O que é este blog?

Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida;

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sexta-feira, 25 de março de 2016

A destruicao das instituicoes pelo comandante em chefe do partido totalitario - Marcelo Trindade


Lula e as instituições do Brasil
Marcelo Trindade*
O Estado de S. Paulo, 23 Março 2016 | 03h 00

Para entender a gravidade da crise institucional em que o Brasil está metido, e reagir adequadamente, é fundamental a leitura do depoimento de Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva à Polícia Federal (PF) em 4 de março. Nele não aparece o Lula grampeado na intimidade, preconceituoso, mal-educado e flertando com a prevaricação a cada telefonema. Interrogado com toda a cordialidade por um delegado da PF, na presença de seus advogados e até de um deputado federal de seu partido, foi muito mais cuidadoso. O resultado, entretanto, é igualmente assustador.
O depoimento está coalhado das habituais bravatas do ex-presidente, algumas de antologia: foi o presidente que mais viajou, mais que todos os outros somados, desde a proclamação da República até a sua chegada à Presidência; “nunca antes da História deste país” alguém abriu tanto o Palácio do Planalto para debates, e não só com empresários: “Com favelado, debate com sem-teto, debate com prostituta, com LGBT, até cachorro, cão-guia, eu fiz reunião lá dentro, pra falar com os donos, não com os cachorros.”
Lula pode, é claro, ver-se como o mais importante presidente da História. E pouco importa se é por vaidade ou ignorância que o ex-presidente menospreza todos os seus antecessores, embora cite Fernando Henrique com frequência freudiana. O problema está em como suas palavras se combinam com suas ações. Lula não vê valor em nada que o tenha antecedido e por isso desvaloriza as instituições construídas ao longo de nossa História.
Para Lula, foi ele que fortaleceu o Ministério Público, não a autonomia garantida pela Constituição de 1988. Foi ele “o primeiro presidente a tomar atitude e indicar o primeiro da lista” – “ todos eles que eu indiquei, todos”. É daí que vem, para Lula, a força do Ministério Público. Na Polícia Federal, “a mesma coisa”. “Melhorou a vida da Polícia Federal pra cacete no meu governo”, disse ele ao delegado, cobrando a fatura.
Como a força das instituições decorre de sua liderança, elas não podem contrariá-los – eis a base do discurso atual de Lula e do Partido dos Trabalhadores. Ao dizerem-se traídos pelas instituições brasileiras – Poder Judiciário e Ministério Público à frente –, o ex-presidente e seu partido a um só tempo supervalorizam suas contribuições do passado e desmerecem as instituições do presente. Pouco importa que se trate de atitude planejada ou espontânea, que decorra de estratégia política, de arrogância ou de convicção profunda. O risco para as instituições é o mesmo.
Basta que as instituições desconfiem de suas amizades desinteressadas ou investiguem e condenem seus correligionários para que Lula considere que “estamos vivendo um período, desde o mensalão, que a pessoa não tem que ser culpada, ele não será condenado pelo julgamento apenas, ele será condenado pelas manchetes dos jornais. As manchetes dos jornais amedrontam a Polícia Federal, amedrontam o Ministério Público, amedrontam a Suprema Corte, amedrontam todo mundo, todo mundo”.
A negação da realidade prossegue em outras passagens do depoimento: “O Vaccari era um companheiro extraordinário, foi um grande dirigente sindical e foi um grande dirigente do PT. Eu não acredito que o Vaccari tenha acertado percentual com empresa pra receber, não acredito, não acredito”. O mensalão merece a mesma avaliação: “Não tinha prova (...) José Dirceu e outros companheiros estavam condenados mesmo que fossem liberados, estavam condenados”.
As perguntas da Polícia Federal são tratadas com desdém, dada a suposta irrelevância dos montantes envolvidos: “Eu fico até constrangido de você estar me fazendo essas perguntas, porque que interesse alguém tem em saber se uma empresa recebeu 18 mil reais, 17 mil reais? (...) Eu fico constrangido de você me perguntar de pedalinho e de me perguntar de um barco de 3 mil reais”. O ex-presidente lembra-se bem do impeachment de Collor, e do cheque da secretária de PC Farias para comprar o Fiat Elba de dona Rosane. Agora, considera que a bagatela não pode ser tomada como indício de ilícitos maiores. Afinal, ele é o maior de todos os presidentes que o Brasil já teve. Quem o investiga, mesmo integrando instituições basilares da República, é moleque: “Instituições fortes pressupõem pessoas sérias, não pode ter moleque, não pode ter moleque, tem que ter gente séria”.
Como podem esses “moleques” desconfiar dos amigos de fé do ex-presidente? Bumlai “era um cara que era meu amigo. Nunca, nunca o José? Carlos Bumlai conversou de serviço comigo. (...) Ele tinha noção de que quando ia em casa era como amigo”.
Léo Pinheiro? “Sou amigo e gosto do Léo Pinheiro (...) eu disse ao Léo que o prédio era inadequado porque, além de ser pequeno, um tríplex de 215 metros é um triplex Minha Casa, Minha Vida, era pequeno.”
O conteúdo do depoimento à Polícia Federal não é acidental. Está confirmado pelas declarações da presidente, advogando em causa própria ao prometer processar quem tenha autorizado a divulgação dos telefonemas. E também pelo novo ministro da Justiça, ameaçando policiais federais de substituição pelo “cheiro” em caso de vazamentos, questionando “quem é quem no Paraná” e concedendo indulto moral a José Genoíno, como se pudesse expressar percepções pessoais no cargo que ocupa.
Lula e o PT, ao recusarem a autocrítica, recusam-se a aprender com seus próprios erros. Isso seria problema apenas deles, que tempo e eleições curariam. Mas com Lula entronizado ministro, e com o discurso contra as instituições dando o tom das manifestações do governo, cruzou-se a barreira do desrespeito aos fundamentos da República e da democracia. O problema passa, então, a ser de todos nós, e cabe às próprias instituições brasileiras resolvê-lo com urgência, em favor de todos os brasileiros.

*Marcelo Trindade é advogado, professor da PUC-Rio
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O Zika virus entreou no Brasil na Copa das Confederacoes, de 2013 - The Washington Post

A 2013 soccer match could have brought Zika virus to Brazil, researchers say
The Washington Post, Friday March 25, 2016

