sábado, 1 de dezembro de 2018

O relatório secreto de Krushev contra Stalin: como ele veio a publico - John Rettie (The Observer)

Um dos jornalistas que revelou o relatório secreto de Krushev, no XX Congresso do PCUS, que denunciou os crimes de Stalin, relata aqui a atmosfera e o contexto no qual, numa União Soviética ainda basicamente stalinista, ele, e alguns outros jornalistas ocidentais, conseguiram trazer ao público ocidental o conteúdo quase completo do famoso relatório feito em sessão especial desse congresso, e que não deveria ser revelado para não causar comoções (como causou, na Polônia e sobretudo na Hungria) e retirar legitimidade ao movimento comunista internacional. Os maoístas nunca perdoaram aos soviéticos essa "traição", pois isso seria condenar igualmente os crimes de Mao Tsé-tung. O próprio PCB não ficou imune ao relatório, e vários comunistas brasileiros começaram a dissentir da liderança semi-stalinista de Luiz Carlos Prestes, alguns para a "direita" – ou para a liberdade, simplesmente –, outros para a esquerda, como os "maoístas" do PCdoB.
O universo comunista nunca mais seria o mesmo...
Paulo Roberto de Almeida
Brasília, 1 de dezembro de 2018


The secret speech that changed world history



Fifty years ago Nikita Khrushchev shocked the Soviet Union by denouncing Stalin in a special address to Communist party comrades. The text, detailing the dictator's crimes, was smuggled out of Moscow and later published in full in The Observer. John Rettie recalls his part in the mission and reflects on a pivotal episode of the 20th century.

