Talvez estejamos vendo, lendo, teclando os últimos dias do X. Um grande sentimento de perda, depois de alivio com o seu desaparecimento. Vamos ler, dormir, fazer coisas melhores. Alguns vão berrar desesperados. Depois passa. Bom Threads a todos.
A verfadeira perda já tinha sido na horrível transição do simpático Twitter para o desastrado X.
Bom sono, bons sonhos a todos.
Tchau! Bye!
O governo Lula, sua diplomacia, é capaz de produzir uma nota absolutamente irretocável sobre o sofrimento inaceitável do povo palestino submetido à massacrante violência das forças de Israel, mas não consegue emitir uma misera nota sobre osbomrdeio se Putin contra os civis ucranianos. Ou quando emite, não existe responsável, as bombas vieram do nada, e Putin não tem nada a cer vom o massacre.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida
De Lula Oficial (X)
15/07/2024
O governo de Israel segue sabotando o processo de paz e o cessar-fogo no Oriente Médio. O mais recente bombardeio promovido na Faixa de Gaza vitimando centenas de inocentes é inadmissível. Agora com mais de 90 vítimas fatais e quase 300 feridos em tendas que abrigavam crianças, idosos, mulheres.
É estarrecedor que continuem punindo coletivamente o povo palestino. Já são dezenas de milhares de mortos em seguidos ataques desde o ano passado, muitos deles em zonas humanitárias delimitadas que deveriam ser protegidas.
Nós, líderes políticos do mundo democrático, não podemos nos calar diante desse massacre interminável.
O cessar-fogo e a paz na região precisam ser prioridades na agenda internacional. Todos os nossos esforços devem estar centrados na garantia da libertação dos reféns israelenses e no fim dos ataques à Faixa de Gaza.
Canadian Kobzar
Russians killed, wounded in Ukraine
k soldiers (KIA or WIA), 2k tanks and vehicles, 300 aircraft, and 11 ships. This is literally the entire invasion force (and more) sent into Ukraine back in 2022. GONE. Which in itself is insane.
While Ukraine certainly has its losses, it is not nearly as comparable to russia's. But even it if it was, what is really critical here - and the reason why russia is unequivocally losing, notwithstanding any uninhabited farmers fields it temporarily occupies - russia's reserves are not unlimited and it cannot replace its losses at the same rate it is losing. These losses are not only problematic in quantity, but in quality.
russia has about 12,000 tanks in reserve. Which means they have about 10,000 to go, but these tanks are ancient. This is why you are seeing cold war era (1950's-1970's) being rolled out. They have dated optics, require more men, are not as effective, and do not stand up to modern equipment. russia does not have the resources to rebuild or replace these tanks. But even worse, Ukraine has demonstrated with FPVs, russian tanks are largely redundant. Dont even get me started on the russian navy or airforce which is in even worse condition.
While russia is making head way on the FPV drones, they are still behind Ukraine in terms of tactics, manufacturing and defence of drones (for now).
But lets look at manpower. Everyone keeps talking about new mobilizations in russia, but the reality is that this is not a bottomless pit, and more critically you have a problem with inflow.
Pre-war russia had about 8 million men in their 20's to draft. Now, 600k are dead, and another 1 million have fled russia. That leaves you with 6 million (in only two years!)
Its also not a problem of just quantity, but quality. A few weeks ago, the 76th Pskov paratroopers were decimated by Ukrainian attacks. These are considered the elite of the russian army. They were equipped with the best equipment russia has. Losses like this cannot be replaced with fresh conscripts. This takes decades to get to this level of quality.
But here is the thing that people often overlook - russian mobilization isn't to capitalize on massive gains, its quite literally just to sustain the frontline. Despite Ukraine quite literally running out of ammunition, russia has not made any material gains on the front line. russia has become entirely dependent on through put just to fight the war. If they don't deploy on the front, thats game over russia loses. Ironically, the more they push forward, the more they lose.
The fact that russia is deploying Indian, Nepali, Syrian, African and Asian troops is telling of how dire the situation really is.