The Zika virus could have entered Brazil in 2013, two years before it was confirmed here and a year before previously believed, a new study claims. The study examined genetic profiles of seven Brazilian Zika cases.
Scientists said the study presents valuable findings as Brazil's overstretched health service grapples with twin outbreaks of Zika and the birth defect microcephaly. The government has confirmed a link between the two.
"It's very early and limited but valuable information," said Daniel Lucy, an infectious-disease specialist at Georgetown University.
Zika could even have been introduced to Brazil during the 2013 Confederations Cup, a soccer tournament that featured a team from Tahiti - which suffered a Zika epidemic that year.
"We managed to trace the date of introduction between May and September 2013," said Nuno Faria, a researcher at Oxford University and one of the authors of the paper, published Thursday in the journal Science.
The research by scientists from Britain's Oxford University and Brazil's Evandro Chagas Institute is the first to have analyzed the Zika genome found in Brazil. Since reaching here, it has spread to another 33 countries across the Americas.
"This is the first study combing genetic and epidemiological data on the Zika virus in Brazil, so it is a good baseline for future research," Faria said.
Researchers found that Brazil's Zika virus is closely related to the Asian strain of Zika that was behind an outbreak in French Polynesia in 2013. The strain also circulates across Southeast Asia. Zika was first found in Uguanda in 1947, and there is also an African strain.
As many as 1.5 million Brazilians may have caught Zika, the government estimates. It has confirmed nearly a thousand cases of the birth defect microcephaly - which causes babies to be born with abnormally small heads and can lead to motor and cognitive difficulties and problems with hearing and sight. It is investigating thousands more.
But little is known about how Zika got to Brazil. And though Zika is increasingly blamed for the microcephaly outbreak, it unclear how the virus could cause brain damage in fetuses.
Faria said theories that co-infection with a related virus like dengue, or previous exposure to dengue, might be factors, are "very plausible."
"We are providing some first data to help us answer these questions," he said.
The report analyzed seven genomes, including that of one adult with Zika who died and a newborn with microcephaly.
"They did a genetic profile of the Brazilian virus," said Marcos Lago, an infectious disease specialist at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro. "This is important."
The authors said Zika circulated in Brazil for a year or more before being identified.
In June 2013, Tahiti's national soccer team took part in the Confederations Cup - a trial run for the World Cup a year later - and played in Recife, capital of Brazil's northeastern state of Pernambuco where around a third of microcephaly cases have been concentrated.
But the study also noted a 50 percent rise from 2012 to 2014 in passengers flying to Brazil from countries where Zika circulated - New Caledonia, Indonesia, Malaysia, French Polynesia, Thailand and Cambodia - and said this was a more likely cause.
The 2014 World Cup and a canoeing tournament that year that featured a team from Tahiti have both previously been cited as events that could have led to Zika entering Brazil.
The study did not test the link between Zika and microcephaly, but did find that most suspected microcephaly cases happened at 17 weeks of pregnancy and more severe cases at 14 weeks.
As of March 19, Brazil had confirmed 907 cases of microcephaly and other alterations caused by a congenital disease since last October. Another 4,293 are still being investigated, and 1,471 have been discarded. The latest figures showed that Brazil confirmed 44 new cases in a week. In addition, 12 countries have reported an increase in Guillain-Barré Syndrome, a neurological condition that has been linked to Zika.
In May the research team plans to visit Brazil and profile a thousand genomes using a portable new technology. "It's going to be targeting genetic surveillance," Faria said.

O pensamento estrategico de Varnhagen: contexto e atualidade - Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Meu texto para o seminário do próximo dia 1o. de abril, no Instituto Rio Branco, a ser disponibilizado por inteiro assim que terminar a revisão.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

O pensamento estratégico de Varnhagen: contexto e atualidade

Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Sumário:
Questões introdutórias e de organização do ensaio1
1. Varnhagen possuía um pensamento estratégico? , 4
2. Quais tipos de pensamento estratégico existiam na época de Varnhagen?, 8
3. Quais os componentes centrais do pensamento estratégico de Varnhagen?, 10
4. Como o pensamento de Varnhagen se refletiu no Estado imperial?, 20
5. Qual o legado desse pensamento na construção do Estado brasileiro moderno?, 25
6. Existe uma modernidade em Varnhagen?, 33
Bibliografia, 43

Questões introdutórias e de organização do ensaio
Este é um ensaio de aproximação intelectual ao pensamento estratégico de Francisco Adolfo de Varnhagen, que pode ser enquadrado na categoria da história das ideias políticas no Brasil. A temática principal, desdobrável em duas perguntas vinculadas entre si, poderia ser apresentada da seguinte maneira:
(1) Varnhagen, seja enquanto historiador, seja como diplomata, ou mesmo como “estadista improvisado”, possuía, ou era dotado de, “um” pensamento estratégico? Em outros termos, em que medida aderia ele a conceitos basilares das doutrinas estratégicas do seu tempo, e como tais conceitos, se presentes efetivamente em seu pensamento, se refletiram em sua vasta obra, tanto a de cunho historiográfico – como a História Geral do Brasil (1854-57) – quanto a de natureza mais política – como, por exemplo, o Memorial Orgânico (1849-1850) –, tal como se tentará aqui discutir?
Uma questão adicional ao tema principal acima enunciado poderia ser a da especulação sobre a existência, reconhecida ou não, de discípulos, explícitos ou implícitos, em sua própria época, ou nas décadas e no século que se seguiram ao ativismo intelectual e diplomático do patrono da historiografia brasileira. Não existem evidências nesse sentido, embora a obra principal de Varnhagen tenha dominado o pensamento histórico no Brasil durante quase um século, até praticamente o pós-guerra.
Várias outras perguntas secundárias – que servirão de guias para o itinerário argumentativo deste ensaio – podem ser formuladas no contexto do quadro conceitual delimitado pela suposição inerente ao título deste ensaio, suposição que parte, portanto, de uma resposta positiva à primeira pergunta formulada, a de que Varnhagen possuía, de fato, um pensamento estratégico. Tais questões adicionais são as seguintes:
(2) Existiam doutrinas estratégicas, ou de natureza geopolítica, propriamente formalizadas, no período formativo do pensamento de Varnhagen, e de que tipo seriam essas estratégias, ou “geopolíticas”, em construção na primeira metade do século XIX, que se desenvolveram mais para o final do século e que passaram a conhecer notável florescimento na primeira metade do século XX?
(3) Quais os componentes principais do pensamento estratégico de Varnhagen – se admitirmos que ele possuiu um – e como este se apresentou em sua obra?
(4) Que consequências ou efeitos teve esse tipo de pensamento no ideário, ou na ideologia, das elites dirigentes brasileiras, em especial as militares e as diplomáticas, nas décadas que se seguiram?
(5) Que legado produziu no pensamento estratégico brasileiro do século XX, quais foram os seus porta-vozes e qual o impacto desse tipo de pensamento na definição de políticas públicas nas áreas da segurança nacional, do desenvolvimento econômico e do papel do Estado na organização nacional? Como a vertente do pensamento propriamente “estratégico” de Varnhagen se incorporou à, ou recebeu continuidade na, obra de “geopolíticos” do século XX?
(6) Existe uma modernidade em Varnhagen? Dito de outra forma, suas reflexões e propostas para os problemas brasileiros de meados do século XIX poderiam ser transpostas, com as adaptações de praxe, aos desafios brasileiros do início do século XXI? Qual seria o pensamento estratégico, de inspiração varnhageana, que poderia impulsionar um esforço similar, ou funcionalmente equivalente, para “civilizar” o Brasil, quase 170 anos depois das propostas originais?