The sublime strains of Sibelius echoed off the walls of my Moscow flat as Kostya Orlov unfolded Nikita Khrushchev's grim tale of the obscene crimes committed by his predecessor, Josef Stalin. It was an evening half a century ago, a week or so after Khrushchev had denounced the horrors of Stalin's rule to a secret session of the Soviet Communist Party's 20th Congress.
That was only three years after the death of Stalin, mourned by the great majority of Soviet citizens, who saw him as a divine father. So soon afterwards, here was their new leader telling them they had made a cataclysmic error: far from divine, Stalin was satanic. The leaders who inherited the party from the old dictator agreed that Khrushchev should make the speech only after months of furious argument - and subject to the compromise that it should never be published.
Its consequences, by no means fully foreseen by Khrushchev, shook the Soviet Union to the core, but even more so its communist allies, notably in central Europe. Forces were unleashed that eventually changed the course of history. But at the time, the impact on the delegates was more immediate. Soviet sources now say some were so convulsed as they listened that they suffered heart attacks; others committed suicide afterwards.
But when Kostya Orlov, a Russian contact I now suspect was working for the KGB, phoned me that evening in early March 1956, I knew little of all this. For the 10 days of the congress, the handful of Western correspondents in Moscow had read speeches that roundly condemned 'the cult of personality', a well-understood code meaning Stalin. The party's Central Committee building hummed with activity on the night of 24 February, its windows blazing with light well into the small hours. But why, we wondered, was this going on after the congress had formally closed? It was only years afterwards that it became clear that the party leadership was still arguing about the text of the speech to be made by Khrushchev the next morning to a secret session of party delegates.
In the next few days diplomats of central European communist states began to whisper that Khrushchev had denounced Stalin at a secret session. No details were forthcoming. I was working as the second Reuters correspondent in Moscow to Sidney Weiland, who - more for form's sake than anything - tried to cable a brief report of this bald fact to London. As expected, the censors suppressed it.
Then, the evening before I was due to go on holiday to Stockholm, Orlov telephoned to say: 'I've got to see you before you go.' Hearing the urgency in his voice, I told him to come round at once. As soon as he said why he had come, I deemed it wise to confuse the microphones we all thought we had in our walls by putting on the loudest record I had. So, through soaring trombones, Orlov gave me a detailed account of Khrushchev's indictment: that Stalin was a tyrant, a murderer and torturer of party members.
Orlov had no notes, far less a text of the speech. He told me that the party throughout the Soviet Union heard of it at special meetings of members in factories, farms, offices and universities, when it was read to them once, but only once. At such meetings in Georgia, where Stalin was born, members were outraged at the denigration by a Russian of their own national hero. Some people were killed in the ensuing riots and, according to Orlov, trains arrived in Moscow from Tbilisi with their windows smashed.
But could I believe him? His story fitted in with what little we knew, but the details he had given me were so breathtaking as to be scarcely credible. It is easy now to think that everyone knew Stalin was a tyrant, but at that time only an unlucky minority in the USSR believed it. And to accept that Khrushchev had spoken of this openly, if not exactly publicly, seemed to need some corroboration - and that was not available.
There was another problem, too. 'If you don't get this out, you're govno [shit],' he told me. That sounded like a clear challenge to break the censorship - something no journalist had done since the 1930s, when Western correspondents would often fly to Riga, capital of the still independent Latvia, to file their stories and return unscathed to Moscow. But Stalin had ruled with increasing severity for two more decades since then, and no one would have risked it in the 1950s.
Feeling unable to resolve this problem on my own, I called Weiland and arranged to meet him in the centre of town. It was intensely cold, but we stayed outside where there were no microphones. Thick snow lay on the ground but we tramped through it, pausing only now and then for me to consult my notes under the streetlamps. We noted that Orlov had often given me scraps of information that had always proved correct, though not of major importance. His story fitted with the limited reports circulating in the Western community. And we noted that a temporary New York Times correspondent was leaving the next day and would certainly write about these reports. So we could be beaten on our own, far better, story. We decided we had to believe Orlov.
Next morning, I flew to Stockholm from where I called Reuters' news editor in London. My name, I insisted, must not appear on either story, and they should both have datelines other than Moscow: I did not want to be accused of violating the censorship on my return to Moscow. Then, after several hours writing up my notes, I dictated the two stories over the telephone to the Reuters copytaker. Still nervously determined to conceal my identity, I assumed a ridiculous American accent. The ploy failed dismally. 'Thank you, John,' he signed off cheerfully.
Back in Moscow, everything continued as before. During that summer of 1956, Khrushchev's thaw blossomed and Muscovites relaxed a little more. But in central Europe the impact of the speech was growing. By autumn Poland was ready to explode and in Hungary an anti-communist revolution overthrew the Stalinist party and government, replacing them with the short-lived reformist Imre Nagy.
In Moscow, the Soviet leaders were thrown into turmoil. For six weeks not one appeared at any diplomatic function. When they reappeared they looked haggard and older. This was especially true of Anastas Mikoyan, Khrushchev's right-hand man, who had constantly urged him on to greater reforms. According to his son, Sergo, that was because Mikoyan had spent long days in Budapest desperately trying to save the Nagy regime, without success. In the end, the diehard conservatives won the argument, insisting that for security reasons the USSR could not let a neighbouring country leave the Warsaw Pact. Khrushchev and Mikoyan reluctantly agreed it should be crushed .
In the West, the impact of the speech received a colossal boost from the publication of the full, albeit sanitised, text in The Observer and the New York Times. This was the first time the full text had been available for public scrutiny anywhere in the world. Even local party secretaries who read it to members had to return their texts within 36 hours. (Those texts were also sanitised, omitting two incidents in the speech that Orlov related to me.)
According to William Taubman, in his masterly biography of Khrushchev, the full text leaked out through Poland where, like other central European communist allies, Moscow had sent an edited copy for distribution to the Polish party. In Warsaw, he said, printers took it upon themselves to print many thousand more copies than were authorised, and one fell into the hands of Israeli intelligence, who passed it to the CIA in April. Some weeks later the CIA gave it to the New York Times and, apparently, to The Observer's distinguished Kremlinologist, Edward Crankshaw.