If death rate remained the same as in 2022, russia would be able to keep up this war for another 5-6 years. HOWEVER, even during the period where Ukraine was not supplied with US aid, russian casualties have steadily INCREASED. With new aid, longer ranged weapons and F-16s... well we can start seeing a dimmer picture for russia.
Again, to reiterate this is why russia was so dead set on killing the foreign aid bill and why much if its strategy has been on trying to stop aid.
Now remember, this is the total mobilization force. So in 5-6 years time this isn't just about mobilization against Ukraine, this is mobilization capabilities for ANY WAR GOING FORWARD. russia quite literally is demilitarizing itself.
This is why I do not think you will see counter-offensives like last summer from Ukraine again. russia is happy to continue throwing meat waves to Ukraine. The further russia expands, the more vulnerable its supply lines become - as General Barrow once said "amateurs talk about tactics, but professionals study logistics."
In my opinion, the best way to win this war is through defensive tactics. Let russia continue to throw meat waves at Ukraine and sustain massive casualties. They are only destroying themselves. Not only in this war, but for the long term. We need to clip the eagle's wings once and for all. This is a prime example of pyrrhic victory in real time.
At this rate, we could easily see 1 mil russians KIA by 2025. Ukraine does not need to retake cities at this point, because eventually russia will run out of men, functioning, equiment and morale. At the rate russia is losing men and equipment, not only will it not be able to occupy eastern Ukraine or Crimea, but it wont be able to conduct any type of military engagement (offensive or defensive) in the near future.
Now I am not saying this will be a cake walk, this obviously will come at a great cost to Ukrainians - however, we are getting better equipped, better trained, and better adapted. With Patriot defences rearmed, you will see less dead Ukrainians. However, there is no victory in sight for russia not withstanding the sabre rattling of online uneducated russian trolls.
Believe in Ukraine. Support Ukraine. Stand with Ukraine.
Política externa e corrupção made in Brazil: duas tentativas de deformação da história por Lula e pelo PT
Paulo Roberto de Almeida
São dois os paises estrangeiros envolvidos nessa história da corrupção do PT em torno da refinaria superfaturada em bilhões: a Venezuela de Chávez, que forçou uma decisão pela Abreu e Lima em PE (quando a Petrobras tinha várias outras opções), e que depois nunca colocou um centavo no projeto (que estava concebido para o petroleo pesado da Venezuela); os EUA, que teriam conspirado contra a Petrobras, via Departamento da Justiça, em direção de procuradores e juízes da Operação Lava Jato, só para prejudicar a Petrobras.
Esta ultima é a visão de Lula e a de suas afirmações desprovidas de quaisquer provas sobre o gigantesco caso de corrupção da Petrobras iniciada em seu governo e continuada sob Dilma.
Talvez os EUA respondam a Lula. Talvez não o façam. Não importa. O fato é que a Petrobras aceitou pagar milhões de dólares a investidores americanos, tal como condenada na Justiça dos EUA por fatos aferidos de corrupção.
Pessoas bem informadas sabem que o presidente mantém uma visão distorcida dos EUA, ao mesmo tempo em que pretende manter sua versão mentirosa sobre a corrupção desmesurada do PT na história do Brasil.
Isso explica muito da sua leniência com a ditadura chavista na Venezuela: são negócios estatais, não a ideologia, que estão por trás da corrupção.
Quanto aos EUA, é uma tentativa de desviar o foco da imensa corrupção petista contra o povo brasileiro, ao mesmo tempo em que contempla a postura “antiestadunidense” da militância do PT e de parte da população brasileira.
Cabe esclarecer a natureza da deformação.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida
São Paulo, 19/01/2024
Alguma dúvida quanto ao status de Putin como o novo Hitler do século XXI?
From: Dietmar Pichler
If you are a teacher or journalist:
1) there was never a "civil war" or "ethnic conflict" in Ukraine
2) there was never any kind of "Russian language ban"
3) The founders of the "separatist republics" were Russian nationalists from Moscow not coal miners from Donbas
Putin's war against Ukraine is not about NATO, it is because he does not allow his neighbors to have a free, democratic and European🇪🇺 future and he wants to restore the "Russian Empire".