Não se espera, ao início deste ensaio, que todas essas questões possam ser respondidas completamente, ou sequer tratadas a contento – ou seja, de forma sistemática ou mais ou menos minuciosa –, mas existe pelo menos a intenção do autor de abordar cada uma delas de maneira abrangente – um conceito que se traduz pela palavra comprehensive, em inglês –, um empreendimento que traduz um esforço de interpretação do pensamento de Varnhagen, à luz dos teóricos de sua época e da  possível influência ou impacto que ele deixou não apenas nos intelectuais que absorveram os principais conceitos de sua obra, mas também no ideário nacional incorporado ao ensino da história e de outras disciplinas das humanidades nas instituições públicas de educação, do médio ao superior.
Caberia ressalvar, neste ponto inicial, que o autor deste ensaio não é historiador, não possuindo, portanto, o instrumental metodológico da disciplina, e sequer pretende ser especialista no pensamento de Varnhagen, sendo apenas um praticante da sociologia histórica, e que aprecia trabalhar com os fundamentos históricos e econômicos da diplomacia brasileira. Muito do que vai aqui sintetizado já foi objeto de tratamento pormenorizado nos trabalhos de eminentes especialistas, em especial do professor Arno Wehling, presidente do Instituto Histórico e Geográfico Brasileiro, autor de diversas obras a respeito do pensamento político e diplomático de Varnhagen (1999, 2002, 2013a), com destaque para os seus ensaios de estrategista, e de estadista, em torno do Memorial Orgânico (2013b, 2013c), o texto mais diretamente relacionado à temática deste ensaio, o pensamento estratégico do historiador. Cabe aliás destacar que, ademais de seus outros trabalhos sobre Varnhagen, a “retomada” do Memorial, sua atualização vocabular e sua disponibilização mais ampla são diretamente imputáveis ao tino histórico exemplar e à dedicação desse estudioso da obra do historiador sorocabano.
Cabe mencionar igualmente o já falecido professor Nilo Odália, autor de uma análise interpretativa da obra historiador-diplomático, situando-a no plano da formação da historiografia brasileira, inclusive em perspectiva comparada com Oliveira Vianna (1979; 1997). Nilo Odália procura estabelecer uma “relação de continuidade” entre ambos, que seria “característica de uma parte significativa da historiografia brasileira do século XIX e do início deste [XX] século, até o final da década de 1920, em que a preocupação fundamental do historiador era a de, ao partir de uma análise fundante de nossa história, buscar soluções para a realização do sonho de uma Nação unitária e integrada” (1997: 119-120). Essa Nação, como ainda destaca Odália, deveria ser socialmente “solidária”, na expressão usada por Oliveira Vianna, ao passo que o próprio Varnhagen falava de uma “Nação compacta”, como destacado na tese de Janke (2009).
Entre outros autores “varnhageanos”, entre eles Américo Jacobina Lacombe, autor de um estudo sobre o pensamento político do historiador (1967), Nilo Odália destacou a importância crucial do Estado, em Varnhagen, como “força tuteladora e instrumento de formação da Nação” (1997: 63-87), assim como chamou a atenção e sintetizou com clareza, usando as próprias palavras do historiador (no início da História Geral), os objetivos autofixados para sua missão enquanto funcionário do Estado, mas especializado na “arqueologia” da nação:
[E]m primeiro lugar, colaborar na Administração do Estado, por meio do levantamento histórico de dados que lhe possam ser úteis; em segundo, favorecer a unidade nacional; e, em terceiro, complementando o segundo, fomentar e “exaltar” o patriotismo, enobrecendo o espírito público. (1997: 38).

Ao estudar o passado do Brasil, mais exatamente, ao “construir” ele mesmo esse passado, que nunca tinha sido escrito tão completamente quanto ele quis fazer, mediante pesquisas em arquivos primários, Varnhagen pretendia, na verdade, “moldar o futuro da nação”, como destaca Odália. Tal tarefa, assumida como missão pessoal por Varnhagen, constitui, justamente, a própria essência do planejamento estratégico, que é a de examinar tendências fortes existentes no passado e no presente, para poder projetar, e provavelmente influenciar, uma rota preferencial dentre os itinerários futuros.

1. Varnhagen possuía um pensamento estratégico?
(...)
 =============

Vou disponibilizar este texto, assim que terminar a revisão...
Um resumo do que foi o Memorial Orgânico de Varnhagen: 

Ele pensou que iria "civilizar" o Brasil: não conseguiu, mas deixou o roteiro (em 1849) do que precisaria ser feito, em seis grandes tarefas: 
1) Negociar tratados bilaterais de limites (já feito pelo Barão do Rio Branco, meio século depois); 
2) Transferir a capital para o interior (feito por JK, cem anos depois); 
3) resolver problemas de infraestrutura: transportes e comunicações (feito parcialmente pelos militares, mas ainda muita coisa inconclusa, que não vai ser feita pelo Estado, inepto e sem recursos; tem de passar para a iniciativa privada, como aliás fazia o Império); 
4) resolver os problemas da federação, de organização administrativa, de desequilíbrios regionais, etc (a União só se reforçou desde a monarquia unitária, e a despeito de uma República supostamente federativa); 
5) Fragilidade da defesa nacional, por falta de uma doutrina de segurança e de meios adequados (continua a mesma coisa); 
6) heterogeneidade da população, com escravismo extensivo, índios não aculturados (mudaram os problemas, mas a heterogeneidade continua, sobretudo por causa de uma educação deplorável). 
Ou seja, mais da metade da tarefa "civilizatória" de Varnhagen continua sem ter sido concluída...