Exactly how he obtained it is not recorded. But on Thursday, 7 June, at a small editorial lunch traditionally held every week in the Waldorf Hotel, Crankshaw 'modestly mentioned that he had obtained complete transcripts of Khrushchev's speech', according to Kenneth Obank, the managing editor. The meeting was galvanised. Such a scoop could not be passed over and, with strong support from David Astor, the editor, as well as Obank, it was agreed that the full 26,000 words must be published in the following Sunday's paper.
This was a heroic decision bordering, it seemed, on folly. In those days everything had to be set in hot metal to be made up into pages. By that Thursday, according to Obank, 'half the paper had been set, corrected and was being made up. Worse, we found that we would have to hold out almost all the regular features - book reviews, arts, fashion, bridge, chess, leader-page articles, the lot. The Khrushchev copy, page by page, began flowing. As we began making up pages, it became clear that still more space would be needed, so we gulped and turned to the sacred cows - the advertisements.' Seven precious columns of advertising had to be discarded. An endless number of headlines, sub-headings, cross-heads and captions had to be written as the copy wound its way through the paper.
But the gamble paid off. Reader response was enthusiastic. One said: 'Sir, I am just a chargehand in a factory, hardly a place where you might expect The Observer to have a large circulation. But my copy of the Khrushchev edition has been going from hand to hand and from shop to shop in the administration offices, transport etc. I was quite amazed at the serious interest shown as a result of the very minute examination of the speech.'
The paper sold out and had to be reprinted. That, surely, was justification for the extraordinary decision to print the full text at three days' notice. 'Minute examination' greatly contributed to the thinking that eventually gave birth to reformist 'Euro-communism'.
Khrushchev was clearly shaken by developments. His opponents gained strength, and in May 1957 came within an ace of ousting him. When a majority in the Presidium of the Central Committee (the Politburo) voted to depose him, only his swift action to convene a full Central Committee meeting gave him a majority. It was his opponents, notably the veteran Vyacheslav Molotov and Lazar Kaganovich, who were deposed.
But seven years later the conservatives did succeed in ousting him. Twenty years of Leonid Brezhnev followed, during which the clock was turned back, if not to full-scale Stalinism, at least part of the way. But there were Communists who never forgot Khrushchev, and in particular his 'secret speech'. One was Mikhail Gorbachev, who had been a student at Moscow University in 1956. When he came to power in 1985 he was determined to carry on Khrushchev's work in reforming the Soviet Union and opening it to the rest of the world. More than once he publicly praised his predecessor for his courage in making the speech and pursuing the process of de-Stalinisation.
Some may doubt that Stalin's Soviet Union could ever have been reformed, but Khrushchev was not among them - and neither, indeed, was Gorbachev. But after two decades of decay under Brezhnev, even he could not hold the country together. It can well be argued that the 'secret speech' was the century's most momentous, planting the seed that eventually caused the demise of the USSR.
What Muscovites think about Khrushchev now
Marina Okrugina, 95, former Gulag prisoner
'I was born in Siberia in 1910. My father had been exiled there in Tsarist times after killing a Cossack who attacked a workers' demonstration that he was taking part in. In 1941 I was working in Mongolia as a typist for a group of Soviet journalists. They were producing a newspaper to be distributed in Manchuria with the hope of making the Chinese sympathetic to us. But the censor decided it was a "provocation". We were all arrested and sent to the Gulag. When the war started the men were sent to the front and I was left behind. I spent eight years in the camps. In 1945 I got word that my two sons had died in the Leningrad blockade and my husband had perished fighting in Smolensk. I was released in 1949, but not allowed to live in the 39 biggest cities in the Soviet Union. I stayed in the Far East and had to report to the police every week. I had no life. My only friends were former inmates. When Stalin died in 1953 we closed the door tight and danced with joy. Finally, in 1956, a few months after Khrushchev's speech, I was fully rehabilitated. My life changed. I could travel. I got a decent job and pension. We former prisoners were very thankful for Khrushchev's bravery.'
Dima Bykov, young intellectual
'Stalin couldn't do anything without fear, a loathsome dictator. Khrushchev was more a dictator of stupidities. My attitude to him is rather sympathetic and warm. He returned life to millions of people. But in reality it was a very bad freedom under Khrushchev. Only people like the Soviets who had had the horrifying experience of dictatorship for 30 years could have been happy with the thaw. Khrushchev squandered his chance. No one knew where the country was going. There were placards everywhere with Lenin saying: "Take the right road, comrades!" But in which direction?'
Fyodor Velikanov, 21, student
'Stalin wasn't all bad. He possessed decisiveness. He was strict and efficient, and he could make quick decisions, even if they weren't always the right ones. It's very difficult for me to evaluate what life was like under Stalin. I only know it from books and what my relatives told me. What do I know about Khrushchev? Well, he was famous for doing impulsive things like wanting to plant maize everywhere. And the time he banged his shoe on the table [at the UN in 1960]. Some people say that President Vladimir Putin is a dictator, but I think it's incorrect. Although there were a few good characteristics which Stalin had that Putin also has.'
Nikita Khrushchev, 45, journalist, grandson of the Soviet leader
'Grandpa was a kind man, but very demanding. When he retired he asked me to help to repaint a greenhouse at his dacha in Petrovo Dalnee. Afterwards, he checked every detail to show me where I had painted badly. Of course, he participated in the repressions, but the fact that he dared expose Stalin was courageous. Half his speech was improvised - he was sharing his own recollections. He believed in the inevitable failure of capitalism. Someone described him as the "last romantic of communism" and I agree with that.'
Professor Oksana Gaman-Golutvina, expert on Russian elites
'By the time Khrushchev came to power, the country was tired of fear. He understood this. And he had a sincere aspiration to ease the pain of the people. Before his speech in 1956 there was already a consensus for change among the elite. The people themselves could not be the engine of change because they were struggling for survival. But despite his speech Khrushchev was a child of Stalin. He had a similar mindset: there are two opinions in the world, mine and the wrong one. His absurd agricultural projects and his foreign policy gaffes meant the country got no peace.'
Interviews by Tom Parfitt

