Eleições nos EUA: forte voto protecionista prefere dois marginais da política

Dois marginais no sentido de serem ambos relativamente excêntricos com respeito ao sistema político tradicional, não no sentido criminal, é claro.

Tanto Trump quanto Sanders são marginais nesse sentido. Sanders é apenas um socialdemocrata ingênuo, enquanto Trump, grande idiota, é tudo aquilo que é politicamente incorreto: racista, xenófobo, vulgar, grosseiro, machista, é um grande ignorante.

Abaixo, opinião de um jornalista experiente do circunspecto e respeitado Wall Street Journal.

Paulo Roberto de Almeida 

Bernie Breaks Through in Michigan

BY JAMES FREEMAN

The Wall Street Journal, March 9, 2016

Donald Trump won three more GOP nominating contests on Tuesday, while Sen. Ted Cruz won in Idaho and finished second to Mr. Trump in Hawaii, Michigan and Mississippi. Mr. Trump continues to succeed in a four-candidate Republican race, but new polls show he isalienating an increasing share of the nation’s overall electorate. “In the Wall Street Journal/NBC survey, his net negative rating is now up to minus-39%,” notes a Journal editorial. “A new Washington Post/ABC poll found that only 45% of Republicans consider him “honest and trustworthy” and only 51% say they’d be satisfied with him as the nominee.” The editorial adds that in the Michigan exit polls and the two national surveys, “Mr. Trump nearly always loses a hypothetical one-on-one matchup with each of the other GOP contenders.” And Mr. Trump trails Hillary Clinton by 13 percentage points in the WSJ/NBC survey.

But will Mrs. Clinton be the Democratic nominee? On Tuesday her coronation was interrupted by the voters of Michigan, who handed Bernie Sanders a surprising victory in the state’s Democratic primary. According to exit polls the Vermont senator won 30% of the black vote, enough to score a breakthrough win in the big, diverse state. Given his remarkable fundraising prowess—last month he raked in $42 million compared to Mrs. Clinton’s $30 million—and the possibility she will be indicted, it’s still too early to call the Democratic race.

Mrs. Clinton did win in Mississippi last night, powered by her usual overwhelming support from black voters. Why are African-American Democrats so enamored of Mrs. Clinton? Our columnist William Galston says it’s because blacks thrived during her husband’s presidency. “During Mr. Clinton’s eight years in office, median household income rose to $57,700 from $50,700, a sturdy 14%. Among African-Americans, it rose by even more, to $40,800 from $31,000—32%. While the overall poverty rate fell by 3.5 percentage points, it fell for African-Americans by 10.9 points, the most since the 1960s...” 

“The conventional wisdom on the left is that the GOP brought the Trump phenomenon on itself,” writes Jason Riley. Media pundits like to pretend that the party has been stoking anti-immigrant sentiment, but Mr. Riley notes that  Mr. Trump “wasn’t really invited to this party. He crashed it. And judging from the primary election results so far—he’s winning pluralities, not majorities—most Republicans want him to leave.”