Zika virus: o terror da humanidade - enorme matéria do Washington Post

It’s Wednesday, so Kim Conley will run 11 miles, pretty much like any other day, except that on Wednesdays, she runs depleted — meaning she’s eaten exactly nothing. The idea is to be tough, reach down, push herself even harder than every other day.
She chews up the miles along the American River in Sacramento to keep shaving off seconds to keep getting closer to Rio. Conley, 30, has been running toward this summer’s Olympic Games for nearly a decade. But she’d also like to have a baby someday.
Two things stand between Conley and what could well be her last chance to win an Olympic medal. One is the clock, and she knows she can beat it. She’s lopped seconds off her time every year since she started running seriously. The other is a blood-sucking critter named Aedes, a globe-trotting mosquito with a world-class bite.
By the millions, Aedes skeeters are feeding on people who carry an unpredictable virus named Zika, then flitting over to their next victim, chomping down and spreading the disease. The bug’s bites have transmitted the virus to people in more than 20 countries: to pregnant mothers, with devastating consequences for their unborn children; to thousands of other people, who end up with fairly minor aches; and quite possibly this summer, to the best athletes in the world, gathered in one vulnerable place, wearing very little clothing.
The scramble to solve the Zika puzzle requires scientists to figure out exactly what threat a hardy breed of mosquitoes poses to people along the virus’s jagged journey. Crossing four continents since the first major outbreak nine years ago, Zika’s painful path now touches an Olympic runner in California, and before her a nurse from Indiana, pregnant women in Colombia, a misshapen infant in Brazil, immunologists in Bethesda, Md., all the way back to the owner of a souvenir shop on a tiny island in the South Pacific, 1,100 miles southeast of the Philippines. The hunt to understand Zika is a race to the very edge of science’s frontier, a race against the ticking clock of myriad pregnancies.
Conley’s passion and training push her to keep running toward Rio, even as a mounting clamor of warnings urge her to consider a detour. On a cool, sunny California morning at the cusp of spring, she can run straight ahead or look instead at the destruction and anxiety that Zika has caused, anguishing expectant mothers from Brazil up into the Caribbean and now even in the United States.
This is the story of Zika’s path so far, from its leading edge today back to its first appearance on a Pacific island in 2007. As the virus’s inexorable march brings it our way, scientists and governments are issuing a stream of strongly worded alerts. The chief of the federal bureaucracy in Washington this month urgently warned government employees to think twice about going to Brazil and other countries where the virus is rampant. The World Health Organization and the U.S. military put out similar warnings. But the U.S. Olympic Committee, buffeted between its desire to give elite athletes their moment  and its responsibility to protect competitors and their fans, has held back, issuing no guidance, announcing only that it will seek counsel from medical advisers.
Conley tries not to think about Zika. Her team — manager, agent, sports psychologist, physiologist, sponsor — is all about confidence: Rio or bust. Conley is a planner. She used to think in units of a school year. Then, preparing to run middle- and long-distance events in the London Olympics four years ago, she learned that elite athletes think in “quads,” four-year cycles leading to the next Games. After Conley failed to get past the qualifying heats in London, she’s spent this quad entirely focused on next steps, to Rio, then Tokyo in 2020, then maybe coaching, or becoming a physical therapist, or having a baby. Zika and pregnancy
Her husband and coach, Drew Wartenburg, thinks shorter term. He’s forever nudging Kim to live in the moment. “I call myself more an actor than a planner,” he says.
They haven’t talked much about kids, except that a baby would fit into their lives after Kim finishes running competitively. Then they started hearing about newborns in Brazil with heads that came out too small and pregnant women who felt compelled to consider abortions when they wanted to be preparing to raise a child.
Now, Conley and Wartenburg have to think about it. They’ve talked about whether Conley’s 28-year-old sister, already at the point where she wants a baby, should travel to Rio to watch Kim run. “She’s someone who probably shouldn’t go,” Conley says. “For us, we just have to wait.”
Zika keeps poking its head into their plans. Friends and neighbors keep asking about it. Family, too. “You want them to be excited about your Olympic journey,” Conley says, “and they’re mostly concerned about the Zika virus, and that’s too bad.”
Wartenburg the coach uses the virus as a motivator. “This is about confronting obstacles,” he says. “Part of what makes athletes elite is not letting any obstacle stand in your way.”
Conley glances over at him, eyebrow cocked. It’s not clear she’s buying this as a motivational tool.
Wartenburg the husband tries another tack. “You can’t have thousands of different athletes making thousands of different decisions about ‘Do I wrap myself in mosquito nets, or what?’ That’s not a burden I want. We just have to trust that someone will assess the risk and that their thinking will trickle down to us.”
Conley is quiet. When she speaks, it’s in a small voice: “No one’s said, ‘Don’t go.’ ”

January 2016: A scary mask

Barbara Ihrke went with plenty of mosquito repellent. When Ihrke, a 61-year-old nurse, decided to travel from Indiana to Haiti in January to teach a seminar in transcultural nursing, she’d heard a bit about Zika but hadn’t paid much attention to the news from Brazil.
Despite slathering herself with repellent, Ihrke got a few bites. She thought nothing of it. She came home in late January, feeling fine.
Then, on her fifth day back in Marion, Ind., she got a low-grade headache. She felt tired, her joints swelled up, and a rash spread over much of her body, including, for a couple of days, on her face.
Zika, it turned out, was already in the Caribbean, and people such as Ihrke were bringing it home with them. Enough cases had popped up in Haiti that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention called the island nation a place of extreme concern.
Two days after her symptoms hit, Ihrke, who works as vice president of academic affairs at Indiana Wesleyan University’s nursing school, called her school’s health center and said, “I think I have Zika.” She was matter-of-fact. Trained in tropical medicine, she reacted more calmly than a layman might have.
By the time she got to the clinic an hour later, the staff had printed out fact sheets from the CDC on Zika. Tests showed her white-blood-cell count had dropped by half. She stayed home that weekend and went to work the next Monday wearing a mask — not because she was putting anyone else at risk of infection, but for her own protection, because of her low blood count. What can be done to prevent Zika?
As casually as Ihrke reacted to the virus, those around her were more alarmed, especially during the eight days when she wore the mask. “People took a step back when they saw it,” she says.
When one man pulled away and announced that his wife was pregnant, Ihrke set him straight: “I can’t give this to you, and there are no mosquitoes in Indiana in February.”
That assurance wasn’t enough for some people. Ihrke can’t guarantee that the virus isn’t still active in her bloodstream, and some neighbors have told her they’re afraid to get too close.
Still, Ihrke felt it was important to identify herself as Indiana’s first Zika case, even though state health officials had assured her they’d keep her identity secret. “Part of my calling is to help us react to illnesses, so I decided I should self-identify because I have the ability to explain,” she says.
Ihrke’s professional detachment lets her see that for most victims, Zika is no big deal. Having lived and worked in Africa, she says, “knowing that thousands of people die every day from malaria and now seeing that we’re spending millions of dollars on Zika, well, at times we in the U.S. are not rational about what we decide is scariest. We’ve gone into the Ebola mentality, which is that the sky is falling. We invested so much money in making everybody in America Ebola-prepared, and for what, maybe 10 cases in the U.S.? In a year or two, we’ll hardly remember Zika.”
Less than two weeks after she first felt ill, Ihrke got the all-clear, a call from the health center telling her that her blood count was back to normal.
She’s ready to return to Haiti, proposing to study the incidence of birth defects there in the coming year. But she knows heading into Zika’s lair is not the right choice for some people. “For the Olympic athletes, it’s hard,” Ihrke says. “Anyone who wanted to be pregnant, I’d say, ‘Are you certain this is what you want to do?’ ”

November 2015: ‘I was five months pregnant’

Two Colombian teenagers, both eight months pregnant, stand outside a health clinic in Cartagena, waiting to know what Zika has done to their babies.
“You got it, too?” Yisleth Luna Cardenas, 18, asks Darley Martinez Cabarcas, who is 17.
“When I was five months pregnant,” Darley says, recalling the headaches and fever she had in November. “I see the news. I see the babies being born with big problems. Aren’t you worried?”
Yisleth dealt with Zika anxiety by focusing not on possible birth defects, but on delivering her first baby: “Will it be a Caesarean section? How painful will the labor be?”
Darley cracks a smile, enjoying a rare shared moment in what she calls the “solitude of being pregnant with Zika.”
“I know everyone is worried — men, too — but so much falls to the women,” she says. “We carry the babies, and then we will raise the babies.” A pause. “My boyfriend wanted me to abort.”
A Catholic, Darley says it is wrong to have an abortion. She is no longer in touch with the baby’s father.
Now, in March, she waits. She knows the virus has been linked to severe birth defects, including microcephaly, the interrupted development of the skull that leads to abnormally small heads and brain damage. The virus has been active in Colombia long enough to have infected thousands of pregnant women, but not yet long enough to reveal whether the defects that have become rampant in Brazil will happen here. What is microcephaly?
Zika’s aches subside quickly; the real pain sets in when the women are strong enough to start worrying about what the virus may have done to the baby inside them. “It’s a lonely time,” Darley says. Being pregnant with Zika is not something you can talk to your mother about, because it’s so new. “I can’t wait to have the baby in my arms, to see with my own eyes that he is okay.”
At the Juan Felipe Gomez Escobar Foundation, a nonprofit serving low-income, teenage mothers, Darley and Yisleth attend job skill classes and get sonograms.
The scans show no sign of microcephaly. But the doctors also say that developmental and neurological problems linked to Zika might not show up on a scan.
Darley goes home to wait with her mother, sister and grandmother — her father no longer lives with the family. “Women have it hard,” she says.