GSI (Casa Militar da PR): 80 anos de serviços ao Estado - General S. Etchegoyen

Aos 80 anos, conquistas e desafios do GSI - artigo do General Etchegoyen no Estadão

O atual chefe do Gabinete de Segurança Institucional, general Sergio Etchegoyen, comemora os 80 anos de criação formal da Casa Militar da Presidência da República, base do atual GSI, como uma história de êxito na defesa da presidência da República e da segurança do Estado. Cabe sempre analisar com frieza e isenção as diversas fases dessa instituição central no processo decisório em grau máximo do Estado brasileiro, e eu faria uma avaliação muito circunstanciada da atuação dessa agência, e de seu órgão subordinado, a ABIN, na fase desastrosa do lulopetismo em nosso país, quando essas instituições foram INCAPAZES de prevenir o Estado contra ataques ao seu patrimônio e funcionamento por parte de milícias organizadas, como o MST e acólitos do mesmo gênero, numa grande conivência, senão cumplicidade, por parte dos próprios chefes de Estado, durante o período em que uma organização criminosa ocupou o Estado e comandou aos destinos do país. Onde estava o GSI durante essa época, o que faziam os seus dirigentes, o que informavam os seus agentes de inteligência? Ainda espero respostas.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida


Sérgio Westphalen Etchegoyen, O Estado de S.Paulo 
01 Dezembro 2018 
Neste 1.º de dezembro, o Gabinete de Segurança Institucional (GSI) completa 80 anos de bons serviços prestados ao Brasil. A história do órgão é o resultado da longa maturação, através das décadas, de uma ideia tão simples quanto intuitiva: a de que o chefe de Estado, num país da complexidade e das dimensões do Brasil, não pode prescindir de assessoria pessoal e direta em questões atinentes à segurança nacional.  
Esse foi o raciocínio que inspirou o Decreto-Lei n.º 920, de 1.º de dezembro de 1938, que bipartiu a estrutura da Presidência da República num Gabinete Civil e um Gabinete Militar. Dentre as funções herdadas pelo segundo estava a de coordenar os trabalhos do Conselho de Segurança Nacional, órgão que havia sido criado em 1927 para o “estudo e coordenação de informações sobre todas as questões de ordem financeira, econômica, bélica e moral relativas à defesa da Pátria”. 
Outra atribuição por excelência do Gabinete Militar, ainda hoje desempenhada pelo GSI, era a de garantir a segurança do primeiro mandatário. A rigor, esse trabalho já vinha sendo desempenhado por um Estado-Maior do presidente da República desde 1891. E nesse labor o coronel Luís Mendes de Morais se tornou herói ao salvar a vida do presidente Prudente de Morais, num atentado perpetrado no cais do Porto do Rio, em 1897. 
Ao longo das décadas, esse Gabinete Militar foi chefiado por brasileiros notáveis, que ajudaram a construir a sua história e a sua cultura institucional. Entrementes, suas funções foram se expandindo ao sabor das necessidades. Em 1946, por exemplo, foi na órbita do Conselho de Segurança Nacional que se estabeleceu um Serviço Federal de Informações e Contrainformações (Sfici), o ancestral mais remoto de nossa Agência Brasileira de Inteligência (Abin). Mais adiante, à medida que se reforçavam a estrutura do conselho e do próprio Gabinete Militar, este assumiu atividades tão variadas quanto dar o “assentimento prévio” a atividades econômicas em “áreas indispensáveis à segurança nacional” ou coordenar a governança de programas estratégicos para o desenvolvimento nacional, como o programa nuclear ou o aeroespacial. 
Após assumir a chefia de Estado, o presidente Michel Temer rapidamente demonstrou subscrever o raciocínio que inspirou a criação do que hoje chamamos GSI. Como deputado constituinte, ele próprio, em 1988, ajudou a assentar o entendimento de que aquele antigo Conselho de Segurança Nacional, agora rebatizado Conselho de Defesa Nacional, tem por objetivo orientar o presidente da República “nos assuntos relacionados com a soberania nacional e a defesa do Estado democrático”. Natural, portanto, que o Gabinete de Segurança Institucional, que continua a coordenar os trabalhos daquele organismo, tivesse de se preparar adequadamente para cumprir as suas funções. 
De lá para cá, os progressos mais notáveis se deram no domínio da inteligência. Em pouco mais de dois anos pudemos iniciar a recomposição do quadro de pessoal da Abin e expandir a sua presença internacional, hoje escorada em 20 adidâncias pelo mundo (vocação natural de uma agência de inteligência de Estado). 
Para além disso, nesse mesmo período a atividade de inteligência experimentou um enorme aperfeiçoamento legal. Com a adoção de uma Política Nacional de Inteligência, em junho de 2016, e dos documentos subsidiários que a complementam, a comunidade de inteligência passou a contar com um referencial normativo muito mais claro sobre que riscos e ameaças deve monitorar na defesa dos valores do próprio Estado democrático. 
Essa foi apenas uma das manifestações da atenção que o atual presidente dispensou às atividades coordenadas pelo GSI. Muito desse zelo se deve ao reconhecimento do patriotismo com que os profissionais do Gabinete de Segurança Institucional o assessoraram na tomada de decisões de Estado. Mas outro tanto se deve à correta percepção de que um país como o Brasil, com a inserção internacional que as suas próprias dimensões lhe impõem, e com os enormes desafios postos à sua segurança e ao seu desenvolvimento, precisa aprimorar continuamente seu processo de reflexão e decisão acerca dos temas mais estratégicos. 
Consideremos temas como o tráfico internacional de drogas e armas, que estão na gênese da insegurança que campeia em todas as regiões do nosso país; pensemos na grave crise política e social vivida por um país vizinho e amigo, caso da Venezuela, e nas repercussões dramáticas que essa situação impôs a uma das regiões mais remotas do nosso país, com o afluxo inaudito de migrantes; levemos em conta a necessária coordenação de ministérios e agências imprescindíveis para que avancemos em nossos programas nuclear ou aeroespacial, em pleno respeito aos nossos compromissos internacionais; tenhamos em mente, por fim, a conveniência de atualização de nosso marco normativo sobre a exploração de recursos estratégicos, tais como o urânio e o nióbio – e concluiremos que o Conselho de Defesa Nacional será cada vez mais um elemento imprescindível no processo decisório de mais alto nível em nosso país. 
Investir-se plenamente dessa função, chamando a si a obrigação de trazer à mesa, regularmente, todos os ministérios e agências competentes, para daí extrair os elementos que ajudarão o chefe de Estado na tomada de decisão, esse é o maior desafio posto à atuação futura do GSI. À luz da experiência acumulada em 80 anos de atuação, e graças aos avanços obtidos nos últimos dois anos, parece claro que o Gabinete de Segurança Institucional está inteiramente capacitado para exercê-la a contento, mantendo em evidência o compromisso expresso no seu lema: “Trabalhar para a garantia da segurança do Estado Brasileiro”. 
*GENERAL DE EXÉRCITO, É DESDE MAIO DE 2016 O MINISTRO-CHEFE DO GABINETE DE SEGURANÇA INSTITUCIONAL DA PRESIDÊNCIA DA REPÚBLICA

Politica externa brasileira em debate: livro Ipea (disponível)

Finalmente foi lançado, na manhã desta sexta feira 30/11, na companhia do meu querido amigo Sérgio Abreu e Lima Florêncio, embaixador brasileiro, o livro feito no âmbito do IPEA, com pesquisadores do Instituto e acadêmicos, depois reorganizado pelo Sérgio, com a colaboração de diplomatas: 

Walter Antonio Desiderá Neto et alii (orgs.):
 Política externa brasileira em debate: dimensões e estratégias de inserção internacional no pós-crise de 2008 
(Brasília: Ipea-Funag, 2018, 626 p.; ISBN: 978-85-7811-334-6; prefácio de Rubens Barbosa)
Livro disponibilizado na plataforma Academia.edu (link: https://www.academia.edu/37887863/Politica_externa_brasileira_em_debate_Ipea-Funag_2018_).

