O que é este blog?

Este blog trata basicamente de ideias, se possível inteligentes, para pessoas inteligentes. Ele também se ocupa de ideias aplicadas à política, em especial à política econômica. Ele constitui uma tentativa de manter um pensamento crítico e independente sobre livros, sobre questões culturais em geral, focando numa discussão bem informada sobre temas de relações internacionais e de política externa do Brasil. Para meus livros e ensaios ver o website: www.pralmeida.org. Para a maior parte de meus textos, ver minha página na plataforma Academia.edu, link: https://itamaraty.academia.edu/PauloRobertodeAlmeida.

quarta-feira, 16 de agosto de 2017

Guerra nuclear EUA-RPDC? Possivel mas improvavel - Belfer Center, Harvard

O pessoal responsável, ou seja, todo mundo menos dois malucos nas antípodas, anda preocupado com a guerra verbal entre o gigante estratégico e o rato que ruge.
Vamos ler o que eles têm a nos dizer:

North Korea and Nuclear War
Belfer Center of Science and International Affairs, Harvard University

Lightning strikes behind a B-52 bomber at Minot Air Force Base in North Dakota. Bombers like this are one of a variety of delivery methods for nuclear weapons. (J.T. Armstrong/U.S. Air Force)

Here’s What Happens When the President Orders a Nuclear Strike

Fortune
Tensions on the Korean Peninsula have risen quickly this week on the heels of another long-range missile test, combined with public revelations that the Kim Jong-un regime may have miniaturized a nuclear weapon that can be mated to such a missile....We knew this was coming. Yet now that the rhetoric is running high, many are concerned that we are on the brink of nuclear war. Even though the possibility of such a war is remote, it has evoked understandable curiosity among the public regarding how the U.S. chain of command would function for ordering a nuclear strike, and whether or not sufficient checks and balances exist to prevent a costly mistake.
North Korea:

Nuclear Threats and Consequences

NECN The Take with Sue O'Connell

North Korea Stakes Include Massive Loss of Civilian Life

USA Today

  • TV interview on Bloomberg ›


  • Trump's Language 'Increases the Capacity for Mistakes'

    CNN Erin Burnett OutFront

  • Radio interview on Boston Public Radio 


  • Harvard's Park Troubled by Trump's N. Korea Statements

    Bloomberg

  • The Economist 
  • The Wall Street Journal 


  • Thursday, August 17, 2017 at 2:00PM EDT ›


  • The Real Nuclear Option

    Slate

    Is the Use of Nuclear Weapons Becoming More Thinkable?

    BBC Newsnight

  • Q & A with Russia Matters 
  • U.S. News and World Report 
  • Reuters (also quotes Jon Wolfsthal) ›


  • Obama-era Nuclear Expert Says Trump Has Not Modernized U.S. Nuclear Arsenal

    MSNBC Andrea Mitchell Reports

    North Korea Threat

    Michigan's Big Show

    Where Will Trump and Kim's Nuclear Brinkmanship Lead?

    CBS Sunday Morning

    What's Next For The U.S. And North Korea (at 19:43)

    NPR On Point

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