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Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida;

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quarta-feira, 25 de abril de 2012

O Federal Reserve pune poupadores e premia devedores...

Inacreditável! O Federal Open Market Committee, do Federal Reserve, vai continuar punindo os poupadores e beneficiando devedores, ao manter a mesma taxa irrealista de juros até o FINAL DE 2014!
Estão supostamente beneficiando a atividade produtiva, mas na verdade acumulando distorções até perder de vista.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida 

APRIL 25, 2012. 

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately. Labor market conditions have improved in recent months; the unemployment rate has declined but remains elevated. Household spending and business fixed investment have continued to advance. Despite some signs of improvement, the housing sector remains depressed. Inflation has picked up somewhat, mainly reflecting higher prices of crude oil and gasoline. However, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable. Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects economic growth to remain moderate over coming quarters and then to pick up gradually. Consequently, the Committee anticipates that the unemployment rate will decline gradually toward levels that it judges to be consistent with its dual mandate. Strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. The increase in oil and gasoline prices earlier this year is expected to affect inflation only temporarily, and the Committee anticipates that subsequently inflation will run at or below the rate that it judges most consistent with its dual mandate. To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee expects to maintain a highly accommodative stance for monetary policy. In particular, the Committee decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that economic conditions--including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run--are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014. The Committee also decided to continue its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities as announced in September. The Committee is maintaining its existing policies of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction. The Committee will regularly review the size and composition of its securities holdings and is prepared to adjust those holdings as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery in a context of price stability. Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Dennis P. Lockhart; Sandra Pianalto; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Daniel K. Tarullo; John C. Williams; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against the action was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who does not anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate through late 2014.

o  APRIL 25, 2012. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD AND FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE RELEASE ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS FROM THE APRIL 24-25 FOMC MEETING. The Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday released the attached table and charts summarizing the economic projections and the target federal funds rate projections made by Federal Reserve Board members and Federal Reserve Bank presidents for the April 24-25 meeting of the Committee. The table will be incorporated into a summary of economic projections released with the minutes of the April 24-25 meeting. Summaries of economic projections are released on an approximately quarterly schedule. ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS OF FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD MEMBERS AND FEDERAL RESERVE BANK PRESIDENTS, APRIL 2012. ADVANCE RELEASE OF TABLE 1 OF THE SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS TO BE RELEASED WITH THE FOMC MINUTES: http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20120425.pdf

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