Mais un Daily Brief do CDS, 17/02/2023
Russian crimes in Ukraine
President Zelensky’s office publicly declared that the idea of creating a so-called "hybrid tribunal" as a tool for investigating the crime of aggression by the Russian Federation is not acceptable. Ukraine seeks to punish the leadership of the Russian Federation for the decision to commit armed aggression against Ukraine, the Head of the President's Office, Andriy Yermak, stressed. The hybrid tribunal does not guarantee that it will lead to the removal of immunity from Putin, Lavrov and Mishustin.
International diplomatic aspect
While answering the question about the US weapons supplies in connection to the liberation of Crimea, Victoria Nuland said, "Ukraine is fighting for the return of all of its land within its international borders. We are supporting them, including in preparing the next hard push to regain their territory." Though she didn't mention Crimea directly, her message is important in the foreground of recent articles that argue that the Biden Administration shifted its policy and didn't believe Ukraine should try to recapture the peninsula this time. "I can imagine that you would not be satisfied to have pieces of your country bitten off by another country and expect the international community not to stand with you," the Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs concluded.
She has rejected the notion of "help fatigue" after this first year of the war. On the contrary, she said that "far from being fatigued, we see countries around the world understanding, particularly after Putin's escalation against civilians and against heating and water supplies over the winter, that this has to be stopped, and it's only going to be stopped if the Ukrainians are enabled to fight the fight." Though a dozen Republican Representatives Introduced the "Ukraine Fatigue" Resolution to Halt US Aid to Ukraine, Mitch McConnell's message is bold "Defeating Russians in Ukraine is the most important event going on in the world right now... we're also monitoring very carefully the money being spent... We should stay together on a bipartisan basis in our country and defend these people who are bravely fighting for freedom and democracy in Ukraine."
"The provision of such aircraft [F-16 or an analog] is necessary to help Ukraine protect its airspace, particularly in light of renewed Russian offensives and considering the expected increase in large-scale combat operations," a bipartisan group of Representatives argued to the POTUS. "F-16s or similar fourth generation fighter aircraft would provide Ukraine with a highly mobile platform from which to target Russian air-to-air missiles and drones, to protect Ukrainian ground forces as they engage Russian troops, as well as to engage Russian fighters for contested air superiority," the lawmakers wrote.
"There is no alternative to Ukrainian victory," Volodymyr Zelensky told the Munich Security Conference. "We need to hurry up. We need speed — speed of our agreements, speed of our delivery... speed of decisions to limit Russian potential. There is no alternative to speed because it is the speed that life depends on," the President stressed.
"I don't believe a second in regime change," said the French President at the Munich Security Conference. "We have to find a way to force Russia to come back to the table under the conditions of Ukraine." Emmanuel Macron may not wish for a regime change as a goal of his strategy, but "it's a bonus, though," as Ambassador Daniel Fried put it at the Lennart Meri Conference last May. The world would be much better with Vladimir Putin behind bars after a tribunal.
"So that history does not repeat itself, we need to prosecute the crime of aggression," the Estonian Prime minister urged. A small Baltic nation knows too well that impunity encourages a criminal regime to revisit crimes. Estonia was illegally annexed in 1940 and underwent the full spectrum of the Kremlin care – murders, suppression, deportations, and Russification.
Humanitarian aspect:
As of yesterday, there are 16,207 officially verified Ukrainian children on the territory of the Russian Federation, Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets said. Those are the children whose names, origins and whereabouts are known. In reality, the number of children is much higher. "We assume that this number is approximately 150,000 children. Russia says that there are 733,000 Ukrainian children they keep on their territory. However, in our opinion, this figure is exaggerated," said Lubinets.
Ukrainians submitted over 325,000 reports about the destruction or damage to housing caused by Russian aggression through the government-issued Diya application. According to Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal, the restoration of people's housing is a priority of rapid reconstruction. This is exactly what the funds from confiscated Russian assets should be used for.
Russia, relevant news
In Russia, Lieutenant General Andriy Mordvichev was appointed as the new commander of the Central Military District with headquarters in Yekaterinburg. According to the Security Service of Ukraine, it was General Mordvichev who gave the order to capture Mariupol and storm Azovstal. He has been charged in absentia under three articles of the Criminal Code of Ukraine. ________________________________________________________
Centre for Defence Strategies (CDS) is a Ukrainian security think tank. We operate since 2020 We publish this brief daily. If you would like to subscribe, please send us an email at cds.dailybrief@gmail.com
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