October 2015: A tiny skull

While Darley and Yisleth wait, Zika’s impact is already clear 3,000 miles to the southeast, where a mother and a physical therapist try to soothe an agitated, bent baby boy named Arthur. The therapist places Arthur face-down on a yellow exercise ball. He immediately begins to cry. The way his 5-month-old body is shaped, shoulders hunched, arms and legs perpetually bent and clenched — typical for microcephalic babies — doing anything on his stomach feels uncomfortable.
The therapist rubs his back while his mother, Rozilene Ferreira de Mesquita, puts a pacifier in his mouth.
“Calm down,” she whispers.
Arthur has appointments lined up for visual testing, motor-skill development and auditory stimulation at the Altino Ventura Foundation hospital in the Brazilian city of Recife. On Thursdays, dozens of mothers of babies with abnormally small heads gather here for therapy sessions, group talks and one-month birthday celebrations. Of 6,671 suspected microcephaly cases in Brazil, 1,819 of them are in this state, Pernambuco, the highest proportion in the country.
Recife, the ‘ground zero’ of the zika virus
Thousands of parents now spend their days visiting doctors who X-ray, scan, probe, bend and measure their babies to try to understand what Zika has done. Just three days into March, de Mesquita has already filled a piece of notebook paper with 25 doctors’ visits Arthur must make at eight hospitals over the course of the month.
She refuses to miss an appointment. Once her maternity leave ended, she resorted to doctors’ notes to explain her absence from work. She expects to lose her job. Then the family will subsist on her husband’s minimum-wage salary of $220 per month.
“I work for my son now,” she says. “My son is my boss, and he’s a picky boss.”
De Mesquita, 39, contracted Zika last March, the second month of her pregnancy, after a mosquito-swarmed Friday on the beach in Suape, a town south of Recife where her husband worked as a hotel security guard.
The next weekend, she woke feeling achy, with a rash on her arms and torso, and an infuriating itch. Recife was not yet known as the epicenter of a hemisphere-wide outbreak. There were as yet no billboards along the highways warning about microcephaly. In the hallways of the state health ministry, where de Mesquita worked as a cleaner, she’d never heard the name Zika.
She went to her neighborhood clinic, already packed with people with the same symptoms. Doctors treated her for an allergic reaction, which didn’t help, then tested her for dengue fever and rubella.
“I was so happy when they came out negative,” she says. “But it turned out that this was worse.”
Arthur Ferreira da Conceicao was born on Oct. 1 after a relatively painless two hours of labor, far easier than her first son, 15 years earlier. But Arthur’s body felt cold, and his skull was tiny, just 11 inches in circumference. The forehead was foreshortened. The back of his head was flat, with wrinkled skin. Within minutes, a doctor informed her there was a problem: Arthur had microcephaly. De Mesquita hadn’t heard the term.
“It’s weird, “ the doctor told her, “we already have seven other babies at the hospital with that right now.”
Arthur couldn’t leave the hospital for 27 days. As he has grown, his problems have deepened. His body seems frozen in a rictus of tension.
His mother writes lists of questions for the doctors: Can he see or hear? Will he ever walk, talk, read, go to school? The answers are always the same: “I don’t know.”
In her small concrete house in a hillside slum, de Mesquita has filled Arthur’s crib with toys the therapists recommend. She built a rattle out of a water bottle filled with black beans, to test his hearing. She made a paddle with black and white stripes that she shines with a flashlight to encourage visual perception. On the wall of Arthur’s room, bug repellent mists from a plug-in dispenser.
To get to their first appointment, de Mesquita wakes at 4 a.m., tidies up, does the laundry, and feeds Arthur. She kisses her husband goodbye and walks into a warm, drizzling morning as insects trill and roosters crow. She is resigned to another trying commute.
“People are always staring,” de Mesquita says. “I know people are thinking, ‘What a small head. They’re not thinking, ‘Oh, that baby’s beautiful.’ ”
She transfers from the bus to a packed subway car. Passengers crowded around her stare at Arthur. A woman in a yellow tank top speaks loudly to de Mesquita, and others turn to look: “Did you have Zika? You had that thing?”
De Mesquita ignores the passengers and tries to soothe Arthur, who is sobbing, heaving, his face contorted in anguish.
“Calma,” she says, rubbing his head.
Her days unspool in waiting rooms on rows of hard plastic chairs bolted in place. Her hours slip by in a numbing drift of chitchat with other microcephaly moms. The moms started a WhatsApp group — more than 120 women strong — to share child-care tips for microcephaly kids.
De Mesquita arrives at 6:45 a.m. at this morning’s hospital, the Association for the Assistance of Children with Deficiencies. She takes a number, 300, and waits for a doctor, who undresses Arthur, claps next to each ear, blows on his eyes, testing his sensations. Arthur’s body at rest is clenched and rigid, his hands in fists, his legs crossed. As the doctor pulls Arthur’s shoulders back, stretching his chest, the baby screams.
“Don’t cry,” de Mesquita whispers.
Five hours later, she walks back to the bus station and opens her umbrella to protect Arthur from the blazing sun.
A woman comes up to de Mesquita. “Jesus only gives children like this to people who are really strong, who are warriors,” the woman says. “You have the capacity to care for him. Someone without faith can’t do it, but you have faith.”
De Mesquita stands up, hefting Arthur onto her hip.
“That’s my bus,” she says.

Inside a lab where researchers are racing to diagnose Zika

Play Video1:50
As the Zika virus continues to spread, scientists in Recife, Brazil, are searching for a quicker, less expensive test to detect the virus. (Whitney Leaming,Zoeann Murphy/The Washington Post)