Meu artigo, sob o título “Diplomacia regional brasileira: visão histórica das últimas décadas”, figura entre as pp. 211-233. O texto está disponibilizado em Academia.edu (20/03/2018; link: https://www.academia.edu/s/e843ccb1ba/diplomacia-regional-brasileira-visao-historica-das-ultimas-decadas). 


SUMÁRIO 

APRESENTAÇÃO – Ivan Tiago Machado Oliveira 
PREFÁCIO – Rubens Barbosa
CAPÍTULO 1 – INTRODUÇÃO – Organizadores

PARTE I 
PANORAMA DA POLÍTICA EXTERNA BRASILEIRA NO PÓS-CRISE

CAPÍTULO 2 - A AGENDA DA POLÍTICA EXTERNA BRASILEIRA: UMA VISÃO CRÍTICA - Sérgio Abreu e Lima FlorêncioEdison Benedito da Silva Filho

CAPÍTULO 3 - A AGENDA DA POLÍTICA EXTERNA BRASILEIRA (2008-2015): UMA ANÁLISE PRELIMINAR - Maria Regina Soares de Lima

PARTE II
O BRASIL DIANTE DE NOVOS AGRUPAMENTOS E INSTITUIÇÕES INTERNACIONAIS NO PÓS-CRISE

CAPÍTULO 4 – O LEGISLATIVO E A POLÍTICA EXTERNA BRASILEIRA DE 2008 A 2015 – Pedro Feliú Ribeiro

CAPÍTULO 5 – A ECONOMIA POLÍTICA DA POLÍTICA COMERCIAL BRASILEIRA – Pedro Motta Veiga e Sandra Polónia Rios

CAPÍTULO 6 – O BRASIL E A OMC (2008-2015) - Rogério de Souza Farias

CAPÍTULO 7 – O BRASIL E O G-20 (2008-2015) - José Gilberto Scandiucci Filho

CAPÍTULO 8 – O BRICS: DESAFIOS PARA O BRASIL -Renato Baumann

CAPÍTULO 9 – A OCDE: PONTO DE INFLEXÃO NA POLÍTICA EXTERNA BRASILEIRA – Anamélia Soccal Seyffarth e Sérgio Abreu e Lima Florêncio

PARTE III
REGIONALISMO E PARCEIROS GLOBAIS DO BRASIL NO PÓS-CRISE

CAPÍTULO 10 – DIPLOMACIA REGIONAL BRASILEIRA: VISÃO HISTÓRICA DAS ÚLTIMAS DÉCADAS - Paulo Roberto Almeida

CAPÍTULO 11 – AS RELAÇÕES COM A AMÉRICA DO SUL (2008-2015) - Haroldo Ramanzini Júnior e Marcelo Passini Mariano

CAPÍTULO 12 – AS RELAÇÕES COM A UNIÃO EUROPEIA (2008-2015) – Miriam Gomes Saraiva

CAPÍTULO 13 – AS RELAÇÕES COM OS ESTADOS UNIDOS (2008-2015) - Cristina Soreanu Pecequilo
CAPÍTULO 14 – AS RELAÇÕES SUL-SUL (2008-2015) - Walter Antonio Desiderá Neto e Diana Tussie
CAPÍTULO 15 – AS RELAÇÕES COM A CHINA NO NOVO CONTEXTO GEOPOLÍTICO MUNDIAL – Luis Augusto Castro Neves

CAPÍTULO 16 -A NOVA ESTRATÉGIA DE PROJEÇÃO GEOECONÔMICA CHINESA E A ECONOMIA BRASILEIRA - André Luís Forti Scherer
CAPÍTULO 17 – AS RELAÇÕES COM A ÁFRICA (2008-2015) - Gladys Lechini

PARTE IV
O BRASIL E A AGENDA MULTILATERAL NO PÓS-CRISE


CAPÍTULO 18 – MEIO AMBIENTE E MUDANÇAS CLIMÁTICAS (2008-2015) - Helena Margarido Moreira

CAPÍTULO 19 – DIREITOS HUMANOS (2008-2015) - Par Engstrom e Guilherme France

CAPÍTULO 20 – SEGURANÇA INTERNACIONAL (2008-2015) - Alcides Costa Vaz

CAPÍTULO 21 - PARCERIAS ESTRATÉGICAS NA AGENDA TECNOLÓGICA DE DEFESA: O CASO BRASIL-SUÉCIA - Israel Oliveira de Andrade e Raphael Camargo Lima

