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quinta-feira, 12 de dezembro de 2024

Guerra de agressão da Rússia contra a Ucrânia: situação em 11/12/2024 - CDS

 Guerra de agressão da Rússia contra a Ucrânia: situação em 11/12/2024:


A situação nas frentes de batalha do Donbas ucraniano se complicam para as Forças de defesa da Ucrânia, segundo leio no boletim do CDS desta quarta 11/12/2024:

"Approximately 150,000 Russian military personnel operate on the Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, and Vremivka directions, including over 70,000 on the Pokrovsk direction, 35,000-36,000 on the Kurakhove direction, and more than 40,000 on the Vremivka direction. (...)
If the enemy advances to the area where the Vovcha and Solona rivers converge near Dachne from the north, the position of Ukrainian Defense Forces units in Kurakhove will become critically complicated unless they manage to retreat in time. In the southern part of the Kurakhove bridgehead, Ukrainian Defense Forces units will soon have to abandon Hannivka and Uspenivka to avoid encirclement and retreat in a northwesterly direction.
On the Vremivka direction, intense battles for Velyka Novosilka are expected to unfold soon, as the enemy's future ability to organize and carry out a further offensive toward Rozlyv and Bahatyr, as well as to conduct a deep flanking maneuver against the Ukrainian Defense Forces' grouping from the south, depends on it. (...)
By the end of the current year, the enemy will not succeed in seizing the "belt of fortresses" Kostyantynivka – Druzhkivka – Kramatorsk – Sloviansk or occupying Donetsk Oblast. The upcoming battle for Pokrovsk will mark the apex of the enemy’s offensive operation in the Southwestern Theater of Operations in 2024.
The enemy's military command in the theater of operations until March 2025 will be creating conditions to achieve the military-political goal of the “Special Military Operation”: reaching the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts and the junction of Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Donetsk Oblasts near the village of Temyrivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 11.12.24

Personnel - almost 757,340 (+1,400);
Tanks 9,526 (+2);
Armored combat vehicles – 19,616 (+20);
Artillery systems – 21,067(+3);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 31,073 (+36);
UAV operational and tactical level – 20,111 (+4).

Centre for Defence Strategies (CDS) is a Ukrainian security think tank.

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