July 2015: A new mystery

Wing-Pui Kong opens a white mini-freezer, the size found in many a dorm room, and slides out a box labeled “Zik V DNA Vaccine.” He lifts the cover and removes one of about a dozen tiny vials of DNA plasmas that he and his colleagues at the Vaccine Research Center in Bethesda, Md., have synthesized to see if they can prompt cells to protect against the Zika virus. Countries that have the Zika virus
“Time is important,” Kong says. “When you see the pictures of the babies. . . . ” He stops himself. “I don’t really want to look at those pictures. I can’t imagine being those parents.”
Ever since last July, when a Brazilian physician pulled aside one of the Vaccine Research Center’s top scientists at a conference in Rockville, warning him about a disturbing, rampant virus, Kong’s lab on the campus of the National Institutes of Health has been transformed into an anti-Zika war room. Rows of scientists painstakingly design and test dozens of different sequences of DNA, searching for those that might prompt creation of the perfect protein.
Around the country, scientists are studying cells isolated from people recovering from Zika. They need to learn how the virus works on people, why symptoms show up as they have, and how to make the human body defend itself. The goal is a vaccine, produced in the millions of doses, to be given to young children, ideally a one-time, lifelong immunization.
On the fourth floor of the Vaccine Research Center, created 16 years ago to develop protection against HIV, the best candidates for a vaccine will be injected into lab mice to see if they become immunized.
“The first round of mouse immunizations have not been the best,” says Barney Graham, the virologist who runs the Viral Pathogenesis Laboratory. “So we continue. Every week, there’s another mouse experiment.”
At the moment, the freezer contains 29 bacterial recipes. The goal is to begin testing vaccines this fall.
In lab after lab in their modern glass-and-concrete building, people who’d been working on HIV, Middle East respiratory syndrome or flu vaccines have shifted gears and launched a full-on drive against Zika. They still think mostly in timelines composed of years and decades, but that’s changing. In the past eight years, thanks mainly to research conducted toward an HIV vaccine, the process has sped up as researchers map the atomic structures of a virus and identify antibodies that lead toward a vaccine. Starting in 2003, it took 20 months to develop a vaccine to be tested against SARS. When avian flu hit a couple of years later, the process was slimmed down to 11 months. And in 2009’s H5N1 virus outbreak, the lab got its development work done in four months.
If all goes well in Bethesda, a vaccine could be ready for distribution in 2018.
“We’re always in a hurry here,” Graham says. “We’re still in a hurry on HIV even though it’s been 15 years. But we’re seeing more and more of these emerging, disruptive viruses now — it’s a sign of changes in ecology, as the ecosystems change from climate shifts or increased mobility.”
Last July, two years after a big outbreak of chikungunya virus in South America, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases held a conference in Rockville on “Gaps and Opportunities in Chikungunya Research.” In a hallway during a break, a physician from Brazil, Roberto Jose da Silva Badaro, made it his business to find Graham. Chikungunya was indeed rampant and troublesome, Badaro said, but something new had cropped up in his region. Chikungunya and dengue fever in Brazil
All spring, patients in Bahia and neighboring Brazilian states had been coming down with rash and mild fever, but the symptoms were not quite the same as those from other mosquito-borne viruses. Brazilian doctors wondered if they were seeing measles, rubella, West Nile, Mayaro virus or an adverse reaction to some vaccine.
By late spring, the number of Zika cases in Bahia was tripling every week. At neighborhood clinics, people waited for hours to see a doctor.
A medical team led by a virologist at the Federal University of Bahia, Gubio Soares, isolated the Zika virus. They rushed to tell authorities, including Badaro, Bahia’s vice minister of health.
Over the summer, doctors began to see a spike in Guillain-Barré syndrome, a condition marked by temporary paralysis. In the second half of last year, the state recorded nearly 140 cases, seven times higher than normal. Hospitals scrambled to find enough intensive-care beds for all the patients.
“It was a war,” Badaro says.
The battle continues: Some pregnant women have left Brazil, heading for colder climates in Europe and the United States. Women have sought out illicit abortions, illegal in Brazil under almost all circumstances. Vendors in a downtown Rio market said Cytotec, a banned medication for stomach ulcers, is in high demand for home abortions. Some pregnant women choose to become virtual prisoners, refusing to leave home except for emergencies.
“You guys are discussing something that’s really in the past,” Badaro told U.S. researchers. “What’s coming is the Zika virus.”
Bahia, he told them, had already seen 63,000 Zika cases.
Graham had heard of Zika — he knew it had been discovered in Africa in the 1940s, and that there’d been an outbreak in the South Pacific a few years ago, but he’d not heard of it causing alarming symptoms.
Graham and his colleagues soon started grabbing researchers off other projects.
“When we see a virus spreading like that, we take notice,” Graham says. “People like Dr. Badaro are the sentinel. He was looking for chikungunya, and he found Zika.”

Spring 2007: A spreading rash

For hours each night, the “nonstop Micronesian beat” of V6AI, the only radio station in the island nation of Yap, transmits an endless loop of public service announcements warning residents to “sleep under insecticide-treated bed nets” and empty open containers where mosquitoes might breed.
Mosquito bites used to be just a nuisance, a small price to pay for living in South Pacific paradise. But in 2007, Zika hit Yap with a powerhouse punch — an alien virus zapping an isolated population in a place with few defenses against the bug.
But in little more than a year after it first hit Yap in spring of 2007, Zika — named after the forest in Uganda where the virus was discovered in 1947 — infected about 7,000 of the island’s 11,000 residents. Most people had mild symptoms or none at all. Doctors thought they were seeing dengue, but the symptoms weren’t quite right. They called in tropical-disease experts from the CDC and WHO. Lab tests determined the culprit: Zika.
“We probably didn’t pick it up till the third or fourth week,” says James Edilyong, a Yap native who is chief of staff at Yap State Hospital. People streamed into the hospital, but “really, we had nothing we could do for them.”
Andy Choor, 32, thought he had a cold, maybe a light flu. His temperature flared, his appetite waned. Everywhere around him, “people were going down. You almost knew who had it because they were down for three or four days, and you just didn’t see them,” he recalls.
Choor, who owns a souvenir and crafts shop, felt Zika’s impact at the cash register: Tourists — lifeblood of the island’s economy — became scarce. Life on the island changed. People who had never really cared about bug bites were now staying inside more. Things seemed quieter, more subdued.
“It was alarming, and people are still concerned,” he says, even though the virus has largely vanished from the island.
Edilyong, 48, was among the first in Yap to get Zika. “I’ve had the privilege to have both Zika and dengue, and dengue was much worse,” he says. His Zika rash lasted only a few hours; the aches resolved themselves within a day.
From Yap, Zika made its way 5,000 miles east to French Polynesia in 2013 and on to Japan the next year.
After so many microcephalic babies were born in Brazil, doctors in the Pacific islands went back to see if they had missed a spike in birth defects. The results are inconclusive — in Polynesia, there had been an unusual number of malformations of the central nervous system in babies and miscarried fetuses, but the numbers were not large enough to cause alarm, and a connection to Zika remains unproven.
Yap saw no such cluster of defects, Edilyong says: “Whatever happened to Zika to cause the defects in Brazil hadn’t happened when the virus was active here.”
In Yap and Polynesia, Zika seemed to burn through in less than a year. No cases have been reported since the outbreak faded, doctors said.
How human-made environmental factors help spread Zika and other diseases
The fear hasn’t gone away, but the hope that life can be normal again has returned. “We never had a panic about it,” Edilyong says. “But people became more anxious after other countries got the outbreak, after we heard about the birth defects. We get the word out about what to do, how to help prevent the spread. We talk to the chiefs, and the message goes right to the villages. And we get people to clean up their yards and empty water containers. We’re okay, we watch out for each other.”