CAPÍTULO 22 – AS NAÇÕES UNIDAS, O CONSELHO DE SEGURANÇA, A ORDEM MUNDIAL E O BRASIL – Ronaldo Sardenberg

CAPÍTULO 23 - AS OPERAÇÕES DE PAZ DA ONU COMO INSTRUMENTOS DE POLÍTICA EXTERNA DO BRASIL - Israel de Oliveira Andrade e Luiz Gustavo Aversa Franco

CAPÍTULO 24 – A COOPERAÇÃO BRASILEIRA PARA O DESENVOLVIMENTO INTERNACIONAL – João Brígido Bezerra Lima e José Romero Pereira Júnior 

CAPÍTULO 25 – CONSIDERAÇÕES SOBRE OS IMPACTOS DOS OBJETIVOS DE DESENVOLVIMENTO DA ONU NO BRASIL E NO MUNDO - Luis Fernando Lara Resende

sexta-feira, 30 de novembro de 2018

Roberto Campos: livro de Ernesto Lozardo (Topbooks)

JÁ DISPONÍVEL PELO SITE WWW.TOPBOOKS.COM.BR
EM BREVE, NAS LIVRARIAS
ROBERTO CAMPOS foi um dos mais brilhantes e cultos brasileiros do século XX. Mostrou-se incansável na busca de soluções para transformar o Brasil em uma economia capitalista democrática de mercado.
Campos não produziu uma obra acadêmica sobre economia, mas deixou um vasto conhecimento teórico relacionado às políticas de desenvolvimento socioeconômico do Brasil. Este ensaio teve como objetivo organizar os fundamentos do pensamento econômico de Roberto Campos no período mais profícuo da sua atuação como ministro do Planejamento. Ele foi intelectualmente mais sofisticado e culto que os proponentes cepalinos do processo de industrialização nacional.
No seu entender, a industrialização era necessária porém não suficiente para promover a prosperidade econômica. Ela seria exitosa se concebida para competir globalmente. Segundo sua visão, a completude do desenvolvimento equilibrado ocorreria por meio de um conjunto de políticas e medidas institucionais articuladas ao processo de financiamento da expansão tanto da indústria como dos demais setores (o agrícola e os serviços vinculados à industrialização). O financiamento dar-se-ia pelo mercado de capitais, jamais com recursos do Tesouro Nacional, como fez o ex-presidente Juscelino Kubitschek.
Campos manteve no seu ideário as prerrogativas básicas do desenvolvimento socioeconômico, ressaltando as premissas do crescimento sustentável: a qualidade do capital humano e do capital físico, financiamento do crescimento não inflacionário, capitalismo de mercado democrático e eliminação das desigualdades sociais – todos esses propósitos atrelados à segurança da prosperidade. Nesse sentido, ele foi voz única.
Este estudo concentra-se no período mais fértil das realizações de Roberto Campos (1964-66), que possibilitou a exuberância do crescimento acelerado entre 1967 e 1973: feito que nunca mais se repetiu. No capítulo sobre as memórias dos amigos de Roberto Campos, o ex-presidente da República do Brasil, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, enfatiza que, no período em que foram senadores da República, debateram e divergiram muito. Embora se encontrassem em lados opostos ideologicamente, FHC afirma: “Eram outros tempos, mas Campos estava certo”. O ex-secretário de Estado dos Estados Unidos, Henry Kissinger, considerava-o um dos homens mais notáveis que conheceu. O livro traz, ainda, depoimentos de Delfim Netto, João Carlos Martins e Ernane Galvêas, que rememoram seu convívio com o biografado.
Até o fim da vida, Campos se opôs ao autoritarismo dos militares da “linha dura” e ao atraso das políticas xenófobas de desenvolvimento. Sempre manteve a coerência intelectual e o inquebrantável desejo de semear as bases da liberdade democrática e da eficiência da economia de livre mercado. Sua formulação de política de desenvolvimento para o Brasil permanece intacta. Seus ensinamentos são atuais e sua crença no Brasil é inspiradora.

O AUTOR
ERNESTO LOZARDO é administrador e economista, com mestrado em economia pela Columbia University (EUA). Formou-se em administração de empresas na New York University, onde obteve o Bachelor of Science, com honra, e o Master of Business Administration; e, por seu desempenho acadêmico, o prêmio de honra da Honor Society of Alpha Kappa (EUA). Professor de economia na EAESP-FGV desde 1977, dirigiu empresas públicas e privadas. Membro de conselhos de administração e fiscal de empresas, secretário estadual de Planejamento do Estado de São Paulo, foi presidente da Prodesp e preside o IPEA. Autor dos seguintes livros: Globalização: a certeza imprevisível das nações; Derivativos no Brasil: fundamentos e práticas; Déficit Público Brasileiro: política econômica e ajuste estrutural.
OPINIÕES
Roberto Campos foi um dos mais controversos e brilhantes economistas brasileiros. Suas ideias podem ser criticadas ou endossadas, mas jamais ignoradas. A nova biografia de Campos por Ernesto Lozardo traz à tona, de forma pungente, sua rica personalidade como teórico e como formulador de políticas.
Mauro Boianovsky / UnB
A profundidade da pesquisa permite compreender toda a genialidade de Roberto Campos: visão neoliberal do desenvolvimento em contraste com o “estruturalismo” cepalino que dominou a política econômica na América Latina durante muitos anos. Mais do que uma sofisticada biografia, este livro é, na verdade, estudo inédito sobre as transformações econômicas do Brasil no período crítico de 1964-1973. Ele estava, sim, à frente de seu tempo.
Carlos Geraldo Langoni / FGV
Roberto Campos perseguia sempre o rigor intelectual naquilo que fazia, inclusive na vida com a política pública, algo raro ainda hoje. Este belo e oportuno livro joga luz na obra do admirável brasileiro. É leitura obrigatória para os interessados em entender a política do desenvolvimento econômico no Brasil, e para todos aqueles comprometidos com a busca por melhores dias para nosso país.
Jorge Arbache / UnB
Roberto Campos foi um dos mais destacados brasileiros do século XX. Verdadeiro ídolo dos que, como nós, são amantes da liberdade de escolha, foi duramente combatido pelos inimigos do capitalismo. Como economista, diplomata, político e escritor, deixou extraordinárias contribuições a serem seguidas pelas futuras gerações. O livro de Ernesto Lozardo contribui para manter viva a memória desse excepcional brasileiro, o que é mais relevante ainda num país que não costuma dar importância à sua história e aos seus heróis.
Roberto Castello Branco / FGV

