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Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

quinta-feira, 17 de março de 2022

Rússia: Putin está retrocedendo o país pelo menos três décadas - Olivier Knox (WP)


Putin has set back his country by decades

The Washington Post, March 17, 2022
A poster of Putin on the facade of the Museum of Medical History building in front of the Russia Embassy in Riga, Latvia. Mandatory Credit: Photo by TOMS KALNINS/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

A poster of Putin on the facade of the Museum of Medical History building in front of the Russia Embassy in Riga, Latvia. Mandatory Credit: Photo by TOMS KALNINS/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

By invading Ukraine, Russia has done severe economic damage to itself that could take years to heal — perhaps however long President Vladimir Putin rules the Kremlin. 

The global response to the bloody, three-week-old onslaught has not just closed Russia’s stock market and collapsed the ruble’s value, but set Moscow back 30 years, reversing decades of integration into the global economy since the U.S.S.R.’s fall.

And if the 400 companies that have withdrawn from Russia, scaled back operations there, or suspended their activities (connoting temporariness) start thinking about a return, there are at least five big reasons that will prove difficult, barring global action from governments.

  • Let’s call them: the banking sanctions; suspending Russia’s World Trade Organization benefits; Putin’s nationalization threat; the crash of the ruble; and “I think he is a war criminal.”

This obviously may feel like a premature discussion while Russian missiles and shells pour down every day on apartment buildings, schools and hospitals, and Ukraine begs for helpEven as Putin admits the sanctions’ biting impacton his economy, he hasn’t halted his war.

But Tufts University Professor Dan Drezner recently looked at ways to turn the sanctions from a somewhat ad hoc means of punishing Moscow into an institutionalized regime of containment. Typically judicious word choice: Containment helped beat the Soviet Union.


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