined the social contract, imperiling democratic traditions around the world.
Moving forward, globalization must mitigate these negative effects—without compromising its growth-enhancing dynamics—and pay particular attention to policies impacting trade, data and technology, finance, tax, and climate change.
Most importantly, rewiring globalization will require more open, inclusive governance that enables different regional perspectives on key policy areas to anchor the reform agenda.

TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction
Sinan Ülgen
From the Local to the Global: The Politics of Globalization
Sinan Ülgen and Ceylan Inan
The United States: A Cautious Return to Internationalism
Rozlyn C. Engel and Tobin Hansen
The European Union’s Competitive Globalism
Richard Youngs and Sinan Ülgen
Latin America and the Caribbean: Continued Engagement Despite a Deglobalizing Turn
Francisco Urdinez
India: Testing Out New Policies on Globalization
Suyash Rai and Anirudh Burman
Russia: Looking for Prominence in the Global System
Dmitri Trenin
Africa: Aspiring to Greater Global Agency
Elizabeth Sidiropoulos
China: Between Domestic Priorities and Global Rulemaking
Minghao Zhao, Zhao Wenxiang, Ding Yifan, Lyu Jinghua, Wei He, and Jodi-Ann Wang
The Limits of Convergence and the Road Ahead
Sinan Ülgen
ABOUT THE EDITOR
Sinan Ülgen is a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe in Brussels, where his research focuses on Turkish foreign policy, nuclear policy, cyberpolicy, and transatlantic relations.

Avaliable:

https://carnegieendowment.org/files/RewiringGlobalization_final_Revised1.pdf


terça-feira, 30 de novembro de 2021

Brazil in the Global Nuclear Order, 1945-2018, a book by Carlo Patti

 Um dos maiores conhecedores, senão o maior, da questão no Brasil atual:

Brazil in the Global Nuclear Order, 1945-2018 

terça-feira, 5 de outubro de 2021

Shutdown: How Covid Shook the World's Economy, by Adam Tooze - new book, preview

 Shutdown: How Covid Shook the World's Economy

Shutdown: How Covid Shook the World's Economy, by Adam Tooze

'A complex story, which Tooze tells with clarity and verve... The world is unlikely to be treated to a better account of the economics of the pandemic' The Times

'A seriously impressive book, both endlessly quotable and rigorously analytical' Oliver Bullough, The Guardian

From the author of Crashed comes a gripping short history of how Covid-19 ravaged the global economy, and where it leaves us now

Preview: https://libro.eb20.net/Reader/load.aspx?b=210029359&h=af4c34e93b1a41f192746ae363c5928e

When the news first began to trickle out of China about a new virus in December 2019, risk-averse financial markets were alert to its potential for disruption. Yet they could never have predicted the total economic collapse that would follow in COVID-19's wake, as stock markets fell faster and harder than at any time since 1929, currencies across the world plunged, investors panicked, and even gold was sold. 

In a matter of weeks, the world's economy was brought to an abrupt halt by governments trying to contain a spiralling public health catastrophe. Flights were grounded; supply chains broken; industries from tourism to oil to hospitality collapsed overnight, leaving hundreds of millions of people unemployed. Central banks responded with unprecedented interventions, just to keep their economies on life-support. For the first time since the second world war, the entire global economic system contracted. 

This book tells the story of that shutdown. We do not yet know how this story ends, or what new world we will find on the other side. In this fast-paced, compelling and at times shocking analysis, Adam Tooze surveys the wreckage, and looks at where we might be headed next.

  • Penguin Books Ltd; September 2021
  • ISBN: 9780141995458
  • Title: Shutdown
  • Author: Adam Tooze
  • Imprint: Penguin
  • Language: English

In The Press

A complex story, which Tooze tells with clarity and verve... The world is unlikely to be treated to a better account of the economics of the pandemic.


About The Author

Adam Tooze is the author of the highly praised CrashedThe Deluge and The Wages of Destruction, all published by Allen Lane. He has been the recipient of the Wolfson Prize for History, the Longman-History Today Book of the Year Prize and the Lionel Gelber Prize. Tooze has taught at Cambridge and Yale and is now Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Professor of History at Columbia University.


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ISBNs

  • 9780241485873
  • 9780141995458

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