Quando um império sente que entrou em decadência – que é o que ocorre atualmente com os Estados Unidos, processo acelerado pela gestão extraordinariamente desastrosa do governo Trump – suas elites começam a ficar paranoicas, e passam a ver inimigos mesmo onde eles não existem, ou mesmo que existem, quando eles não têm (por enquanto) nenhuma condição de enfrentar a supremacia estratégica do império até aqui dominante.
Parece ser o caso dos representantes do mais brilhante establishment de pensamento estratégico (junto com Yale e alguns think tanks de Washington, notadamente o CSIS), o Belfer Center da Universidade de Harvard.
Ele já identificaram os seus inimigos do momento: Rússia, China e Irã.
Não creio que qualquer um desses Estados, duas grandes potências e uma potência média, queira enfrentar o império americano, mas o problema é que o império PRECISA de inimigos, do contrário como viveriam os seus militares paranoicos do Pentágono e agora, também, os novos paranoicos da academia.
Em todo caso, vamos ouvi-los.
Paulo Roberto de Almeida
São Paulo, 31/10/2019
Dear Friends:
We are pleased to announce a
new podcast by
International Security, a quarterly journal edited and sponsored by the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard Kennedy School, and published by the MIT Press.
The podcast,
“IS: Off the Page,” will discuss recent research published in
International Security, and more importantly, go beyond each article’s findings to engage in contemporary policy debate. To help move the conversation forward, each episode will feature the author of a recent
IS article and 1-2 guests from the broader policy community.
This podcast, which I’m privileged to host, seeks to bridge the gap between policy-relevant academic research and the policy world itself.
We invite you to listen to our inaugural episode titled, “Weaponized Interdependence,” featuring guests
Abraham Newman (Georgetown University) and
Elizabeth Rosenberg (Center for a New American Security). How do sanctions work in a globalized world? When do private companies comply with state-imposed sanctions? Will American economic coercion against Russia, China, and Iran backfire? Listen to find out!
In the coming weeks, the podcast will explore issues related to Chinese policy in the South China Sea, the future of NATO, and the liberal international order. Future episodes will be released on a rolling basis and we encourage you to follow along.
Sincerely,
Morgan L. Kaplan
Executive Editor, International Security
============
IS: Off the Page
Current Episode
01. "Weaponized Interdependence – Economic Networks, Sanctions, and State Coercion"
Contrary to traditional arguments that globalization and economic interdependence will lead to increasing international cooperation, this episode discusses how states can weaponize their position in global economic networks to engage in coercion.
How do sanctions work in a globalized world? When do private companies comply with state-imposed sanctions? Will American economic coercion against Russia, China, and Iran backfire? Listen to find out!
Guests:
Abraham Newman is a professor in the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service and Government Department at Georgetown University. He currently serves as the Director of the Mortara Center for International Studies.
Elizabeth Rosenberg is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Energy, Economics, and Security Program at the Center for a New American Security.
International Security Article:
Additional Related Readings:
- Henry Farrell and Abraham Newman, “America’s Misuse of Its Financial Infrastructure,” The National Interest, April 15, 2019.
- Abraham Newman, “US and China are weaponising global trade networks,”Financial Times, September 1, 2019.
- Henry Farrell and Abraham Newman, “Weaponized Globalization: Huawei and the Emerging Battle over 5G Networks,”Global Asia, September 26, 2019.
- Elizabeth Rosenberg and Edoardo Saravalle, “China and the EU Are Growing Sick of U.S. Financial Power,”Foreign Policy, November 16, 2018.
- Howard Berman et al., “Maintaining America’s Coercive Economic Strength: Five Trends to Watch in U.S. Sanctions,” Center for a New American Security, March 27, 2019.
Originally aired on October 30, 2019
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