O Brasil como candidato a grande potencia? - Miguel Diaz e Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Em 2008 participei de um exercício intelectual convocado pela Stanley Foundation sobre os países emergentes, e acabei escrevendo um texto junto com um ex-especialista em assuntos latino-americanos do CSIS (Center for Strategic and International Studies, de Washington), cujo resultado acabei redescobrindo agora na internet, um pouco por acaso.
Devo dizer que não concordo com tudo o que figura no papel, e isso significa que não concordo com muita coisa, muita mesmo, mas esse é o preço de ter de fazer um paper já em colaboração, como estabelecido pela Fundação. Se eu tivesse escrito sozinho, o paper provavelmente seria bem mais crítico da situação do Brasil e bem menos otimista quanto às chances de ascensão ao primeiro time.
Conhecendo os companheiros, eu sabia (no começo de 2008), que eles meteriam os pés pelas mãos.
Alguma surpresa nisso?
Informo aqui o link, para os possíveis interssados:

Brazil’s Candidacy for Major Power Status
Miguel Diaz and Paulo Roberto Almeida
With a reaction by Georges Landau

O link para acesso é este: http://www.stanleyfoundation.org/powersandprinciples/BrazilCandidacyMPStatus.pdf

2064) O Brasil conciliador com o Iran, na visao de um americano

Interessante que no caso de Honduras, um país sem a importância do Irã, o Brasil foi tudo menos conciliador...

think.
Brazil and Its Global Agenda
Stanley Foundation, April 2010

(Editor’s Note: Stanley Foundation program officer David Shorr recently visited Brazil where he held a series of conversations with members of Brazil’s foreign policy community. This article is a summary of his perspectives on Brazil’s role in the world.)

In mid-March, Brazilian President Luiz Ignacio Lula da Silva visited the Middle East on a five-day swing through Israel, Jordan, and the Palestinian Authority. The trip aptly symbolized the growing influence of a country whose recent rise in global stature is exceeded only by China and India. Behind the symbolism, of course, was the famously charismatic leader’s effort to exert Brazil’s diplomatic influence on some of the world’s most sensitive and prominent challenges—Middle East peace and the Iranian nuclear program. That effort has, in turn, prompted a nascent debate over Brazil’s global political role.

In interviews prior to his visit, Lula professed his strong belief in the power of dialogue to resolve conflicts such as the Israeli-Palestinian clash as well as the peacemaking contribution Brazil can make, given its generally amicable relations with most other nations. Beyond the question of whether, as President Lula claims, a new set of interlocutors can be more successful in bringing Middle East peace, there’s the matter of how much diplomatic heavy lifting Brazil can or should handle.

Recent global shifts have not only boosted the influence of emergent powers like China and Brazil, they have also brought an agenda of challenges (climate change, nonproliferation, economic development) that are harder to solve—that will require more than just a few decisions by a few key powers. This seems to argue for an all-hands-on-deck approach to international cooperation and leadership. Not just for Brazil, but any influential nation that can help with the lifting.

To say that Brazil should be an international leader—beyond its inevitable role in the Western Hemispheric region—leaves room for debate regarding whether and how it could do so. The dilemmas of the Iran case are already serving as somewhat of a test. President Lula has cultivated good relations with Iranian leader Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, just as international pressure is mounting for Iran to give added transparency and reassurance that its nuclear program is civilian. This certainly fits with the strategy of being “friend to all.” Yet it also begs the question of whether conciliation rather than pressure in response to another nation’s actions is always the best path to peace.

—David Shorr

2057) Nuclear Security - Stanley Foundation

Next Generation Nuclear Security
Stanley Foundation
Available on Monday, April 12

Watch the live Webcast

The Fissile Materials Working Group (FMWG), of which the Stanley Foundation is a member, is offering a live Webcast of its event Next Generation Nuclear Security: Meeting the Global Challenge on Monday, April 12. The broadcast will begin at 8:45 a.m. (EST). Edited, archived video of the event will also be posted 24 hours after its conclusion.

Additionally, the FMWG has a number of valuable resources available in advance of the unprecedented, heads of state Nuclear Security Summit taking place in Washington, DC, on April 12-13.

• A C-SPAN broadcast of a pre-summit press briefing by four members of the FMWG.
• A congressional briefing by Kenneth Luongo, president of Partnership for Global Security, on funding the objective of securing all vulnerable nuclear materials in four years.
• A congressional briefing by Matthew Bunn, associate professor at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government, on securing nuclear stockpiles in four years.
• “Making the Nuclear Security Summit Matter: An Agenda for Action”—an article by Kenneth Luongo.
• The FMWG’s letter to Congress regarding adequate nuclear security funding in FY2011.
• A new FMWG column in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
• The FMWG’s three-part blog series on Nuclear Security Summit issues on the Partnership for a Secure America’s “Across the Aisle” blog.
• Radioactive Challenge, an original video report by the Stanley Foundation about the challenge of securing fissile materials worldwide.

More information is available at www.fmwg.org.

About The Stanley Foundation
The Stanley Foundation seeks a secure peace with freedom and justice, built on world citizenship and effective global governance. It brings fresh voices, original ideas, and lasting solutions to debates on global and regional problems. The foundation is a nonpartisan, private operating foundation, located in Muscatine, Iowa, that focuses on peace and security issues and advocates principled multilateralism. The foundation frequently collaborates with other organizations. It does not make grants. Online at www.stanleyfoundation.org.