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Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

terça-feira, 18 de fevereiro de 2025

Global Foresight 2025 - report by the Atlantic Council

Global Foresight 2025

A report by the Atlantic Council

The GeoStrategy Initiative is pleased to announce the launch of our new Global Foresight 2025 report, the Atlantic Council’s premier foresight publication that analyzes the top trends, risks, and opportunities for the next decade and beyond.

This year's edition presents an analysis of the Atlantic Council's global survey of more than 350 foresight and strategy experts on how human affairs could unfold over the next ten years across geopolitics, the global economy, climate change, technological disruption, and more. It highlights the prospects of another world war, the endgame in Ukraine, nuclear proliferation, the future of US power, and Israeli-Palestinian peace.

Our next-generation foresight scholars uncovered six new "snow leopards" or under-the-radar phenomena that could have major unexpected impacts, for better or worse, in 2025 and beyond. They explore the threat to undersea cables posed by nonstate actors, the expansion of geoengineering, a new powder that removes CO2 from the air, rewilding, quantum batteries, and Gen Z’s susceptibility to misinformation.

Finally, the GeoStrategy Initiative's senior foresight fellows imagined three different scenarios for how the world could transform over the next decade. They analyze what a “Reluctant International Order” could mean for global alliances and institutions, how China’s ascendance to the center of gravity could impact Asia and beyond, and how a world dominated by a climate crisis could shape geopolitics.

We are delighted to share with you the latest edition of Global Foresight, and hope it provokes further conversations on what the world could look like in the next year, decade, and beyond.

The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

https://mail.atlanticcouncil.org/NjU5LVdaWC0wNzUAAAGYuTi7sgXXFvkGTtNq-RwHN7UPaSctdYJ4dDayWrc2MVmY3N65-0tm8GRGYrD5U1j199a1QPg=

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