Ukraine was non-aligned in 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea and attacked in Donbas. This is why the idea of joining NATO became popular.
It is not a big country, attacking a similar, smaller country, it is a dictatorship attacking a free, democratic and European country.
The treaty signed between Russia and Ukraine after the dissolution of the USSR in which Ukraine ceded its atomic bombs to Russia obtaining a written guarantee that Russia undertook to renounce any modification of the borders between the two nations.
5 things about Russia's war against Ukraine that are seemingly almost forgotten 🧵
1)Russia downed MH17 passenger jet, claiming 298 lives
2)Russia is fully responsible for the war in Donbas that started in 2014
3)Russia annexed Crimea with 'little green men' (soldiers without insignia) and exerted pressure on the local population/politicians (Girkin admits that they had to use force on local politicians)
4) A few days before the war, the idea of an upcoming full-scale invasion was denied as a ridiculous fabrication by the West.
5) With the announcement of the so-called 'Special Military Operation,' Putin stated that 'there will be no occupation' of Ukraine.
"Putin attacked Ukraine after insisting for months there was no plan to do so. Now he says there's no plan to take over."
Considering not only Putin's lies and actions but also the unmatched propaganda against Ukraine and the West, it's absurd to think 'Putin is willing to negotiate' for a 'solution for both sides' unless for people which have swallowed the propaganda.
I forgot number 6: The ridiculous pretext for the full-scale invasion in Donbas. Amateur-style fabricated content and false-flag footage to 'create' a reason to invade. The evacuations and ridiculous videos made by the Kremlin's propaganda army.
Tudo o que vai relatado abaixo era perfeitamente conhecido dos meios bem informados, ou seja, a mídia de qualidade, independente, e das autoridades nacionais, sobretudo na Europa. No Brasil, o governo Dilma preferiu ignorar as invasões do Donbas e da peninsula da Crimeia, sendo deliberadamente indiferente ao sofrimento do povo ucraniano e às violações da Carta da ONU e das normas mais elementares do Direito Internacional. A origem dessa indiferença e dessa aliança objetiva com o tirano rusdo desde o inicio do governo Lula.
‼️Former senior Russian GRU officer, & ex Officer in Russian mercenary groups has fled to the Netherlands with the intention of testifying about Russian war crimes in Ukraine before the ICC. Salikov is not seeking immunity & is prepared to accept responsibility for his role.
1/8
Some of the crimes Salikov has testified to:
-Russia invaded Ukraine in 2014
-Orders came directly from the President's Office & Ministry of Defence
-Russia staged FAKE "referendum" in Donbas by force and falsified the "results" for the Kremlin
2/8
-Russia shelled & mined occupied Donbas in order to kill civilians, and then blamed Ukrainian forces for the killing of the Ukrainian civilians
-Salikov was chief of the Special Ops forces in Russia's occupation administration & totally FAKE "Donetsk People's Republic"
3/8
-Russian forces execute Ukrainian civilians en masse
-Russian forces torture and kill Ukrainian POW's
-Russian forces systemically and in large numbers kidnap Ukrainian children and forcibly move them across the border to Belarus
4/8
Note that this is the account of just ONE person which speaks to the truth of the general picture of Russia's brutal and illegal genocidal war against Ukraine - a war based on total lies, fabrications, and extreme barbarity.
5/8
Testimony from this Russian war criminal put to absolute shame most of the reporting on Russia's war against Ukraine.
Ukraine has been telling the world these FACTS since 2014. But truth from Ukraine was ignored, dismissed, mocked and replaced with Russian lies.
6/8
Many western journalists and experts have a DIRECT role in the sidelining of truth about Russia's genocidal war against Ukraine. They attacked Ukraine when it spoke the truth, and platformed the lies that Moscow told to cover up its crimes.
7/8
Don't be mistaken - Western political leadership was WELL aware of these FACTS as well. They turned a blind eye to the truth, to the suffering of Ukraine and Ukrainians, to Russia's illegal and evil ambitions, and threw Ukrainians to the Russian wolves.
8/8