March 2016: Race against risk

Kim Conley runs to get to Rio. She runs for the satisfaction of knowing that she’s given it her all. “Really, it’s for the afterglow,” she says, “the feeling of the effort.”
She feels a fire, a will that is evident in her steely blue eyes, her zest for the daily punishment she endures, and now in her willingness to take a chance. Until someone in authority tells her otherwise, she’s determined to outrun the danger. She has to believe she can beat an opponent named Zika.
Fisher reported from Sacramento and Washington; Partlow from Brazil; and Jordan from Colombia. Julie Tate in Washington and Anna Kaiser in Brazil contributed to this report.
Read more stories about the Zika virus: 
Zika prompts urgent debate about abortion in Latin America
Venezuela faces ‘worst-case scenario’ as Zika outbreak expands
What’s really scary about the Zika virus are the things we don’t know
Why Zika is ‘much more insidious, cunning and evil’ than Ebola
Read our full coverage on the Zika virus
Marc Fisher, a senior editor, writes about most anything. He’s been The Post’s enterprise editor, local columnist and Berlin bureau chief, and he’s covered politics, education, pop culture, and much else in three decades on the Metro, Style, National and Foreign desks.
Joshua Partlow is The Post’s bureau chief in Mexico. He has served previously as the bureau chief in Kabul and as a correspondent in Brazil and Iraq.
Mary Jordan is a national correspondent for the Washington Post covering the 2016 presidential campaign. She served as the co-bureau chief of the Post’s London, Mexico and Tokyo bureaus, and was the head of content of Washington Post Live, which organizes forums and debates.

Debate sobre o Free Trade nos EUA: esclarecendo posicoes -

Eu havia reagido (https://www.facebook.com/paulobooks/posts/1115225561874226), dias atrás, à carta de um leitor, pinçada na internet, questionando a validade do livre comércio do ponto de vista dos trabalhadores, mas não havia ainda lido o artigo original sobre essa questão, que me havia escapado. Agora leio o artigo e posto aqui, junto com minhas observacões feitas antes e depois de ter postado no Facebook.
Vejamos o que diz o artigo, e, depois, eu agrego meus comentários que foram feitos, é preciso dizer, PREVIAMENTE à leitura deste artigo, e baseado apenas num comentário de leitor.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

What Americans really think about free trade

For decades, the benefits of free trade have been something that both political parties have agreed on. Eliminating tariffs, proponents said, would reduce the cost of goods for U.S. consumers and put more people to work in exporting industries.
Recently, though, some economists have concluded that the costs of free trade have been greater than expected, and both Democratic candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump have run successful presidential primary campaigns on protectionist platforms. Many of their supporters are now rejecting more than half a century of bipartisan economic consensus.
Outside of Sanders's and Trump's coalitions, however, there is little evidence of a broad reaction against free trade. Americans are deeply conflicted about the issue, as shown in two recent polls that came to opposite conclusions about public opinion on free trade.
One was a Gallup poll published last month, which found that a majority of Americans — 58 percent — see foreign trade as an economic opportunity. Just 33 percent said foreign trade was an economic threat. The share of respondents who are optimistic about trade has increased since the financial crisis. Perhaps as Americans are seeing the country as more economically secure, they've become less worried about competition from abroad.
Seven years ago, at the beginning of 2009, just 44 percent of those polled said that trade presented an opportunity. Among Democrats — who are more optimistic about the state of the economy under President Obama — the number seeing economic opportunity in trade increased even more sharply, from 43 percent in 2009 to 63 percent today. The figure among Republicans shifted from 45 percent to 50 percent.
That finding — overall optimism about trade, with partisan divisions — contrasted with the conclusion of a poll published Thursday by Bloomberg. "Opposition to free trade is a unifying concept even in a deeply divided electorate," the authors wrote.
Some of the Bloomberg poll's more striking findings seem to suggest a deep skepticism of international economic exchange. For example, Americans are overwhelmingly resistant to the idea of foreign ownership of factories on U.S. soil. Sixty-eight percent said they'd prefer a domestically owned factory in their communities to a Chinese-owned plant offering twice as many jobs.
Likewise, nearly two-thirds said that there should be more restrictions on imported goods, and 82 percent said they'd be willing to pay "a little more" for domestically produced goods in order to protect domestic workers from foreign competition.
These contrasting results show that Americans see both sides of the debate over trade. They also suggest that politicians can win over voters by focusing on either the costs or the benefits, Frank Newport, the editor in chief at Gallup, said in an interview.
"Americans are very much looking for guidance" on complex economic issues, he said. "You can shift people one way or the other. They’re open to argument."
For example, Newport noted, the Bloomberg poll asked about restrictions on imports, but not on exports, which would mean fewer opportunities for U.S. workers. Americans even have different feelings about imports depending on the industry. They are comfortable with the idea of imported electronics but want to protect American agriculture, Gallup has found.
A Pew poll last year revealed even more contradictions. Respondents were more likely to say that free trade had helped their families' finances than that free trade had made them worse off. When asked about the economy in general, though, they were more negative. The poll found that Americans were equally divided on the question of whether free trade improved economic growth, and much less likely to say that trade created opportunities for employment than that it reduced wages and put Americans out of work.
Previously, economists had argued that workers displaced because of competition with manufacturers overseas would quickly find work in other sectors. That hasn't happened, wrote economists David Autor, David Dorn and Gordon Hanson in a paper earlier this year. The costs of trade in the labor market have been higher than predicted, and they've been concentrated in particular sectors and regions of the country.
Those consequences for particular groups aren't clearly reflected in the overall polling data. As Newport said, there are some people in both parties who vehemently oppose trade, maybe because they have been affected by globalization themselves. Those are the groups that Trump and Sanders hope will help mobilize their campaigns.
These candidates might be able to win over some voters if they can focus on how competition from imports has negatively affected those workers, Newport said. "Jobs," he added, is "a magic word."
"There are a few words out there that Americans react very strongly to," he said. "They're willing to sanction almost anything to bring in more jobs."
Max Ehrenfreund writes for Wonkblog and compiles Wonkbook, a daily policy newsletter. You can subscribe here. Before joining The Washington Post, Ehrenfreund wrote for the Washington Monthly and The Sacramento Bee.
 
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Meus comentários (PRA) feitos previamente à leitura deste artigo:
(https://www.facebook.com/paulobooks/posts/1115225561874226

Livre comércio só interessa às corporações?

Sou um leitor compulsivo, doentio. Leio não apenas as matérias objetivas -- os "reports", como se diz na linguagem do jornalismo americano, que se distinguem das "analysis", quando o jornalista elabora sobre a matéria -- como também os artigos de opinião, que por vezes contém dados ou argumentos que não estão nos dois primeiros. Mas leio também, por incrível que pareça, cartas de leitores e reações virtuais nas colunas de opinião, que são reveladoras do que vai pela cabeça do público em geral, que é um pouco a opinião da média da população (claro, tem muito ativista de causas determinadas, mas eu sei distinguir isso também).
Pois, o que encontro na minha versão eletrônica do Washington Post? Esta diatribe de um leitor contra um artigo anterior que eu não li (mas isso não importa muito, pois importa a tese):

"Free trade is a myth; all we have is managed trade. The question is for whom? In practice, only corporations benefit. Why not workers also?" -- Bruce Bartlett

Concordo inteiramente com o leitor em que não existe Free Trade, apenas Managed Trade, uma espécie de mercantilismo bem comportado, supervisionado de forma muito ineficiente por essa tia gorda (quase 170 membros) e complacente que se chama OMC.
Mas a pergunta dele é absolutamente equivocada: seja free, seja managed, o trade é para consumidores, e para empresas que se abastecem no mercado, ou seja, não é, nunca foi, um jogo de soma zero como sua última afirmação tenta fazer crer.
Não são apenas as corporações que se benficiam do comércio livre. Se esse comércio não fosse livre, esse leitor, Bruce Bartlett, nunca poderia comprar o seu microondas por apenas 80 dólares; se fosse fabricado nos EUA, ou na Europa, não saíria por menos de 180 ou 200 dólares. Não sei se vou convencê-lo, mas as pessoas precisam tomar consciência que, independentemente das formas mais ou menos liberais que regulam o comércio internacional, ele sempre se faz, em última instância, em benefício dos consumidores. No meio, as corporações lucram, o que é óbvio, mas o que pretende esse leitor? Mágica? Ele quer um microondas a 80 dólares feito no seu Arkansas natal? Esqueça...