quarta-feira, 28 de novembro de 2018

Winston Churchill, by Martin Gilbert

Livros sobre o maior estadista do século XX, talvez de toda a história, o homem que salvou o mundo da maior ameaça totalitária jamais confrontada.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

1
An epic standard in biography, the first volume in the complete and comprehensive life story of one of modern history’s greatest figures. 


The first chapter of Sir Winston Churchill’s eight-volume official biography as told through a rich treasure trove of personal letters. This volume covers the years from Churchill’s birth in 1874 to his return to England from an American lecture tour, on the day of Queen Victoria’s funeral in 1900, in order to embark on his political career. In the opening pages, the account of his birth is presented through letters of his family. The subject comes on the scene with his own words in a letter to his mother, written when he was seven. His later letters, as a child, as a schoolboy at Harrow, as a cadet at Sandhurst, and as a subaltern in India, show the development of his mind and character, his ambition and awakening interests, which were to merge into a genius of our age.

An astounding narrative of a great man coming into his own and the times in which he lived, this portrait is a “milestone, a monument, a magisterial achievement . . . rightly regarded as the most comprehensive life ever written of any age.” (Andrew Roberts, historian and author of The Storm of War) and the “most scholarly study of Churchill in war and peace ever written.” (The New York Times).

2

The magisterial biography one of modern history’s great public figures continues in this second volume of grand scope and revealing intimacy. 

Volume II of this magisterial eight-volume biography takes Churchill’s story from his entry to Parliament in 1901 to the outbreak of war in 1914. When he took his seat in the House of Commons he was twenty-six years old. An independent spirit and rebel, on his maiden speech he was cheered by the Leader of the Opposition.

In the years leading up to the First World War, Churchill was at the center of British political life and change. At the Home Office he introduced substantial prison reforms and took a lead in curbing the powers of the House of Lords. At the Admiralty from 1911 he helped build the Royal Navy into a formidable fighting force. He learned to fly, and founded the Royal Naval Air Service. He was active in attempts to resolve the Irish Question and to prevent civil war in Ireland.

In 1914, as war in Europe loomed, Churchill wrote to his wife from the Admiralty: “The preparations have a hideous fascination for me, yet I would do my best for peace, and nothing would induce me wrongfully to strike the blow. I cannot feel that we in this island are in any serious degree responsible for the wave of madness which has swept the mind of Christendom.”

When war came, the fleet was ready. It was one of Churchill’s many great achievements.

“A milestone, a monument, a magisterial achievement . . . rightly regarded as the most comprehensive life ever written of any age.” —Andrew Roberts, historian and author of The Storm of War

“The most scholarly study of Churchill in war and peace ever written.” —Herbert Mitgang, The New York Times

3

The astounding life and career of one of modern history’s great public figures continues in the third volume of the acclaimed multivolume biography. 

Acclaimed British historian Sir Martin Gilbert continues the official biography of Sir Winston Churchill. This volume contains a full account of Churchill’s initiatives and achievements as wartime First Lord of the Admiralty between August 1914 and May 1915. These include his efforts to prolong the siege of Antwerp, his support for the use of air power, and his part in the early development of the tank. It shows the forcefulness with which he argued for an offensive naval policy, first against Germany, then against Turkey.

Gilbert examines the political crisis of May 1915, during which the Conservative Party forced Asquith to form a coalition government. The Conservatives insisted that Churchill leave the center of war policymaking for a position of increasing political isolation. In the next seven months, while the Gallipoli campaign was being fought, Churchill served as Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, with no authority over military or naval policy.

Resigning from the Cabinet in November 1915, Churchill was appointed Lieutenant-Colonel, commanding an infantry battalion in the trenches of the Western Front. In May 1916, he returned from the trenches, hoping to reenter political life, but his repeated attempts to regain his once-substantial influence were unsuccessful.