Addendum: Agrego o que acabo de postar num debate com um amigo de velhas negociações comerciais:
"... eu acho que os grandes problemas, as maiores alienações dos tecnoburocratas como nós (e eu me incluo nessa tropa) é sempre olhar a realidade pela ótica dos nossos materiais privilegiados: relatórios e informações de outros burocratas, documentos de organizações internacionais e livros e artigos de acadêmicos. Isso é uma distorção. O mundo lá fora, o das grandes corporações, das empresas, das pessoas, está se movimentando, e o que quer que façam os governos, estes vão ter em algum momento de se adaptar aos movimentos reais das economias de mercado."

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Depois, sustentei um debate na sequência desta postagem no Facebook, que transcrevo aqui porque ele é instrutivo para todos: 

Marcos Fernandes Não, a todos.....mas que mal faz se sim!? Cadeia de valor diversificada regionalmente...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida
Paulo Roberto de Almeida Sim, qual é o problema das cadeias de valor diversificadas regionalmente? Você pode me indicar qual é, exatamente, o problema? Existe um complô de forças poderosas contra os interesses dos consumidores? Me explique isso direitinho...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida
Write a reply...

Thiago D'Ávila
Thiago D'Ávila Paulo Roberto de Almeida, só um detalhe: o comentarista da notícia não falava em consumidores. A pergunta dele foi outra: "Why not workers also?" Ele está perguntando sobre workers...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida
Paulo Roberto de Almeida O que são trabalhadores, Thiago D'Ávila, se não consumidores? Vc já se deu conta que seus salários de mercado valem muito mais, compram muito mais graças ao livre comércio? Ou vc acha que sobraria muita coisa se eles tivessem de comprar aqueles enormes televisores made in America?
 Thiago D'Ávila Bem, aí teremos uma infinidade de assuntos interligados. Primeiro, nem todo consumidor é trabalhador (gente rica que não trabalha, criança, idoso aposentado, adulto desempregado, doentes, etc). Trabalhador é uma categoria e consumidor é outra, ainda que em Economia ocorram interligações na análise. Segundo, consumidor beneficiado com baixo preço nem de longe significa trabalhador beneficiado. Se você compra, a preço de banana, uma camisa feita por trabalhador escravo na Ásia, você é um consumidor beneficiado por um trabalhador claramente prejudicado. A pergunta dele é sobre WORKERS. Ele está claramente falando em benefícios trabalhistas.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida
Paulo Roberto de Almeida Acho que vc ainda não pegou o espírito da coisa Thiago D'Ávila: o trabalhador asiático que você diz ser "prejudicado" (em quê, exatamente?, explique) estaria em muito pior situação se não fosse pelo livre comércio, já pensou nisso? Gente rica que não trabalha, doentes, desempregados, etc, estariam EM MUITO PIOR SITUAÇÃO se não fosse pelo livre comércio. É muito difícil entender isto? Benefícios trabalhistas são uma convenção social, um contrato, uma regra; não tem nada a ver com livre comércio, que é, sempre foi, sempre será infinitamente melhor que todas as situações de mercantilismo, de comércio administrado, de restrições. Acho que qualquer pessoa medianamente aberta aos fenômenos de mercado pode perceber isso, não é?
Thiago D'Ávila
Thiago D'Ávila Paulo Roberto de Almeida, ok. Essas são as ideias nas quais vc acredita. Essas podem ser até as ideias comprováveis empiricamente. Essas podem ser as tão buscadas verdades universais.

O que eu estou apontando, pura e simplesmente, é que o comentaris
ta a quem você critica (ELE) está insinuando que o livre mercado não existe de fato (afirmação com a qual você inclusive concordou acima) e ELE está perguntando em relação a benefícios para trabalhadores, não a consumidores. EU estou dizendo apenas e tão somente que trabalhadores e consumidores são categorias distintas.EU não estou dizendo que livre mercado não possa trazer benefícios a trabalhadores e consumidores.

Isto tudo esclarecido, VOCÊ no fundo concorda com o comentarista a quem crítica, porque assim como ELE, você está dizendo que livre mercado não existe de fato, a situação real (de NÃO livre mercado apenas beneficia algumas empresas). E eu ouso supor que você também concorda com ele de que a atual situação (de NÃO livre mercado) prejudica trabalhadores.

Por fim, EU estou dizendo que sua crítica está errada (porque no fundo você concorda com ele), não a sua ideia.
Esse é o espírito da coisa. smile emoticon
Paulo Roberto de Almeida Meu caro Thiago D'Ávila, desculpe o atraso, mas volto a este debate importante. Acho que você ainda não capturou minha posição, mas independependente da minha posição, você não capturou o espírito da coisa que anda, ou seja, o princípio do livre comércio. Se eu estou concordando com o comentarista de que o livro comércio não existe, isso NÃO QUER DIZER que ele não seja possível, ou que ele é IMPOSSÍVEL. Basta que um país, unilateralmente (como aliás já fez a Inglaterra em 1846, até o início do século XX) decrete o livre comércio para si, para que ele comece a existir na prática. Ou que algum dia ele seja implementado como regra universal (o que ainda está longe), e que restrições, tarifas, normas e outras barreiras sejam a exceção, não a regra. A humanidade estará muito melhor, como estaria se a Declaração Universal dos DIREITOS DO HOMEM fosse implementada na prática, efetivamente (mas ela é NORMA UNIVERSAL, e EXISTE, e os países que se desviam dela são DESVIANTES, não a norma escrita ou não escrita, como é o mercantilismo atual do sistema multilateral de comércio, Gatt-OMC). Não é o livre comércio que prejudica trabalhadores, pois ele apenas desemprega setorialmente ALGUNS trabalhadores, beneficiando TODOS OS DEMAIS, como consumidores e como trabalhadores (e são categorias distintas apenas na teoria, pois na prática são exatamente as mesmas pessoas), pois o NÃO LIVRE COMÉRCIO prejudicará aqueles trabalhadores temporariamente protegidos, pois o setor, o ramo industrial, o país ficará isolado das pressões competitivas do resto mundo e DIMINUIRÁ A RENDA de todos os seus habitantes, não apenas os trabalhadores de um ou outro setor.