“A milestone, a monument, a magisterial achievement . . . rightly regarded as the most comprehensive life ever written of any age.” —Andrew Roberts, historian and author of The Storm of War

“The most scholarly study of Churchill in war and peace ever written.” —Herbert Mitgang, The New York Times

4


The fourth volume in the official biography—“The most scholarly study of Churchill in war and peace ever written.” (Herbert Mitgang, The New York Times)

Covering the years 1917 to 1922, Martin Gilbert’s fascinating account carefully traces Churchill’s wide-ranging activities and shows how, by his persuasive oratory, administrative skill, and masterful contributions to Cabinet discussions, Churchill regained, only a few years after the disaster of the Dardanelles, a leading position in British political life.

There are many dramatic and controversial episodes: the German breakthrough on the Western Front in March 1918, the anti-Bolshevik intervention in 1919, negotiating the Irish Treaty, consolidating the Jewish National Home in Palestine, and the Chanak crisis with Turkey. In all these, and many other events, Churchill’s leading role is explained and illuminated in Martin Gilbert’s precise, masterful style.

In a moving final chapter, covering a period when Churchill was without a seat in Parliament for the first time since 1900, Martin Gilbert brilliantly draws together the many strands of a time in Churchill’s life when his political triumphs were overshadowed by personal sorrows, by his increasingly somber reflections on the backward march of nations and society, and by his stark forecasts of dangers to come.

“A milestone, a monument, a magisterial achievement . . . Rightly regarded as the most comprehensive life ever written of any age.” —Andrew Roberts, historian and author of The Storm of War

5

One of history’s greatest public figures rises to the occasion, delivering much needed leadership to a nation on the brink of war. 

The fifth volume of the acclaimed biographical masterpiece opens with Churchill’s return to Conservatism and to the Cabinet in 1924 and unfolds into a vivid and intimate picture both of his public life and of his private world at Chartwell between the wars.

Gilbert strips away decades of accumulated myth and innuendo, showing Churchill’s true position on India, his precise role (and private thoughts) during the abdication of Edward VIII, his attitude toward Mussolini, and his profound fears for the future of European democracy. Even before Hitler came to power in Germany, Churchill saw in full the dangers of a Nazi victory. And despite the unpopularity of his views in official circles, for six years he persevered in his warnings.

This book reveals for the first time the extent to which senior civil servants, and even serving officers of high rank, came to Churchill with secret information, having despaired at the extent of official lethargy and obstruction. Within the Air Ministry, the Foreign Office, and the Intelligence Services, individuals felt drawn to go to Churchill with full disclosures of Britain’s defense weakness and kept him informed of day-to-day developments from 1934 until the outbreak of war. As war approached, people of all parties and in all walks of life recognized Churchill’s unique qualities and demanded his inclusion in the government, believing that he alone could give a divided nation guidance and inspiration.

“A milestone, a monument, a magisterial achievement . . . rightly regarded as the most comprehensive life ever written of any age.” —Andrew Roberts, historian and author of The Storm of War

“The most scholarly study of Churchill in war and peace ever written.” —Herbert Mitgang, The New York Times

Mistérios do Brasil: uma ficção policial

Texto recebido de um amigo: são dessas coisas feitas por quem não tem mais nada a fazer. A não ser ficar inventando histórias policiais.
Apenas um nome, aqui, chama a atenção: o do Stalin Sem Gulag.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida

Ainda acho que é uma estória de ficção da "Rainha do Crime", Agatha Christie

1. 06/09/2018 – Bolsonaro é esfaqueado em JUIZ DE FORA/MG. De imediato, o bandido passou a ser assessorado pelo escritório do advogado ZANONE DE OLIVEIRA, um dos mais caros de MG;

2. 18/09/2018 – Morre a dona da pensão onde o terrorista que atentou contra Bolsonaro estava hospedado, em JUIZ DE FORA;

3. 17/10/2018 – Um homem foi encontrado morto nessa mesma pensão. Era hóspede e já estava lá havia TRÊS MESES;

4. 19/10/2018 – Um “empresário” de SP vai até JUIZ DE FORA com dólares em espécie, no valor equivalente a 14 milhões de reais. Supostamente, iria fazer uma operação de câmbio na cidade.
(Mas quem, em sã consciência, sairia de SP para trocar dólares no interior de MG?)

5. A operação não deu certo e houve um tiroteio. Um policial civil de MG foi ferido e morreu. Quatro policiais de SP foram presos.

6. O dono da empresa transportadora de valores, que levava o dinheiro, também foi baleado e MORREU.

7. Ah, para terminar a história, o dinheiro não valeria nada, seria falso. Uma caixa de dinheiro falso foi apresentada à imprensa.

8. Ontem, o advogado do esfaqueador, ZANONE DE OLIVEIRA, disse que deve abandonar a causa por falta de pagamento de honorários, exatamente seis dias após aquele dinheiro falso do “empresário” ter sido apreendido. - Tudo isso em Juiz de Fora/MG.
Conseguiu ligar os pontos? Cheirinho igual ao do caso do ex-prefeito Celso Daniel.
O empresário que levou os dólares de SP para MG fugiu de jatinho.
A empresa dona do jatinho está enrolada na Lava Jato, pois, foi utilizada pelo ilustre dirigente petista JOSÉ DIRCEU para lavagem de dinheiro, e prestava serviços para o governo petista de MG.
Agora, adivinhe quem estava advogando para o dono da empresa transportadora de valores, aquele que foi baleado e morreu?
O Sr. ZANONE DE OLIVEIRA, o mesmo advogado do esfaqueador de Bolsonaro.”
Historinha boa, não?

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